Keith Weiner

Keith Weiner is president of the Gold Standard Institute USA in Phoenix, Arizona, and CEO of the precious metals fund manager Monetary Metals. He created DiamondWare, a technology company that he sold to Nortel Networks in 2008. He has his PhD from the New Austrian School of Economics. He lives with his wife near Phoenix, Arizona. In March 2015 he moved his Gold Standard column from Forbes to SNBCHF.com.

Articles by Keith Weiner

The Big Myth

Dodd Frank and All Other Laws 2009 - 2015

Don Watkins of the Ayn Rand Institute wrote an article, The Myth of Banking Deregulation, to debunk a lie. The lie is that bank regulation is good. That it helped stabilize the economy in the 1930’s. And that deregulation at the end of the century destabilized the economy and caused the crisis of 2008.

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A Hint of Gold Backwardation

gold in world cube

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Friction and Gravity

Gold and Silver Prices

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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About that Economic Inequality

I address this essay to two groups. One group is those among the liberty movement, who believe that there’s nothing wrong with inequality. These are often Objectivists, who unknowingly defend a regime that artificially suppresses working people.

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Gold Always Wins

Gold Coins Money

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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The Clinton-Comey Effect

Hillary Clinton and James Comey

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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You Didn’t Build That!

Barack Obama,

Collectivism Across Party Lines “There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own — nobody.” – Elizabeth Warren, campaign speech 2011. “If you’ve got a business – you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.”

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Introducing Yield Purchasing Power, the Video

I gave a 45-minute presentation on Yield Purchasing Power at American Institute for Economic Research in Great Barrington, MA on October 14, 2016. I am grateful to the Institute for recording video of my presentation plus extended Q&A.

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Wile E. Coyote Gravity Lessons

Coyote

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Sideways Silver Market

Silver

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Partial Silver Crash

December Silver, Daily

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price. This week a partial silver crash, reason the Non-Manufacturing ISM?

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Deutsche Bank Fuels Silver

Deutsche Bank HQ in Frankfurt

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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The Fed is Good for Gold

Roller Coaster

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Silver Rocket and Gold Moribund

Ten year treasury note yield

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Silver Returns Earthward

S&P 500 Index vs. Silver

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Silver is in a Different World

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Gold and Silver Supply and Demand Report

The prices of the metals didn’t change much this week. We thought we would take this opportunity to quote Warren Buffet. A comment he made at Harvard in 1998 earned him the scorn of the gold community.
“Gold gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head.”

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Arizona Considers Issuing a Gold Bond

The Arizona House of Representatives has convened an Ad Hoc Committee on Gold Bonds. The purpose is to explore if and how the state could sell a gold bond. This is an exciting development, as the issuance of a gold bond would be a major step towards a working gold standard.Yours truly is a member of the committee.

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Real vs. Nominal Interest Rates

Calculation Problem. What is the real interest rate? It is the nominal rate minus the inflation rate. This is a problematic idea. Let’s drill deeper into what they mean by inflation. You can’t add apples and oranges, or so the old expression claims. However, economists insist that you can average the prices of apples, oranges, oil, rent, and a ski trip at St. Moritz.

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The Great Silver Bubble

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Real vs. Nominal Interest Rates

What is the real interest rate? It is the nominal rate minus the inflation rate. This is a problematic idea. Let’s drill deeper into what they mean by inflation. You can’t add apples and oranges, or so the old expression claims. However, economists insist that you can average the prices of apples, oranges, oil, rent, and a ski trip at St. Moritz. This is despite problems that prevent them from agreeing on what should be included.

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Should the Government Give Us Infrastructure?

“Bad” Monopolies? An argument against absolutely free markets comes up often. What about so-called natural monopolies? So-called infrastructure projects (e.g. sewage plants) have high barriers to entry, and are a challenge to true competition.

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Gold is not Going to $10,000

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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A Sense of Foreboding

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Silver – OMG!

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Brexit Drives Gold Frenzy

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Money Supply Arguments Are Flawed

It goes without question, among economists of the central planning mindset, that if a central bank can just set the right quantity of dollars, then the price level, GDP, unemployment, and everything else will be right at the Goldilocks Optimum. One such approach that has become popular in recent years is nominal GDP targeting.

