- USD/CHF hovers below 0.9152, the highest since October reached on Monday.
- US Dollar strengthened as higher Retail Sales amplified expectations of the Fed prolonging higher policy rates.
- Swiss Franc faces challenges due to the likelihood of SNB implementing another rate cut in the June meeting.
USD/CHF recovers its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading near 0.9120 during the early European hours on Tuesday. The strength of the US Dollar (USD) provides support to bolster the USD/CHF pair. This strength is fueled by better-than-expected Retail Sales figures from the United States (US), which have increased expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might maintain higher interest rates for an extended period.
Moreover, the US Dollar Index (DXY) extends its gains to near 106.30, while the yields on US Treasury bonds for both the 2-year and 10-year stand at 4.93% and 4.62%, respectively, at the time of writing. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East prompted investors to seek refuge in the safe-haven US Dollar (USD).
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly stated on Monday that while there has been notable progress on inflation, there is still further ground to cover. She emphasized the importance of being confident that inflation is on a path toward the target before taking action.
On the other side, in March, Swiss Producer and Import Prices (MoM) exhibited steady growth, increasing by 0.1%. However, Producer and Import Prices (YoY) experienced a more pronounced contraction, declining at a rate of 2.1% compared to the previous contraction of 2.0%.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) had already undergone a significant depreciation following the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) unexpected rate cut in March. With inflation showing moderation in March and business confidence remaining pessimistic, market speculation suggests that the SNB might implement another rate cut during its upcoming June meeting.
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USD/CHF finds support at 0.9010, with buyers lifting pair to 0.9057 in late North American session.
‘Golden cross’ formation of 50-day moving average crossing above 200-day moving average opens door for bullish resumption.
Sellers must push prices below 0.9000 mark and reclaim latest cycle low at 0.8887 to maintain control.
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