Category Archive: 1) SNB and CHF

Swiss Balance of Payments and International Investment Position: Q2 2022

In the second quarter of 2022, the current account surplus was CHF 11 billion, almost CHF 1 billion lower than in the same quarter of 2021. The receipts surplus in goods trade, especially merchanting and traditional goods trade (foreign trade total 1), declined. The expenses surpluses in services trade, primary income and secondary income were each lower than in the same quarter of 2021.

Read More »

Thomas Jordan: Sixth Karl Brunner Distinguished Lecture – Introduction of Benjamin M. Friedman

I am very pleased to welcome you all to the sixth Karl Brunner Distinguished Lecture. The Swiss National Bank established this annual lecture series in honour of the Swiss economist Karl Brunner, one of the leading monetary economists of the last century. Our aim with these lectures is to reach a broad audience, and to contribute to the public debate on issues related to central banking and economics more broadly.

Read More »

+++Märkte+++ – Börsen-Ticker: Schweizer Aktienmarkt sinkt – 13 anstehende Zinsentscheide machen Anleger nervös – Bitcoin auf Drei-Monate-Tief

Der SMI notiert um 0,53 Prozent tiefer bei 10'554,85 Punkten. Laut Ansicht von BNP Paribas hat sich das Chartbild weiter eingetrübt. Bis zum Korrekturtief vom Juni bei 10'350 Punkten stelle sich nur noch das Zwischentief vom März 2021 bei 10'513 Punkten in den Weg. 

Read More »

Weekly SNB Sight Deposits: Inflation is there, CHF must Rise

Sight Deposits have risen by +1.1 bn CHF, this means that the SNB is intervening and buying Euros and Dollars.

Read More »

Swiss National Bank meet this week, a 100bp rate hike on the table – CHF impact

The SNB policy decision is due on Thursday. Via MUFG Bank:CHF has been the top performing G10 currency so far this month as it has strengthened sharply against both the EUR (+2.2%) and USD (+1.5%). It has regained upward momentum against our equally-weighted basket of other G10 currencies after a period of consolidation at higher levels between July and August.

Read More »

Week Ahead Preview: FOMC is the highlight

MON: Japanese Respect for the Aged Day; EZ Construction Prices (Jul), Canadian Producer Prices (Aug), German Producer Prices (Aug). TUE: Chinese LPR, Riksbank Policy Announcement, RBA Minutes (Sep); Japanese CPI (Aug), EZ Current Account (Jul), US Building Permits/Housing Starts (Aug), Canadian CPI (Aug).

Read More »

Thomas Jordan: Carl Menger Award Ceremony 2022: Introductory remarks on Ricardo Reis

I welcome you all to the ceremony of the Carl Menger Award, given by the Verein für Socialpolitik. I do so in the name of the sponsors of the award, namely the Deutsche Bundesbank, the Oesterreichische Nationalbank and the Swiss National Bank, as well as on behalf of the selection committee.

Read More »

BOC’s Rogers: We are not where we were in July, but a long way from where we need to be

Bank of Canada's Senior Deputy Gov. Carolyn Rogers: We are not where we were in July, but we are a long way from where we need to be.

Read More »

SNB-Chef Jordan begrüsst Zinsschritt der EZB

SNB-Präsident Thomas Jordan: Der Schritt der EZB war wichtig. (Bild: PD)Die Forward Guidance – die Leitlinien für die zukünftige Geldpolitik, auf welche die US-Notenbank und die Europäische Zentralbank achten, um die Finanzmärkte auf ihre Entscheide vorzubereiten und dem ihnen einen Schock zu ersparen – ist für die Schweizerische Nationalbank unbedeutend.

Read More »

More from SNB’s Jordan: No comment on currency invention. We don’t rule anything out

Looks at series of models to gauge Swiss francs value; market has to live with some volatility, no comment on currency intervention.

Read More »

SNB’s Jordan: We must ensure price stability over medium-term

SNB's Jordan is on the wires after the ECB hike rates by 75 basis points today: ECB 75 basis point rate hike not fully surprising.

Read More »

FX intervention watch – Swiss National Bank edition – too early for the CHF

This via the folks at eFX. Credit Agricole CIB Research argues that it would be premature for the SNB to resume its intervention against CHF strength around current levels.

Read More »

Börse – Zinsen, Dividenden, Wachstum: Diese Schweizer Bank-Aktien ziehen starkes Interesse auf sich

Die Chefs von Schweizer Banken dürften am 16. Juni aufgeatmet haben. Was auch immer über die Pros und Cons von Zinserhöhungen gesagt wird, der Zinsschritt der Schweizerischen Nationalbank (SNB) hilft der Branche. Wie eine Auswertung von cash.ch zeigt, liegen in der Jahres-Performance 12 der 16 besonders zinssensitiven Kantonal- und Regionalbanken in der Schweiz und Liechtenstein im Puls (siehe Tabelle).

Read More »

Swiss National Bank President Jordan warned of persistently higher inflationary pressure

Swiss National Bank President Thomas Jordan spoke at the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole symposium on Saturday.“Structural factors such as the transition to a greener economy, rising sovereign debt worldwide, the demographic transition and ultimately also the fact that globalization appears to have peaked -- at least temporarily -- could lead to persistently higher inflationary pressure in the coming years”

Read More »

Thomas Jordan: Monetary policy under new constraints: challenges for the Swiss National Bank

The pandemic and the war in Ukraine have fundamentally changed the constraints on monetary policy. Uncertainty has increased strongly in many respects, and there has been a sharp rise in inflation.

Read More »

Swiss National Bank Crime Syndicate THOMAS JORDAN – GOLDFINGER – MARTIN SCHLEGEL FBI Scotland Yard

MAINSTREAM NEWS MEDIA EXTRACTS: I British Royal Family well seasoned commentators are known to have remarked that the genesis of the Gerald 6th Duke of Sutherland identity theft case lies in the forging of the birth certificate which effectively brought about a wide cadre of public figures who took advantage following the death of his mother and father respectively HRH The Princess Marina Duchess of Kent and George 5th Duke of Sutherland later...

Read More »

Heads up for ECB, SNB, BoK speakers over the weekend

On Saturday at the Jackson Hole symposium there will be speakers from the European Central Bank, Swiss National Bank and Bank of Korea.

Read More »

EUR/CHF forecast to 0.93 (Swiss National Bank to hike rates in September and December)

"We expect the SNB to hike by 50bp again in September and December to curtail underlying inflation pressures bringing the policy rate to 0.75%. With the SNB broadly following the ECB, we see relative rates as an inferior driver for the cross," Danske notes.

Read More »

SNB Losses in the News

My written statement for 20minuten: Anlageverluste der SNB sind schlecht für den Schweizer Steuerzahler, denn ihm gehört die SNB. Sie können aber auch Entwicklungen widerspiegeln, die ihre guten Seiten haben. Jetzt zum Beispiel führt die Frankenstärke zu Anlageverlusten, bremst aber auch die importierte Inflation.

Read More »

SNB Results Q2/2022: 95 Billion Loss, Close to my Predictions

I was predicting for many years that the SNB will suffer a big loss when inflation comes. The time of reckoning has come. I expected some 150 billion loss in one year: at half time we are 95 billion CHF.

Read More »