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Where Then Will Silver Go?

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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The Cost of Bullish Bets

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Gold Demand is Falling

Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Arizona Governor Ducey Vetoes Gold

  The Euthanasia of Widows and Orphans In my testimony in support of the gold legal tender bill this year, I discussed failing pension funds. Retirees who count on their pension checks are being told that their monthly check will be reduced by up to …

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Keith Weiner: Gold Standard etc.

The Gold Standard Institute starts posting on snbchf.com. It is based in Phoenix AZ, is a 501(c)3 tax-exempt educational organization dedicated to spreading awareness and knowledge of gold, and to promoting the use of gold as money.

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Gold Is Slowing

  A Loss of Momentum The price of gold moved down slightly this week, while that of silver dropped more substantially—1.9%. We don’t see much decrease in the enthusiasm yet from this minor setback. This was a shortened week due to the May Day holiday…

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Paper Gold Is Rising

  The Metals Take Off The price of gold shot up over $60 this week. The price of silver moved up proportionally, gaining over $0.85. The mood is now palpable. The feeling in the air is that of long suffering suddenly turned to optimism. Big gains, if…

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Getting it Wrong on Silver

  Erroneous Analysis of Precious Metals Fundamentals We came across an article at Bloomberg today, talking about silver supply troubles. We get it. The price of silver has rallied quite a lot, so the press needs to cover the story. They need to expla…

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Silver is on Fire

  The Prices of Gold and Silver Drift Apart Another interesting week, in that the price of silver separated from the price of gold. The former went no nowhere, while the latter gained over 4.5%. We get the trading thesis, that if the precious metals …

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Monetary Metals Report: Gold – Silver Opposites

  What Differentiates Gold from Silver? Well that was an interesting week. Gold went down over thirty bucks and silver went up over thirty cents. How much longer can this silver rally continue in the face of gold’s non-participation? Will speculators…

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Who Lends to the Fed?

This leads to our present question. To speak of borrowing and a ready market in which the Fed can borrow, means there is a lender. Who is the lender to the Fed?

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The Precious Metals Conspiracy

  Tricky and Dangerous Assumptions For at least a few weeks now, we have noticed a growing drumbeat from a growing corps of analysts. Gold is going to thousands of dollars. And silver is going to outperform. Reasons given are myriad. Goldman Sachs ap…

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The Gold – Money Supply Correlation Report

  A Spot of Irrational Exuberance There were some fireworks last week. Gold went up on Tuesday (it was a shortened week due to Easter Monday), from a low of $1,215 to $1,244 over the day, a move of over 2 percent. Silver moved from $15.02 to $15.44, …

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Silver Gone Wild Report, 20 Mar, 2016

Early on Monday morning (Arizona time), silver began to rise. From its close on Friday of $15.46, it ran up to $15.82. Then it began to slide, eventually dropping to $15.17 by midmorning on Wednesday. Then…

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Supply and Demand Report, 13 Mar, 2016

On the week, the prices of the metals didn’t move all that much. However, the move around 6am (Arizona time) on Thursday is notable. The price of silver spiked up from around $15.12 to $15.64—3.4%—by around 8am. Twelve hours later, the price touched …

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Gold-Silver Ratio Reversal Report, 6 Mar, 2016

So the price of silver rocketed up 80 cents, while the price of gold jumped $37. Silver is now more expensive than it was two weeks ago; the price decline of last week was more than overcompensated. This pushed the gold-silver ratio down about two wh…

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Interest on Gold Is the New Tempest in a Teapot

Zero Hedge published an article on Canadian Bullion Services (CBS) last week. Other sites ran similar articles. The common thread through these articles, and in the user comments section, is that CBS is committing criminal fraud. Or, if not, then it’…

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Gold Costs 80oz of Silver, Report 21 Feb, 2016

The big news is that the gold-silver ratio closed at 80. This is not only a new high for the move. It’s higher than it has been since 2008. It’s also exactly what Monetary Metals has been calling for. Last week, we said the gold fundamental was $1,45…

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The Silver Blaze Report, 14 Feb, 2016

Again, we had another big drop in the dollar this week. No, we don’t mean against the dollar derivatives known as the euro, pound, etc. We mean by the only standard capable of measuring it: gold. The dollar fell 1.4 milligrams, to 25.1mg gold. Or, if…

