Category Archive: SNB

Gefühlskältester Event des Jahres: Die GV der grössten Zockerin aller Zeiten

Wie jedes Jahr fand auch diese letzte Aprilwoche der wohl gefühlskälteste Grossanlass der Schweiz statt: die Generalversammlung der Schweizerischen Nationalbank (SNB) im alten Casino in Bern. Der Ort „altes Casino“ hätte nicht treffender gewählt sein...

Weekly SNB Interventions and Speculative Positions: Interventions despite Positive Outcome in France

The centre-left politician Macron has won the French elections. He is a politician that - similar to Hollande four years ago - promises economic improvements, move investment, more jobs. Mostly probably he will fail similar to Hollande. His success...

SNB posts 7.9 billion CHF Profit in Q1

The SNB reports a profit of 7.9 bn CHF, of which 2.2 bn come from the gold holdings. Given that the bank has introduced a "minimum euro rate" around 1.06-1.07, this is not very difficult. It comes at the price of continuing interventions.

Where There’s Smoke…

Central banks around the world have colluded, if not conspired, to elevate and prop up financial asset prices. Here we'll present the data and evidence that they've not only done so, but gone too far. When we discuss elevated financial asset prices we...

Switzerland at IMF and World Bank 2017 Spring Meetings in Washington, D.C.

Federal Councillor Ueli Maurer as Head of the Swiss delegation, Federal Councillor Johann N. Schneider-Ammann and Thomas Jordan, Chairman of the Governing Board of the Swiss National Bank, will take part in the joint Spring Meetings of the...

Swiss Franc Exchange Rate Index

The Swiss National Bank has updated its exchange rate indices. In an SNB Economic Studies paper, Robert Müller describes how. The upshot is that the SNB considers the Swiss Franc slightly less overvalued than before.

Weekly SNB Interventions and Speculative Positions: Back to 2.4 bn Intervention per Week

SNB sight deposits changed by 2.4 bn last week, hence the SNB intervened for this amount. This value is a movement back to the weekly intervention trend. We expect a further downtrend of EUR/CHF in the next 2 years.

End of EUR/CZK peg: Czech National Bank

The Czech National Bank (CNB) ended the EUR/CZK floor today. Timing was a little earlier than expected, but rising inflation and a robust economy warranted it.  We think it’s too soon to talk about a rate hike, as we expect the koruna to overshoot to...

Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: SNB interventions are rising again

The SNB intervenes for 1.6 bn CHF at EUR/CHF 1.07 - 1.0750. This is less than previously.

Unsere Exporteure sind die neuen Bauern. Statt deren Milch ist ihr Euro garantiert

Wie hoch würde der Euro gegenüber dem Schweizerfranken notieren ohne die Interventionen unserer Schweizerischen Nationalbank (SNB)? Das ist eine hypothetische Frage, die wissenschaftlich nicht exakt beantwortet werden kann. In der Nationalökonomie...

Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: SNB interventions are rising again

The SNB intervenes for 2.9 bn CHF at EUR/CHF 1.07. For us, clearly too much and too risky; she will not maintain this pace over a longer term. Hence the EUR/CHF is prone to fall again.

Riskante SNB-Politik: up! fordert Währungswettbewerb

Die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) hat am Donnerstag ihren Geschäftsbericht publiziert und musste erneut heftige Kritik vor der Schweizer Unabhängigkeitspartei up! einstecken. up! kritisiert insbesondere die expansive Geldpolitik, die zu...

SNB Spent $68 Billion On Currency Manipulation In 2016

While Donald Trump has repeatedly expressed his displeasure with China for manipulating its currency, he appears to have recently figured out that over the past 2 years Beijing has been spending hundreds of billions in dollar to strengthen, not weaken,...

2016 Annual Report of the Swiss National Bank

The Swiss National Bank carried out foreign exchange interventions totaling 67.1B Swiss francs in 2016 in order to counter "an undesired tightening of monetary conditions," the central bank disclosed in its annual report. That was down from 86.1B...

New calculation of SNB exchange rate indices

Change to a more comprehensive and up-to-date methodology. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is putting the Swiss franc exchange rate indices it calculates and publishes on a new footing. The adjustment allows the Swiss economy’s competitive and trading...

Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: EUR/CHF suddenly higher after ECB

The EUR/CHF suddenly appreciated with the ECB meeting, when Draghi seemed less dovish than before. The rate rose from the previous 1.0650 to over 1.0750. With the SNB meeting, the EUR/CHF receded again. SNB interventions, are currently at 2 bn. per...

SNB Monetary Policy Assessment March 2017: EUR/CHF lower again

The EUR/CHF collapsed after the monetary assessment meeting of the Swiss National Bank. The SNB did not fulfill the wishes of currency traders with a more dovish policy, i.e. with lower rates or the thread of stronger interventions.

Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: EUR/CHF suddenly higher after ECB

The SNB intervened less than before. Investors might have changed their positions after a less dovish ECB.

Are Central Banks Losing Control?

If you want a central banker to choke on his croissant, read him this quote from socio-historian Immanuel Wallerstein: "Countries (have lost the ability) to control what happens to them in the ongoing life of the modern world-system."

Swiss National Bank Results 2016 and Comments

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) reports a profit of CHF 24.5 billion for the year 2016 (2015: loss of CHF 23.3 billion). The profit on foreign currency positions amounted to CHF 19.4 billion. A valuation gain of CHF 3.9 billion was recorded on gold...