Tag Archive: newsletter

Global Silver Investment Demand To Surge While Supply Weak (World Silver Survey 2020) 

2020-06-05

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2020-06-05

20 Year Silver Price in USD/oz
◆ WORLD SILVER SURVEY 2020 from the SILVER INSTITUTE GLOBAL SILVER DEMAND EDGED HIGHER IN 2019, WITH INVESTMENT DEMAND UP 12%, WHILE SILVER MINE SUPPLY FELL FOR THE FOURTH CONSECUTIVE YEAR Global silver demand was pushed higher in 2019, with a 12 percent increase in investment demand as retail and institutional investors focused their attention on the long-term investment appeal of the white metal.

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FX Daily, June 4: Risk Taking Pauses Ahead of the ECB

2020-06-04

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2020-06-04

Overview: After several days of aggressive risk-taking, investors are pausing ahead of the ECB meeting.  Equities were mostly higher in the Asia Pacific region, though China was mixed, and Indian shares slipped.  Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is snapping a five-day advance, and US shares are trading with a heavier bias. The S&P 500 gapped higher yesterday, and that gap (~3081-3099) offers technical support.

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Swiss Consumer Price Index in May 2020: -1.3 percent YoY, 0.0 percent MoM

2020-06-04

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2020-06-04

Switzerland Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY, May 2020
04.06.2020 - The consumer price index (CPI) remained stable in May 2020 compared with the previous month, remaining at 101.3 points (December 2015 = 100). Inflation was –1.3% compared with the same month of the previous year.

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Switzerland GDP Q1 2020: -2.6 percent QoQ, -1.3 percent YoY

2020-06-04

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2020-06-04

Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (GDP) QoQ, Q1 2020
Switzerland’s GDP fell by –2.6 % in the 1st quarter of 2020, after rising by +0.3% in the previous quarter. Due to the coronavirus pandemic and the measures to contain it, economic activity in March was severely restricted. The international economic slump also slowed down exports.

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‘Green’ aviation fuel aims to power planes by 2030

2020-06-04

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2020-06-04

The Covid-19 pandemic has overshadowed the climate crisis, but with the gradual return of consumption and travel, concerns about global warming are resurfacing. A Swiss start-up is developing an aviation fuel produced solely with water, solar energy and CO2. Will this emission-neutral fuel put an end to “flight shame”?

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The German Court’s Unexpected Blow to the ECB

2020-06-04

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2020-06-04

A high German court recently ruled that the European Central Bank has overstepped the bounds of its power. The angry response from high-ranking European bureaucrats tells us a lot about what they want for the EU. This Audio Mises Wire is generously sponsored by Christopher Condon. Narrated by Millian Quinteros. Original Article: "The German Court's Unexpected Blow to the ECB"

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From QE to Eternity: The Backdoor Yield Caps

2020-06-04

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2020-06-04

Japan - JGB, 1986-2019
So, you’re convinced that low rates are powerful stimulus. You believe, like any good standing Economist, that reduced interest costs can only lead to more credit across-the-board. That with more credit will emerge more economic activity and, better, activity of the inflationary variety. A recovery, in other words. Ceteris paribus. What happens, however, if you also believe you’ve been responsible for bringing rates down all across the curve…and...

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FX Daily, June 3: Dollar is Sold and ROW is bought

2020-06-03

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2020-06-03

Overview: Two recent trends continue.  Equities are moving higher, and the dollar remains heavy.  Equity markets in the Asia Pacific region rose at least one percent, and South Korea, Singapore, and Malaysia rallied 2-3%.  Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is up more than 1% for the third consecutive session.  US shares are trading higher and are poised to extend their recent run.

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The Post-Covid Economy Will Be Very Different From the Pre-Pandemic Bubble Economy

2020-06-03

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2020-06-03

As the old models break down, opportunities for new models will arise. Unstable, unsustainable systems can lull observers into a comfy complacency as instability increases beneath a thin veneer of apparent stability. That's the systemic story of the past 20 years: all the extremes that were needed to maintain the veneer of stability have increased the instability building beneath the complacent confidence.

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Coronavirus: around 2 percent of Switzerland’s medical staff infected

2020-06-03

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2020-06-03

2.1% of the 100,000 hospital staff working across 20 Swiss hospitals were infected with SARS-COV-2, according to a report published in the SonntagsZeitung.