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They Broke the Silver Fix (Part I)

Last Thursday, January 28, there was a flash crash on the price chart for silver. Here is a graph of the price action. The Price of Silver, Jan 28 (All times GMT) If you read more about it, you will see that there was an irregularity around the silve…

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They Broke the Silver Fix

Part I Last Thursday, January 28, there was a flash crash on the price chart for silver. Here is a graph of the price action. The Price of Silver, Jan 28 (All times GMT) If you read more about it, you will see that there was an irregularity around th…

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Possible Silver U-Turn Report, 7 Feb

Wow, did the dollar move down this week! It dropped more than it has in quite a while. It fell 1.3mg gold, or 0.1g silver. Gold and silver bugs of course are excited, as they look at it as the prices of the metals going up $55 and 72 cents respective…

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Possible Sign of Silver Turn, Report 31 Jan, 2016

The price of the dollar was down 50mg gold, to 27.8mg, or if you prefer 0.04g silver to 2.18g. Why do we measure the volatile dollar in terms of gold and silver? There’s nothing else to measure it, certainly not the dollar-derivatives called euro, po…

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Monetary Metals Brief 2016

We have consistently been making the contrarian call for a falling silver price and a rising gold to silver ratio for years. This ratio has risen a lot during this time. So are we ready to change our call yet?

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Will Gold Outperform Stocks?

Will stocks go up more, or will gold outperform? With the paperocentric theory, this is hard to answer. We have to estimate rates of inflation (meaning increases in the quantity of dollars) and calculate how much inflation (meaning rising prices of all things, consumer and asset) that will cause. Then we have to somehow put a value on gold. It boils down to a guess.

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Outlook 2016

We have consistently been making the contrarian call for a falling silver price and a rising gold to silver ratio for years. This ratio has risen a lot during this time. So are we ready to change our call yet? This being the start of a new year, we w…

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Silver Goes Foom, Report 24 Jan, 2016

This will be a brief report, as we’re focused on releasing our Outlook 2016 Report which is over 8,000 words of our assessment of the gold, silver, currency, and credit markets. Also, this was a holiday-shortened week (Monday was Martin Luther King D…

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The Bull Market in Stocks May Be Done

It’s the rude furry fellow’s turn to shred the illusion.

The great stock bull market is, perhaps, done. To most people, a bull market is good, and its end is bad. After all, a rising market signifies a healthy economy. Investors are making money. Share prices are connected to business productivity, aren’t they?

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Won’t Get Fooled Again, Report 17 Jan, 2016

There is a great lyric in Won’t Get Fooled Again by The Who: Then I’ll get on my knees and prayWe don’t get fooled again Remember last week, when the price of silver spiked? On Thursday that week, the price was moving sideways around $14. Then around…

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Open Letter to the Banks

Jamie Dimon, JP Morgan ChaseBrian T. Moynihan, Bank of AmericaMichael Corbat, Citigroup Gentlemen: On Friday, I attended a digital money summit at the Consumer Electronics Show. I am writing to you to warn you about the disruption that is about to oc…

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Open Letter to the Banks

On Friday, I attended a digital money summit at the Consumer Electronics Show. I am writing to you to warn you about the disruption that is about to occur in banking. There are many startups (and larger companies too) that are gunning for you. Perhaps you have watched what Uber has done to the taxi business? Well, these guys are planning the same thing for the banking business.

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Silver Flash in the Pan, Report 10 Jan, 2016

No doubt, many people were excited on Thursday to see a spike in the silver price. The big news almost seemed like it would be a spike in the silver price. We were not quite so exuberant, tweeting (follow us on Twitter @Monetary_Metals):

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Monetary Innovation is the Path Forward

There is no shortage of sound money conferences. They’re regularly put on by think tanks, and dutifully attended by all the free market academics who can get travel budget. But I have a premonition. The move to the gold standard won’t be led, or driven by these events.

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Murphy’s Law of Gold Analysis, Report 3 Jan, 2016

Perhaps it may be lesser known than his other Laws, but Murphy wrote one for the basis analysis. It goes like this. If we observe that the fundamental price of a metal is far removed from the market price, the two won’t likely converge the next week….

