Since March 2015, Keith Weiner of the gold standard institute, United States, contributes on snbchf.com. This post is another great insight for a simple fact that traders often forget.
If you’re in debt and sinking deeper, you’re not alone. Especially if you are young, the high price of a college education combined with a weak job market has hit you hard. It’s easy for older people to say you should spend less, but life would be a lot less fun without a mobile phone, nice car, new clothes, or going out with friends. This is how credit card debt piles up on top of a car loan and student loans. I don’t want to let you off the hook entirely, but I need to say something important.
It’s not entirely your fault.
You—and all of us—are the collateral damage of the zero interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve. This policy causes decreased savings and increased borrowing, and therefore debt. Let’s look at the savings side first.
It’s discouraging to look at your bank balance month after month, and see that it doesn’t really increase except when you make a deposit. Setting aside money out of your paycheck can feel pointless. It’s a sacrifice of your quality of life today, and for what? The dollar is falling. If you live without a car today, so you can set aside the money until you turn 65, it might be enough to buy a skateboard. Saving feels like a really bad deal. It’s not entirely irrational to spend valuable money now, before it loses its value.
In a normal world, the compounded interest eventually adds more to your bank balance every month than your new deposits. Zero interest does something more serious than just demoralizing savers. It eliminates compounding, making it much harder to grow your savings. Even if you save the same percentage of your monthly income as your parents did, your savings account will fall farther and farther behind. They were earning interest.
Now, let’s look at borrowing. Unlike what the bank gives you on your stagnant savings, the interest you pay on your debt is not zero. Compounded interest works just fine on what you owe, increasing your burden of debt with each passing month.
However, borrowing is extraordinarily cheap by any historical comparison. When the cost of borrowing is too low, it becomes an irresistible siren song luring people into debt. That $60,000 annual bill to attend Harvard doesn’t seem so bad if you can borrow the money. It’s even better if your low monthly payment is only $650 a month, and best of all if payments are deferred until after you graduate.
When credit is too cheap, people use it to buy what they want. This pushes up the price to the point, well, to the point where the cost of a year at Harvard is now sixty grand. The prices of other things you need like a car and a nice place to live, are also bid up. If you refuse to borrow, you are out of the game. It is a no-win situation.
With little incentive to save, and with the lack of compounding working against you, it’s no wonder that you don’t put 10% of your paycheck into the bank every month. The rising cost of a lifestyle worth living is fueled by those who borrow more. It can feel like you have little choice but to borrow to keep up.
Many older people may offer you advice, or try to make you feel guilty. That’s not helpful. My message is something quite different. The Fed, with its zero interest policy, deserves much of the blame for your financial troubles. Until we get out from under the Fed, you won’t get out from under your growing debt.See more for