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Dollar Broadly Weaker After Reports of Possible Brexit Compromise

2020-06-03

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2020-06-03

Balance sheets, USD Trin, 2007-2019
The dollar remains under pressure; there is a debate as to the root causes of recent dollar weakness. May auto sales will be the only US data release today; protests in the US are further denting Trump’s re-elections prospects, at least according to betting odds. The G7 meeting planned at Camp David this month was postponed after German Chancellor Merkel declined his invitation.

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In Gold We Trust, 2020 – The Dawning of a Golden Decade

2020-06-03

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2020-06-03

The New In Gold We Trust Report is Here! The In Gold We Trust 2020 report by our good friends Ronald Stoeferle and Mark Valek was released last week. It is the biggest and most comprehensive gold research report in the world.

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Davos aims to coax elite out of isolation in January

2020-06-02

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2020-06-02

The World Economic Forum has vowed to hold its annual meeting in Davos in January, testing the willingness of a globetrotting elite to resume the high-powered networking that has been frozen by the coronavirus pandemic.

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FX Daily, June 2: Greenback’s Slide Continues

2020-06-02

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2020-06-02

Overview: Liquidity trumps everything else.  US equities shrugged off the national guard being called into action in nearly a third of US states, and the S&P 500 closed yesterday at nearly three-month highs. Asia Pacific markets followed suit.  Most markets in the region rose by more than 1%. The notable exceptions were Australia and China, where benchmarks rose by 0.2%-0.3%. The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is up more than 1% in the European morning.

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“Wenn die Notenbank den Staat finanziert (When the Central Bank Finances the State),” FAS, 2020

2020-06-02

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2020-06-02

Monetary deficit financing is the norm—after all, central banks distribute their profits. Monetary financing occurs in the context of regular open market operations and QE and, hyper charged, with helicopter drops. The question is not whether monetary policy should finance the government, but why it does so, and to what extent. Fiscal and monetary policy are inherently connected; what constitutes monetary policy is defined by objectives.

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June Monthly

2020-06-02

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2020-06-02

The investment climate in June will be shaped by forces that emerged in May.  Many countries began relaxing lockdowns and various activity-based alternative data, like traffic pattern, Open Table Reservations showed improvement on the margins.  Sentiment surveys, while mostly still depressed, were better than April readings.  The long slog back has begun. 

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We’re Living the Founding Fathers’ Nightmare: America Is Corrupt to the Core

2020-06-02

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2020-06-02

How Systems Collapse
Our ruling elites, devoid of leadership, are little more than the scum of self-interested, greedy grifters who rose to the top of America's foul-smelling stew of corruption. The Founding Fathers were wary of institutional threats to liberty and the citizenry's sovereignty, which included centralized concentrations of power (monarchy, central banks, federal agencies, etc.) and the tyranny of corruption unleashed by small-minded, self-interested,...

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There’s No End in Sight to the Zombie Economy

2020-06-02

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2020-06-02

The United States was waiting for the zombie apocalypse. The country was given a coronapocalypse instead. But could the two events merge and provide the nation with a dangerous economic trend? Corporate America’s worst-kept secret had been the swelling number of zombies kept on life support and hidden away during the boom phase of the business cycle.

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Michael Flynn, Lori Loughlin, and the Permanent Culture of Prosecutorial Abuse

2020-06-02

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2020-06-02

When US attorney general William Barr recently announced that the Department of Justice was reversing course and dropping all charges against former Trump adviser Michael Flynn, the response from Democrats, the mainstream news media, and Never-Trump Republicans such as David French was thermonuclear, to put it mildly.

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FX Daily, June 1: US Dollar Losses are Extended, but Momentum Stalls in the European Morning

2020-06-01

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2020-06-01

Overview: US stocks extended their gains ahead of the weekend after President Trump shied away from specific actions against China-Hong Kong, and today Hong Kong shares recovered smartly from last week's 3.6% slide. The Hang Seng rose 3.3% today, and the Shanghai Composite gained over 2%. All the markets in the region advanced. Europea's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 was up about 0.5% in late morning turnover, which would be the fifth gain in six sessions. ...

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