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What Is Money Printing?

There is a populist idea of money printing. The idea is that banks can just print what they want, enriching themselves in a massive fraud. But, does it really work this way?

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Supply and Demand Report 27 Dec, 2015

The prices of the metals rose a bit this quiet, holiday week. Merry Christmas! Speaking of Christmas, Keith’s brother who is an amateur woodworker of growing skill, gave him this present on Friday.

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What Effect Interest Rates

There’s this article, saying rising rates are good for gold. It repeats two old errors: gold goes up, and things that cause it (e.g. a collapsing paper currency) are “good”. We have recently been emphasizing that interest does not correlate well with…

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Janet Yellen Fights the Tide of Falling Interest

The Fed is going to have to take back this interest rate hike (Dec 16). The process that sets the interest rate is complex. I have written many words on its terminal decline. However, there are two simple reasons why the trend remains downward.

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Janet Yellen Lit the Fuse Report 20 Dec, 2015

The prices of the metals were sagging. Silver was trading around $13.80. On Wednesday, Janet “Good News” Yellen said the magic words. The Federal Reserve hiked the federal funds rate by 25 basis points. The price of silver was surging in anticipation…

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Falling Interest Causes Falling Profits

Falling profits

Most people assume that prices move as a result of changes in the money supply. Instead, let’s look at the effect of falling interest. To start, consider a hamburger restaurant. Suppose that the average profit in the burger business is ten percent of invested capital. If MacDowell’s is thinking about expanding, it has to consider the interest rate. Why?

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What Silver Rocket? Report 13 Dec, 2015

“That [half a dollar of buying] frenzy was not stackers lining up to buy phyz. It was speculators buying paper. Why does that matter? Speculators, who typically use leverage, can’t hold the market price against the tide of the hoarders. They can push…

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Silver Rocket Report 6 Dec, 2015

The prices of the metals moved mostly sideways this week. That is, until Friday. Then foom! (Foom is the sound of a rocket taking off.) From 6 to 10am (Arizona time, i.e. 8 to 12 NY time) the price of gold rose from $1,061 to $1,087. Not surprisingly…

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A Free Market in Interest Rates

administered interest rate

Unless you’re living under a rock, you know that we have an administered interest rate. This means that the bureaucrats at the Federal Reserve decide what’s good for the little people. Then they impose it on us.
In trying to return to freedom, many people wonder why couldn’t we let the market set the interest rate. After all, we don’t have a Corn Control Agency or a Lumber Board (pun intended). So why do we have a Federal Open Market Committee? It’s a very good question.

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Light Thanksgiving Week Report 29 Nov, 2015

In this holiday-shortened week (Thanksgiving), the price of gold dropped $20 and silver 10 cents. Friday, when the price dropped the most, could not have had much liquidity as most Americans were out of work shopping or partying. Whatever they may ha…

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Trust and Oil

First, there’s a word for someone who buys gold in the hope its price will rise. This word is not investor, but speculator. Second, statistical anomalies cannot be asserted as proof of manipulation. Also, the article is giving the reader the blueprin…

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Another Look at the Gold Price Drop of 6 November

The prevailing view in the gold community is that banks are speculators who bet on a falling price. To begin, they commit the casino faux-pas of betting on Do Not Pass at the craps table. When everyone wants the price to go up, the banks seem to want…

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Will a GDP Futures Market Be Liquid?

At the Cato Monetary Conference, Scott Sumner said he had a “modest” proposal, that there should be a highly liquid futures market in Nominal Gross Domestic Product (NGDP). Sumner is known for his view that the Fed should target NGDP as the basis for monetary policy. So a GDP futures market that predicts it would be convenient. Let’s look at his idea more closely.

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A 14 Handle on Silver for Now. 15 Nov, 2015

In gold terms, the dollar went up a small 0.15 milligrams gold. The price of the dollar in silver went up considerably more as a percentage, 0.08 grams to 2.18g. Most people would say that gold went down and silver went down (though we continue to as…

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Gold Price Drop of 6 Nov: Drilling Down

The price of gold dropped abruptly Friday morning (Arizona time). How much of a drop? $10.30, as measured by the bid on the December future. How abruptly? That move happened in under a second. At first, the price of gold in the spot market did not react. This caused what looks like a massive backwardation…

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How Do People Destroy Capital?

