- USD/CHF trades sideways near 0.8800 as the focus shifts to US economic data.
- The Swiss economy is expected to have growth at a moderate pace of 0.1% in the last quarter of 2023.
- Fed policymakers support holding interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50%.
The USD/CHF is stuck in a tight range near the round-level resistance of 0.8800 since Friday’s trading session. The Swiss Franc asset struggles to find a direction as investors await the United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure price index (PCE) and Swiss Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for further guidance.
The US Dollar edges down in Tuesday’s trading session. Further action in the US Dollar will be guided by the US core PCE price index data, which will influence market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cuts.
Meanwhile, Fed policymakers argue in favor of holding interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% until they get evidence that inflation will fall sustainably to the required rate of 2%.
On the Swiss front, investors await the Q4 GDP data, which will be published on Thursday. Investors anticipate the economy grew modestly by 0.1% in the October-December quarter against 0.3% in the third quarter of 2023.
| USD/CHF consolidates in a narrow range around 0.8800. The broader outlook remains bullish as the pair trades in a Rising Channel chart pattern formed on a four-hour timeframe. In the aforementioned chart pattern, market participants consider each pullback a buying opportunity.
The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.8800 remains sticky with spot prices, indicating a sideways trend. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates in the 40.00-60.00 range, demonstrating a sharp volatility contraction. Fresh upside would emerge if the asset breaks above the three-month high of around 0.8886, which would unlock upside towards the September 20 low at 0.8932 and the November 8 low at 0.8976. On the contrary, a breakdown below February 13 low at 0.8746 would expose the asset to round-level support of 0.8700, followed by February 1 high around 0.8650. |
 USD/CHF four-hour chart |
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USD/CHF finds support at 0.9010, with buyers lifting pair to 0.9057 in late North American session.
‘Golden cross’ formation of 50-day moving average crossing above 200-day moving average opens door for bullish resumption.
Sellers must push prices below 0.9000 mark and reclaim latest cycle low at 0.8887 to maintain control.
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