Tag Archive: newsletter

Central Banks Buying Stocks Have Rigged US Stock Market Beyond Recovery

2017-06-27

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2017-06-27

Central banks buying stocks are effectively nationalizing US corporations just to maintain the illusion that their “recovery” plan is working because they have become the banks that are too big to fail. At first, their novel entry into the stock market...

FX Daily, June 27: Euro Surges on Draghi, While Yuan Rises on Suspected PBOC Action

2017-06-27

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2017-06-27

ECB President Draghi told the audience at the annual ECB Forum transitory factors were holding back inflation. This was quickly understood to be bullish for the euro, and it rallied from near the session lows below $1.12 to around $1.1260, a nine-day...

What Is the Fundamental Gold Price? Precious Metals Supply and Demand [extended version]

2017-06-27

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2017-06-27

US Gold Price vs Gold Fundatamentals
Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

Activist fund aims to spur ‘staid’ Nestle into action

2017-06-27

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2017-06-27

Mark Schneider, Nestlé chief executive, addressed a conference in Berlin last week. "Size alone won't protect you from change," he told the Consumer Goods Forum and, after listing the challenges facing the industry, added that "status quo is not an...

More Pieces of Impossible

2017-06-27

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2017-06-27

CPI: Wireless Telephone Services
On his company’s earnings conference call back on Valentine’s Day, T-Mobile CEO John Legere was unusually feisty. Never known for shyness, Legere had reason behind his bluster. T-Mobile had practically built itself up on price, being left the bottom...

Dudley in a Good Place

2017-06-27

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2017-06-27

Unemployment Versus Participation Rate, 1970 - 2017
Dear Mr. Dudley, Your recent remarks in the wake of last week’s FOMC statement were notably unhelpful. In particular, your explanation that further rate hikes are needed to prevent crashing unemployment and rising inflation stunk of rotten eggs.

Bond Yields, Inflation, and More

2017-06-24

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2017-06-24

Falling oil prices pushing down inflation expectations and lowering bond yields is the conventional narrative. It ignores that survey-based measures of inflation expectations are stable. It ignores a host of other demand factors.

Noose Or Ratchet

2017-05-11

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2017-05-11

Quarterly Report On Bank Derivative Activities, April 1995 - April 2016
losing the book on Q4 2016 balance sheet capacity is to review essentially forex volumes. The eurodollar system over the last ten years has turned far more in this direction in addition to it becoming more Asian/Japanese. In fact, the two really go...

Draghi Does Nothing and Talks about It

2017-04-27

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2017-04-27

Draghi confirms rate on hold and maintains easing bias. Growth risks are becoming more balanced. Inflation has yet to get on a sustained upward path.

Weekly Speculative Positions (as of April 11): Adding To Foreign Currency Exposure Before Trump’s Talk

2017-04-17

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2017-04-17

Speculative Positions Commitments of traders Swiss Franc April 17
The net short CHF position has fallen to 10K contracts (against USD). In the days before US President Trump expressed concern about the dollar's exchange value, speculators in the futures market mostly added to the gross long foreign currency positions.

Swiss Franc Exchange Rate Index

2017-04-12

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2017-04-12

Nominal and real effective exchange rate indices of Swiss Franc
The Swiss National Bank has updated its exchange rate indices. In an SNB Economic Studies paper, Robert Müller describes how. The upshot is that the SNB considers the Swiss Franc slightly less overvalued than before.

US Jobs: Who Carries The Burden of Proof?

2017-04-09

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2017-04-09

Belly of the Curve Gone Flat 2009-2017
The idea that interest rates have nowhere to go but up is very much like saying the bond market has it all wrong. That is one reason why the rhetoric has been ratcheted that much higher of late, particularly since the Fed “raised rates” for a third...

100 Years Ago, Russian Stocks Had A Very Bad Day

Russia Equity Index to 1900
In recent months, Ray Dalio seems to be undergoing a deep midlife and identity crisis, which has not only led to dramatic recent management changes at the world's largest hedge fund, Bridgewater, but also resulted in some fairly spectacular cognitive...

The Colonization of Local-Business Main Street by Corporate America

2017-02-09

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2017-02-09

Corporate Profits After Tax 1950 - 2016
This is what our mode of production optimizes: ugliness, debt-serfdom, and servitude to politically dominant corporations.

Dow 20K, US Debt $20 Trillion, Trump and Gold

2017-01-30

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2017-01-30

DOW, Monthly
By Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne In case you’ve been hiding under a rock, the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached 20,000 earlier this week for the first time in its 132 year history to much media fanfare. Bigcharts via Financial Sense Since...

FX Daily, January 17: Trump’s Comments Send the Dollar Reeling

2017-01-17

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2017-01-17

The Pound has been subjected to a heavy amount of pressure as we progress further into 2017, with GBP/CHF rates being one of the heaviest losers. The pairing is now trading at a similar level to GBP/USD levels below the 1.22 mark. Their is an enjoyable...

How to Invest in the New World Order

2016-12-26

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2016-12-26

In our latest Toward a New World Order, Part III we ended by promising to look closer at investment implications from the political and economic shift we currently find ourselves in; and that story must begin with the dollar.

Swiss to avoid EU clash as immigration bill passes final hurdle

2016-12-20

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2016-12-20

European Comission
After three years of uncertainty, Switzerland may just have solved its immigration dispute with the European Union. Lawmakers in Bern on Friday passed a bill designed to curb EU immigration by giving locals a head start on filling job vacancies. By...

Swiss rents drop, substantially in the Lake Geneva region

2016-10-30

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2016-10-30

Geneva-apartments
Rents have dropped across Switzerland, declining substantially in the Lake Geneva region, according the the property consulting firm Wüest Partner. According to the firm, Swiss rents in the second quarter of 2016 were 1.6% lower than the same quarter...

Buttonwood: Land of the falling yield

2014-06-05

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2014-06-05

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