Visual: how to destroy capital

The flip side of falling interest rates is the rising price of bonds. Bonds are in an endless, ferocious bull market. Why do I call it ferocious? Perhaps voracious is a better word, as it is gobbling up capital like the Cookie Monster jamming tollhouses into his maw. There are several mechanisms by which this occurs.

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A 14 Handle on Silver. Again. 8 Nov, 2015

What’s the difference between the Supply and Demand Report 1 November and the Supply and Demand Report 8 November? Just a minor punctuation change. Last week, we asked (rhetorically) if silver would have a 14 handle again.
This week, the …

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A 14 Handle On Silver Again?! 1 Nov, 2015

The prices of the metals dropped by 20 bucks and 20 pennies this week. In other words, the dollar went up ½ milligram gold or 30 mg silver. It wasn’t the euro, which ended the week unchanged. It wasn’t the US stock market, which ended up seven bucks.
What was it? …

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Little Change to Supply and Demand Report 25 Oct, 2015

At the risk of being boring, there’s not a lot to say about the markets for gold and silver this week (and frankly being on a challenging travel itinerary, flying from Vienna to Sydney to give a keynote at the Gold Symposium this week, is part of it). There was a modest drop in the prices of the metals, $13 in ….

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Hedging in the Gold Miners

There are two ways to run a gold mining company. One respects the simple fact that it is producing money. It is not eager to trade its the money it produces for government paper, legal tender laws be damned. It keeps its books in gold, and produces and trades to earn more money (i.e. gold).
This article is about the…

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And Then There Was None (Backwardation) 18 Oct, 2015

The dollar dropped about half a milligram gold, and 50mg silver.
But who wants to read about the universal currency falling, failing? Few people are so barbarous as to think of the dollar’s value as being priced in terms a monetary metal. As all right thinking folks know, the value of these commodities …

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The Decline and Fall of Silver Backwardation 11 Oct, 2015

The gold price moved up $18. However, the silver price moved up 60 cents which is a much bigger percentage. The silver community is getting pretty excited.
A market trend will often begin when a small number of traders learn something new. As they begin buying (or selling), the price begins to move. Others become aware of the ….

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Offener Brief an Alexis Tsipras

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras

Keith Weiner zeigt, dass Griechenland bankrott gehen wird, egal ob es im Euro bleibt oder auf Dollar oder eine neue Drachme umstellt. Er schlägt eine Umstellung auf gold-denominierte Obligationen vor. Nur die Sicherheit von Gold wird Kapital wieder in das Land locken.

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Silver Price Spikes, But What Demand 4 Oct, 2015

For a few frenzied minutes, while everyone was sleeping, the price of silver spiked 56 cents. Well, at least the West Coast of America was sleeping. It began at 8:30 in New York, where presumably most traders were not sleeping. And of course, it was afternoon here in London (where Monetary ….

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Pure Gold and Soggy Dollars

We’re going to be introducing some new formats. One of them is quick article links, with the good ones labelled Pure Gold and the bad ones labelled Soggy Dollars.
Pure Gold
When a Fed-induced boom turns to bust: “In the lynch-mob….

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Prediction: Gold and Ratio Up, Stocks Down 27 Sep, 2015

The price of gold moved up moderately, and the price of silver moved down a few cents this week. However, there were some interesting fireworks in the middle of the week. Tuesday, the prices dropped and Thursday the prices of the metals popped $23 and $0.34 respectively.
Everyone can judge the sentiment prevailing in gold…

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The Dog That Did not Bark

In the famous Sherlock Holmes Story, the detective identified the perpetrator from the fact that a dog didn’t bark. The dog didn’t bark because it dog knew the perp. This story makes a good analogy to what happened on Thursday, Sep 17. Perhaps I should say what did not happen.

The Fed did not raise the interest rate.

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Price Moves and Term Structures 20 Sep, 2015

The prices of the metals moved up a bunch this week, with gold + $32 and silver +$0.55. We have seen some discussion of gold backwardation in the context of scarcity, and hence setting expectations of higher prices. That’s good, as the swings from contango to backwardation and back ….

