Category Archive: 1) SNB and CHF

CHF/JPY: Eyes on central banks and geopolitics

This week the BoJ will hold its regular policy meeting. Global uncertainty, linked to the trade war and Brexit, has strengthened the value of the Swiss franc and Yen. CHF/JPY is struggling to maintain the upside as the Yen picks up a safe haven bid, anchored on geopolitical developments following a textbook risk-off response in global financial markets following the strike on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities over the weekend.

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EUR/JPY rallies the hardest vs EUR/CHF as CHF/JPY spikes following ECB

EUR/JPY rallies hard following hawkish ECB cut and trade war optimism. EUR/JPY tracking positive sentiment in financial and commodity markets. While the trade war tensions seem to be easing, with stocks climbing and risk appetite returning in droves to financial and commodity markets, EUR/JPY is up 0.79% on the US session so far following what has been perceived as a hawkish rate cut from the European Central Bank earlier today.

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Since 2014, European Banks Have Paid €23 Billion To The ECB… And Now Face Disaster

Earlier this morning, there was an added wobble in European bond prices after an unconfirmed MNI report said the ECB could delay the launch of QE on Thursday and make it data dependent. While skeptics quickly slammed the story, saying it was just a clickbait by MarketNews...

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USD/CHF technical analysis: 0.9890 is the level to beat for sellers

USD/CHF fails to sustain the bounce off key support-confluence including 200-HMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A downside break highlights the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level while 200-DMA caps the upside. Failures to sustain the bounce off 200-hour moving average (HMA) and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest run-up drag the USD/CHF back to the key support-confluence while taking rounds to 0.9900 ahead of Friday’s European open.

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100-franc note enters circulation today

SNB banknote app with information on all new denominations. Issuance of the new 100-franc note presented a week ago begins today, 12 September. The complete version of the Swiss National Bank’s ‘Swiss Banknotes’ app is now also available. It has been updated to include the 100-franc note and features information on all six new denominations.

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CHF is ‘not strong in real terms’ – no need for SNB intervention

A note from Standard Chartered on the Swiss National Bank and the Swiss franc. The SNB monetary policy meeting is next week, September 19.In brief, Stan Chart argue the franc is not strong in real termsadjusting EUR/CHF for inflation leaves CHF around 10% weaker than (non-adjusted) current spotno need for SNB to intervene to try to weaken ittherefore the SNB is not likely to cut rates at their meeting, nor intervene in forex markets in the near...

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Negativzinsen – Resultat des chaotischen SNB-Konzepts

Nach der Freigabe der Wechselkurse zu Beginn der 1970er Jahre bestand das geldpolitische Konzept der SNB in sogenannten „Geldmengenzielen“. Es wurde für das kommende Jahr ein Geldmengenziel angestrebt in der Meinung, so die Inflation unter Kontrolle zu halten. Trotzdem: Die Inflation hüpfte damals aufgrund der Angebotsschocks nach Belieben rauf und runter und die SNB schaute konsterniert zu.

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EUR/CHF technical analysis: Break out or fake out?

The cross needs to hold above the 1.0970s and beyond the 25th July swing lows. To the downside, a break back below the prior descending resistance will spell bad news for the bulls. EUR/CHF has been running higher of late, despite the onset of the European Central Bank - a possible buy the rumour sell the fact scenario as the less committed euro shorts are squeezed.

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USD/CHF technical analysis: Remains inside 4-day old triangle after Swiss unemployment rate

USD/CHF clings to 0.9890 after unemployment data. A four-day-old symmetrical triangle limits the pair’s near-term moves. 200-HMA adds to the support while 0.9920 limits the upside. USD/CHF remains largely unchanged after the headline job data as it trades near 0.9890 ahead of Monday’s European session open.

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SNB Jordan: Cannot say how long negative interest rates will last

SNBs Jordan on the wiresThe Swiss national banks Jordan is on the wires saying:He cannot say how long negative interest rates will lastNegative rates are necessary for nowInterest rate spreads like important role for exchange ratesThe USDCHF is trading higher today. It currently trades at 0.9861.

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New 100 Swiss Franc Note Coming Soon

The note’s design is inspired by Switzerland’s tradition of humanitarianism, represented on the note by water. The note remains blue but is much smaller than the existing one, making it easier to fit into wallets.

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Nationalbank – SNB-Präsident Jordan: Libra könnte Geldpolitik gefährden

Die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) misst Kryptowährungen wie Bitcoin wenig Potenzial zu. Die Chancen darauf, als Zahlungsmittel akzeptiert zu werden, sind aus Sicht der Zentralbank gering. Kryptowährungen hätten "eher den Charakter von spekulativen Anlageinstrumenten als von 'gutem' Geld", sagte der SNB-Präsident in einer Rede an der Universität Basel.

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USD/CHF bounces from trend-line support on trade news

US/Sino trade teams will consult in mid-September with a view for a meeting in Washington in early October. USD/CHF is currently trading 0.26% higher and bouning of trend-line support.

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis: The ongoing corrective slide challenges 200-hour SMA support, around mid-0.9800s

Extends overnight retracement slide from an ascending trend-channel resistance. A follow-through selling has the potential to drag the pair towards channel support. The USD/CHF pair remained under some selling pressure for the second consecutive session on Wednesday and retreated farther from over one-month tops set in the previous session.

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis: 61.8% Fibo, 0.9822/17 Confluence on Sellers’ Radar

USD/CHF extends declines on the break of one-week-old support-line (now resistance). Sellers look for key technical levels amid bearish signals from MACD. Following its break of immediate support-line, the USD/CHF pair remains on the back foot while taking rounds to 0.9870 amid Wednesday’s Asian session.

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Swiss National Bank Presents New 100-Franc Note

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will begin releasing the new 100-franc note on 12 September 2019, bringing the issuance of the ninth banknote series to a close. The first denomination in the new series, the 50-franc note, entered circulation on 13 April 2016. This was followed by the 20, 10, 200 and 1000-franc notes, which were released at six or twelve-month intervals.

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USD/CHF technical analysis: Upside capped by 4-week old resistance-line

USD/CHF remains below near-term resistance-line forming part of immediate rising wedge bearish formation. 200-bar SMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement can question pair’s downside below 0.9857/54 confluence. USD/CHF fails to extend the latest upward trajectory as it trades near 0.9900 during Asian session on Monday.

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis: 0.9890/95 to challenge buyers

USD/CHF takes the bids near 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April-August downpour. 200-day EMA, four-month-old falling trend-line acts as key upside resistance. Despite breaking 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), USD/CHF remains below key resistance confluence as it takes rounds to 0.9880 during Friday’s Asian session.

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SNB’s Maechler: Reaffirms Pledges on FX and Intervention, Negative Rates

SNB jawboning CHF lower as concerns mount over global growth fears and a flight to safety. EUR/CHF is already trading close to the lows of the year. The Swiss National Bank's Andréa M Maechler, Member of the Governing Board, has crossed the wires saying that ‘any intervention’ requires an analysis of cost/benefits - plenty of jawboning going on here.

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More SNB Maechler: Right now we still have plenty of room for forex intervention

Right now is still plenty of room for forex intervention. As to negative rates are working, SNB's Maechler says "absolutely". Looking at the EURCHF, the pair is trading near the lowest levels since June 2017. The lows this month tested the lows from back then. The test has stalled the fall.

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