Tag Archive: SNB sight deposits

EUR/CHF to 1.25?

2013-04-22

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2013-04-22

brent vs. gasoline april 2013
Chinese economy is weaker, the Brent oil price under 100$ , the German DAX near 7500, the USD/JPY near 100, the Australian dollar is dipping. Most assets that are positively correlated to CHF are weaker. Time for EUR/CHF to rise?

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SNB Liabilities (deposits & bank notes) at New Record High

2013-02-25

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2013-02-25

Printing Press
SNB sight deposits are rising again, by 700 million CHF in one week. But the amount of cash in form of bank notes and coins has risen by 10% since September. It seems that the central bank is now not only virtually printing (via sight deposits) but also physically. SNB liabilities reached a new record high. Details

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SNB Sight Deposits Fall by 1.2 Billion CHF, Weeks ending February 1 and 8

2013-02-11

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2013-02-11

SMI vs DAX January 2013
The latest improvement in U.S. unemployment and good PMIs, finally let the sight deposits (money supply) at the SNB fall by 800 million francs in week ending on February 1 and 400 million for the one of Feb 8 . See the recent history of sight deposits.

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SNB Sight Deposits Rise by 100 Million CHF, Week January28

2013-01-28

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2013-01-28

SMI vs DAX January 2013
While FX traders and some hedge funds are long EUR/CHF and some short covering happened, sight deposits show a different picture. They rise again, this time with 100 million francs (see details) in one week. Risk-off investors are not convinced yet that the euro crisis is finished, while other investors keep profit of the rising SMI...

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SNB Sight Deposits Rise by 2 Bln. Francs, M3 by 10 Bln., Week January 21

2013-01-21

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2013-01-21

swiss m1 vs. gdp and credit 2008-2012
While FX traders and some hedge funds go long the EUR/CHF, sight deposits at the SNB rise by 2 bln. francs (see details) in one week, M3 by nearly 10 bln. (nearly 2%) francs in one single month (see

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Definitions of money supply in the context of the SNB

Monetary Aggregates according SNB M0 M1 M2 M3


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SNB Sight Deposits Week November 23

2012-11-26

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2012-11-26

snb liabilities ubs
Total sight deposits at the SNB rose by nearly 1 billion to 374 bn francs in the week ending on November 23th. “Other sight deposits”, the ones of foreign banks and Swiss companies, fell by one billion francs, but the ones of local institutes increased  by nearly 2 billion francs. See full detail on our explanation, historical and our expected development of

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SNB Sight Deposits Week November 16

2012-11-19

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2012-11-19

snb reserves vs. eur/chf usd gold
Total sight deposits at the SNB rose by 0.5 billion to a total of 373 bn. francs in the week ending on November 16th. "Other sight deposits", the ones of foreign banks and Swiss companies, fell by 600 million francs, but the ones of local institutes increased by more than 1 billion francs. See full detail on our explanation, historical and our expected development of

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SNB Monetary Data Week October 26

2012-10-29

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2012-10-29

swiss m1 vs. gdp and credit 2008-2012
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland Despite the seasonal effects between October and March, the SNB is not able to sell currency reserves consistently. Traditionally the USD gets stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months till January. This year’s stocks appreciation was possibly already anticipated …

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SNB Monetary Data Week October 19

2012-10-22

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2012-10-22

Swiss Trade Balance by regions English
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally both the USD gets stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months till January. This year’s stocks appreciation was …

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SNB Monetary Data Week October 12

2012-10-15

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2012-10-15

Stock market performance per quarter
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland, have started Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally both the USD gets stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months till January. This year’s stocks …

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SNB Monetary Data Week October 5

2012-10-08

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2012-10-08

Stock market performance per quarter
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland, have started Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally the United States and the USD dollar become stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months …

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SNB Monetary Data Week of September 28

2012-10-01

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2012-10-01

snb -expansion
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland, have started Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally the United States and the USD dollar become stronger over the autumn months till …

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Do Swiss companies prefer to hold cash at the SNB instead of local banks ?

2012-09-24

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2012-09-24

snb expansion
The most recent SNB monetary data show that more and more companies are increasing their deposits at the central bank at a quicker speed than local banks. Might this be missing trust in the Swiss banking system ?

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Isn’t it wonderful to trade with a strong central bank behind you?

2012-09-13

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2012-09-13

DOCU payout UBS
  Isn’t it wonderful to have a strong central bank like the SNB sitting behind you when trading Forex? Losses are limited to the floor of 1.20 and in the meantime you can gain forward swaps with the higher euro zone interest rates. Today the Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided in its monetary policy assessment …

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SNB prints nearly 5 billion francs in one week, FX traders poised to get ripped off

2012-09-10

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2012-09-10

monetary expansion snb
  As we expected in our post “What’s this crazy movement in EUR/CHF ? SNB Floor Hike ?“, long-time investors, global macro funds and US investment banks are moving into gold and the Swiss franc again.  The SNB had to buy euros and print new Swiss francs of around 5 billion francs last week, as … Continue reading »

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What’s this crazy movement in EUR/CHF ? SNB Floor Hike ?

2012-09-10

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2012-09-10

SNB Reserves vs. EURCHF
  On Friday there was a big movement in the EUR/CHF. First it went up to 1.2154,  fell later down to 1.2080 in the main American trading and rose again to 1.21 in the low-volume trading time. We repeat our entry from Friday, because we continuously updated the post after new developments, e.g. after the … Continue reading »

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The win of the pro-bailout parties in the Greek elections was no win for the SNB

2012-06-25

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2012-06-25

Jordan
  The win for the pro-bailout parties in the Greek elections was no win for the Swiss National Bank (SNB), even if the fear of an immediate bank-run and extreme money flows into Switzerland are avoided.  Also the fact that QE3 is not coming in the next weeks did not help the SNB.

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Another week, another 14 bln. francs printed

2012-06-11

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2012-06-11

bal week june 1st
According to the newest monetary data, in the week ending June 8th, the unsterialized money supply (as measured in sight deposits of domestic and foreign banks and deposits by the Swiss confederation) increased by 14 billion Swiss francs.

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