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Invitation: Event in London Oct 2

You are cordially invited to a discussion of the economy, markets, interest rates, commodities, speculation, investment, and of course the monetary metals and our unique approach to valuing them. This seminar was successful in New York on Sep 11, and all the seats filled up.
Here is the agenda. ….

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Gold, Silver, and Horse Betting Report 13 Sep, 2015

Consider the sport of betting on the sport of horse racing. It’s actually similar to the analysis of the gold and silver markets. How’s that? First, there is the manic-depressive crowd. Sometimes (as we are told—we don’t hang out at race tracks) the bettors sometimes get overly excited about a horse…

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The Fed and the Cotton Candy Market

For Keith Weiner the Federal Reserve operates like a Cotton Candy Machine for the housing market. It creates a massive bubble, financed with debt. It spins the price of a house, with the help of credit and debt, into something many times its original size.

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Move Over Entrepreneurs, Make Way for Speculation!

Speculation

The development of lending was a revolutionary breakthrough. Lending allowed the retiree to do business with the entrepreneur. The retiree has wealth, but no income. The entrepreneur is the opposite, with income but not wealth. The retiree lets the entrepreneur use his wealth, in exchange for an income. The entrepreneur is happy to pay interest, in order to grow his business and increase profits.

At times throughout the centuries, governments prohibited lending at interest. No one will risk his wealth, or even forego possession of it, without getting something in return.

Today lending is not illegal, but the Fed has been driving down interest for over three decades.

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Who the Heck Consumes Capital?!

consumes capital

I have been writing about consumption of capital, using the example of a farmer who sells off his farm to buy groceries. It’s a striking story, because people don’t normally act like this. Of course, there are self-destructive people in every society, but, not many. Most people know not to spend themselves into poverty.

To make people hurt themselves, we need to add the essential element: a perverse incentive. Consider a parlor game called Shubik’s Dollar Auction…

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The Economy is in Liquidation Mode

If you’re an American over a certain age, you remember roller skating rinks (I have no idea if it caught on in other countries). This industry boomed in the 1970’s disco era. However, by the mid 1980’s, the fad was fading. Imagine running a rink company at the end of the craze. You know it is not going to survive for long. How do you operate your business?

You milk it.

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Yield Purchasing Power: $100M Today Matches $100K in 1979

falling yield purchasing power

Yield Purchasing Power reveals that with today’s zero interest we are living in times of hyperinflation. Larry worked for his savings his whole life. Through the lens of conventional purchasing power defintions, we don’t focus on the liquidation of Larry’s wealth. We ignore—or take it for granted—that he’s trading his life savings for bread. We only ask how many loaves he got.

If you had a farm, would you consider trading it away, to feed your family for a year? I hope not. A farm should grow food forever. Its true worth is its crop yield, not the pile of bacon from a one-time deal.

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Keith Weiner: Open Letter to Alexis Tsipras

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras

The troika wants you to accept another bailout deal, to service Greek debts a while longer. Since bailouts mean borrowing more, you cannot avoid default in the end. Going deeper into debt is no good for anyone.

However, Greece has no future so long as it clings to the euro.

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Keith Weiner: Inflation Caused the Greek Tragedy

By inflation, I don’t refer to rising consumer prices in Athens. My Greek friends tell me that prices have been steady there in recent years. The focus on prices is the greatest sleight of hand ever perpetrated. It diverts your attention away from the real action.
Inflation is the counterfeiting of credit. It is borrowing, when you can’t pay and you know it. Inflation is taking money under false pretenses, and issuing fraudulent bonds.
This describes the Greek finances perfectly.

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THERE’S Your Hyperinflation!

Hyperinflation is commonly defined as rapidly rising prices which get out of control. Let’s restate this in terms of purchasing power. In hyperinflation, the purchasing power of the currency collapses.

Many critics of the central banks have predicted that this end is coming soon. They have been frustrated as prices are clearly not skyrocketing. For example, the price of crude oil was cut almost in half (so far). There’s little to see if one looks at the purchasing power of the dollar, euro, Swiss franc, etc.

However, Yield Purchasing Power (YPP) shows how much you can buy, not with a dollar of cash, but with the earnings on a dollar of productive capital. YPP is collapsing.

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What Good is the Texas Gold Depository?

