Category Archive: 1) SNB and CHF

USD/CHF New York Price Analysis: Dollar eases from session highs, trades below 0.9830 vs. Swiss franc

USD/CHF prints another 2020 high and retraces down in the New York session. Bears are challenging the 0.9830 level. After hitting yet again a new 2020 high, USD/CHF is easing from session highs. The spot is trading below the 200-day simple moving averages suggesting an overall bearish momentum in the long term.

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bulls aim for 200-week SMA as MACD turns strongest in nine weeks

USD/CHF registers three-week winning streak, breaks above 38.2% Fibonacci retracement for the first time in a year. 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, September 2018 low act as the key supports. USD/CHF takes the bids to 0.9835 amid the pre-European session on Wednesday. In doing so, the pair crosses 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its broad run-up between February 2018 and April 2019.

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2020-02-17 – The SNB’s Karl Brunner Distinguished Lecture Series: Carmen Reinhart to hold fifth lecture

The Swiss National Bank is honouring Carmen Reinhart with this year’s Karl Brunner Distinguished Lecture Series. Carmen Reinhart is an influential economist who has made outstanding contributions to macroeconomics. She has been Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School since 2012, and also currently serves on the Economic Advisory Panel of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

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Weekly SNB Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions

Update February 17, 2020: Sight Deposits have risen, this means that the SNB is intervening and buying Euros and Dollars, the change is +0.5 bn. compared to last week.

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Ein rationaler Erklärungsansatz für negative Zinsen

In einem Beitrag auf LinkedIn am 29. Dezember 2019 wirft Prof. Erwin Heri von der Universität Basel in die Runde, dass negative (Real-)Zinsen möglicherweise vernünftig sind. Sie wären das natürliche Ergebnis der Präferenzen der Wirtschaftssubjekte – und nicht primär das Ergebnis einer Manipulation von Zentralbanken.

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“ECB Is Worst-Run Central Bank In The World” – Felix Zulauf Sees 30percent Plunge In US Stocks “Taking The World With It”

Felix Zulauf was a member of the Barron’s Roundtable for about 30 years, until relinquishing his seat at our annual investment gathering in 2017. While his predictions were more right than wrong, it was the breadth of his knowledge and the depth of his analysis of global markets that won him devoted fans among his Roundtable peers, the crew at Barron’s, and beyond.

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Devisen: Euro stabilisiert sich nach neuem Tief seit fast drei Jahren

Derweil hält die Schwäche des Euro zum Franken weiter an. Aktuell notiert der Euro zwar mit 1,0634 wieder etwas höher als am frühen Morgen, als die Einheitswährung bei 1,0609 das Tagestief erreicht hatte. Unterhalb von 1,06 Franken hat die Gemeinschaftswährung letztmals im Sommer 2015 notiert. Der Dollar kostet aktuell etwas mehr mit 0,9807 Franken.

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EUR/CHF: SNB does not find love in prices – Rabobank

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has the mandate to maintain CPI inflation near 2% on a yearly basis but is currently running at just 0.2%. CHF’s strength is not welcomed by SNB, economists at Rabobank reports. 

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Greenback grinding up vs. Swiss franc, clings to 2020 highs

USD/CHF is slowly advancing printing fresh 2020 highs by a few pips. The rising wedge formations can limit the upside on USD/CHF. USD/CHF is printing new 2020 highs while the quote is trading below the 100/200-day simple moving averages suggesting an overall bearish momentum.

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Création d’une page dédiée à la Monnaie

Cet post a pour but de vous informer de la création d’une page dédiée à la Monnaie. Vous la trouverez à cette adresse: https://lilianeheldkhawam.com/monnaie-dossier/ Monnaie et globalisation marchent main dans la main. Elles sont intimement liées à l’avènement du Nouveau Monde.

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Sellers catch a breath around 61.8% Fibonacci

USD/CHF stalls the previous day’s declines after breaking the weekly support line (now resistance). Late-December lows limit immediate upside, 50% Fibonacci can check the declines. Bearish MACD favors further weakness in the quote. USD/CHF clings to 0.9755 during the pre-European session on Wednesday.

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Rising wedge can halt the bulls

USD/CHF created a rising wedge pattern suggesting potential exhaustion in the medium term. The level to beat for bears is the 0.9770 support. USD/CHF is pulling back down slightly from the 2020 highs while reintegrating Friday’s range. The spot is trading below the 100/200-day simple moving averages suggesting an overall bearish bias.

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L’or de la Banque Nationale suisse

Note: Ce post est une erreur. Son contenu correspond en fait à la page dédiée à l’or suisse de la banque centrale. https://lilianeheldkhawam.com/lor-de-la-banque-nationale-suisse/ Cette erreur est intervenue dans le cadre de la création de la page sur la Monnaie, que je vous invite à visiter ici: https://lilianeheldkhawam.com/monnaie-dossier/

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Grossbanken – Fünf valable Kandidaten für Rohner-Nachfolge als CS-Präsident

Nach der Absetzung von Tidjan Thiam als operativer Chef der Credit Suisse wurde von verschiedenen Seiten auch gefordert, dass VR-Präsident Urs Rohner bereits auf die kommende Generalversammlung hin seinen Hut nimmt, so etwa vom Stimmrechtsberater Ethos. Rohner will sich aber an der kommenden GV von Ende April für ein letztes Jahr noch einmal wählen lassen.

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Credit Spy: Ende gut, alles gut?

Was ist es, was uns im Falle des Überwachungsskandals der CS so stark verstört hat? Mir fallen drei Punkte auf. Erstens die Tatsache, dass die Schweizer Grossbank offensichtlich einen eigenen internen geheimen Überwachungsdienst unterhält, der Arbeitnehmer auch ausserhalb des Arbeitsplatzes und ihrer Arbeitszeiten überwacht respektive bespitzelt.

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USD/CHF trades at fresh 2020 highs above 0.9760 ahead of NFP

CHF struggles to find demand as a safe-haven on Friday. US Dollar Index pushes higher above the 98.50 mark. Nonfarm Payrolls in US is expected to come in at 160K in January. The USD/CHF pair closed the last four trading days in the positive territory and continued to edge higher on Friday to touch its best level since December 27th at 0.9772.

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Is the SNB In Control of the Amount of Sight Deposits?

The current monetary environment in Switzerland is as far from ordinary as can be imagined: negative interest rates (from -0.75% in the short term to -0.25% for 50Y govt bonds) and oceans of liquidity (M0 has grown to 50% of M3 from pre-crises levels of around 8%).

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Greenback approaching January highs vs. Swiss franc

USD/CHF created a strong bullish recovery while nearing the 2020 highs. The level to beat for bulls is the 0.9770 resistance.  USD/CHF is attempting to form a base near multi-month lows while trading below the main daily simple moving averages.

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Les bénéficiaires finaux de la conquête par la création monétaire privée demeurent anonymes. LHK

« La création de monnaie est un processus à deux volets: le premier consiste en la création de monnaie centrale (billets de banque ainsi qu’avoirs en comptes de virement auprès de la banque centrale) par la banque centrale en application du monopole d’émission des billets de banque.

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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bulls await a sustained move beyond 0.9765-70 supply zone

USD/CHF trades with a positive bias for the fourth consecutive session. The 0.9700 mark might now act as a strong base for bullish traders. The USD/CHF pair edged higher for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday and is currently placed near one-week tops, levels just below mid-0.9700s.

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