You’re getting onto a highway. You want to go to your destination but there are roadblocks. The barriers are stacked up in layers. Even if one is removed, you still can’t get anywhere. So is it worth it to start eliminating obstacles, even though it won’t clear the road yet?

On June 12, 2015 Texas said yes.

The road we’re talking about is the path forward to the gold standard.

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How Could the Fed Protect Us from Economic Waves?

Fed Protects Us From Waves

Mainstream economists tell us that the Federal Reserve protects us from economic waves, indeed from the business cycle itself. In their view, people naturally tend to go overboard and cause wild swings in both directions. Thus, we need an economic central planner to alternatively stimulate us and then take away the punch bowl.

The very idea of centrally planning money and credit boggles the mind.

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Who Is Worth More: Some Hedge Funds or All our Kindergartens?

Hedge Fund vs. Kindergarten

“The top 25 hedge fund managers made more than all the kindergarten teachers in the country,” declared President Obama in a discussion of poverty at Georgetown University. Calling them “society’s lottery winners,” he proposed to hike their taxes. Predictably, battle lines have been formed between two polarized sides. One side is unhappy with the pay disparity. The other is quick to defend the status quo. Rather than arguing about whether hedge fund managers or teachers should make more, we should condemn this unfair system.

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Falling Yields, Rising Asset Prices -Rising Yields,Falling Prices

Our paper currency causes falling productivity, though not in terms of bushels per acre. What falls is productivity per dollar or euro of savings. This is the real meaning of the falling interest rate. When the rate was 10 percent, $1,000 of principal produced $100 of return. When it falls to two percent, then the same capital generates a return of only $20. Now with the Swiss 10-year bond, CHF 1,000 earns only CHF 1.3. Keith Weiner argues that one should forget about inflation measurements like the CPI, but prefer the yield purchasing power, the income that our insurance investments generate.

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Yield Purchasing Power: Think Different About Purchasing Power

The dollar is always losing value. To measure the decline, people turn to the Consumer Price Index (CPI), or various alternative measures such as Shadow Stats or Billion Prices Project. They measure a basket of goods, and we can see how it changes every year.

However, companies are constantly cutting costs. If we see nominal—i.e. dollar—prices rising, it’s despite this relentless increase in efficiency.

At the same time, the interest rate is falling, decreasing return on capital. Yield Purchasing Power is what you can buy with the yield on your savings.

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Arizona Governor Ducey Vetoes Gold

governor ducey

Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey vetoed a bill Wednesday that would have made Arizona the third state behind Utah and Oklahoma to recognize gold and silver as legal tender. This isn’t yet another in a long series of articles lamenting the Federal Reserve, power, politicians, corruption, and the hopelessness of fighting the status quo.

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Goethe Predicted Dollar Slavery

goethe slaves debt and money supply, m1 m2 m3 money

In 1809 Goethe wrote “None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free.” According to Keith Weiner, this is today’s status of American workers, stuck with debt and the losing value of the dollar.

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A Gold Man In Monetarist Territory

mao stalin

Keith Weiner suggests that one should abstract from economic variables like CPI, U6 unemployment measure, M0 or GDP. We know that the Fed manipulates key variables of the economy; hence we live in a world of central planners, a socialist world, not much better than the period of Mao or Stalin. The gold standard is free of central bank manipulation.

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The Gold Standard For Democrats

blue collar guy

Keith Weiner describes how the Fed pushes down the interest rate and due to that, it drives up prices of food and rents. This implies that businesses are clearly priviliged against workers. The gold standard does the opposite, if prefers savings and workers. Hence Democrats should be fan of the gold standard.

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Three Unexpected Reasons Why We Use the Paper Dollar

paper dollar

Keith Weiner argues that there are 3 reasons why we use the dollar. One, people don’t care about what money really is. Two, people are indoctrinated in the ideology of central planning. Three, many people like to get something for free and they want continue getting it for free. Endless borrowing is simply not possible in the gold standard, but only with paper money like the dollar.

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Can The Fed Raise Interest Rates?

federal reserve interest rates

Keith Weiner argues that the question should be, not when the Fed will raise interest rates, but if. Before our central planners can raise rates, they must deal with a problem of their own making.

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Your Personal Debt Is Not Entirely Your Fault

saving investment

When the cost of borrowing is too low, it becomes an irresistible siren song luring people into debt, borrowing becomes too cheap and spending too easy. No wonder that you don’t put 10% of your paycheck into the bank every month for future uncertainties. The Fed, with its zero interest policy, deserves much of the blame for your financial troubles.

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Why Can’t The Fed Spot Bubbles?

The topic of whether the Federal Reserve can see bubbles in advance, and what they can do about them, is hotly debated. The price of an earning asset depends directly on the interest rate. This is because of time preference. It is better to have your cash today than tomorrow. The Fed’s problem is that the calculation depends on a rate of interest that it heavily influences. Its analysis is therefore circular and self-fulfilling. It’s like taking a picture of a painting. Therefore the Fed cannot spot bubbles.

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Inflation=Counterfeiting

counterfeit $100 bill

Keith Weiner explains why Inflation is, at root, a monetary fraud, it is finally caused by an increase in the money supply. The Fed deceives us into accepting this bad paper as currency by making its new dollars look like real currency. This is the very essence of counterfeiting.

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Why Did Both Silver and Gold Become Money?

coins

Keith Weiner explains why gold and silver, two shiny metals, have become money. They fill different human needs, and evolved through different paths. Money solves a problem called the coincidence of wants. Moreover he looks on the choice between gold and silver.

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America Needs The Gold Standard More Than Ever

mckinley prosperity

The United States needs the gold standard more than ever. The gold standard is neither barbaric nor impractical, and it is more urgently needed every day. This is because the standard of paper money is failing. It has set in motion an accelerating series of crises, each worse than the previous. The nation cannot continue to borrow to infinity, nor can the U.S. endure zero interest much longer.

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The Fed’s Bubbles Destroy Capital

bubbles

Keith Weiner explains the relationship between hoarding and lending. He advocates that interest rates should not be repressed artificially, otherwise bubbles will arise that destroy capital.

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Government Debt: Not Unfunded Liabilities but Fraudulent Promises

government dollar

According to Keith Weiner of the Gold Standard Institute USA, the U.S. government reports its debt at more than 17 trillion dollars, often called “unfunded liabilities”. To put this sum in perspective, it’s well over 50 thousand bucks for every man, woman, and child in America. The best way to help everyone understand the truth is to use plain and accurate language. Instead of using the term unfunded liabilities, he suggests “fraudulent promises”.

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The Mixed Economy: Plunder And Trade

ayn rand

Ayn Rand argued that it is the Communists’ intention to make people think that personal success is somehow achieved at the expense of others.
What can we say about the goal of the Fed’s quantitative easing? The central bank’s every act over 6 years has been to force markets towards the opposite outcome that free people would choose, one example is Goldman Sachs that profited greatly on Fed’s bail-outs.

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Small Step Forward for Gold In Arizona

grand canyon state

On February 4, 2015 Keith Weiner testified before the Arizona House Federalism and States’ Rights Committee in support of HB 2173. The bill would recognize gold and silver as legal tender and eliminates taxes on them.

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Accumulated Capital of Centuries Going Up In Smoke

inferno

According to Keith Weiner, capital adds leverage to human effort. Capital makes employment and wages possible. Keith argues that Fed destroys savings with zero interest rates, and herds savers into bubbles. It causes wages to fall and creates chronic pressure to lay off workers. The Fed destroys capital.

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Europe Stricken With Negative Deposit Rate

broken euro

Keith Weiner explains that a negative deposit rate means that commercial banks pay the central bank a percentage. It is a privilege, for which they must pay. The result of the ECB operation won’t be much of an increase in business lending or consumer prices. The result will be even lower interest rates on government bonds.

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The Fed Poisons The Stock Market

The Fed has pumped trillions of dollars into the financial system since 2008. The unintended consequences of this bank bailout have spilled over into the markets. Fed money injections go directly into bonds, tending to push up their prices.

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Janet Yellen’s Fed Has The Makings Of A Potential Disaster

janet yellen

In 2013, President Obama nominated Janet Yellen to be the next Federal Reserve Chairman. We need to know what she stands for if we want to predict what the central bank will do to us next. Clearly, Yellen will continue Bernanke’s Quantitative Easing, but her papers and speeches show that she is quite different from her predecessor.

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