Mark O'Byrne

Mark O'Byrne

I founded GoldCore more than 10 years ago and it has been my passion and a huge part of my life ever since. I strongly believe that due to the significant macroeconomic and geopolitical risks of today, saving and investing a portion of one’s wealth in gold bullion is both wise and prudent.

Articles by Mark O'Byrne

Gold’s Best Day In 2 Years Sees 2.5 Percent Gain As Global Stocks Sell Off – This Week’s Golden Nuggets

Gold’s Best Day In 2 Years Sees 2.5 Percent Gain As Global Stocks Sell Off – This Week’s Golden Nuggets. News, Commentary, Charts and Videos You May Have Missed. Here is our Friday digest of the important news, commentary, charts and videos we were informed by this week. Market jitters and volatility have returned this week and the sell-off in US government bonds led to sharp falls on Wall Street centered on the very overvalued tech sector and the NASDAQ.

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Silver Is ‘Undervalued’ Relative to Stocks, Bonds, Gold – GoldCore

Silver Price, Sep 2008 - 2018

– Silver is ‘undervalued’ relative to stocks, bonds and gold: GoldCore. – Silver at $14/oz is cheap relative to gold with gold-silver ratio over 85. – Silver drops to 32-month lows prompting sellout of Silver Eagle coins at U.S. Mint. – U.S. Mint said “recent increased demand” prompted a “temporary sell out” of its American Silver Eagle bullion coins as investors see silver coins as a bargain.

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London House Prices Fall At Fastest Rate Since Height Of Financial Crisis

London House Prices Bubble, 1995 - 2018

– London house prices fall at the fastest annual rate since height of the financial crisis
– London house prices fall in 5th month in row, worst falls since 2009
– London rents dropped at the fastest rate in eight years – ONS
– Brexit, London property slump put brake on UK house price growth
– Consumer spending declined in July as inflation increased

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Jim Rogers – Making China Great Again! (Video)

We are delighted to announce a very special guest for our next episode of the Goldnomics Podcast, due for release later this week. We recently had the opportunity to speak with the legendary investor and adventure capitalist Jim Rogers. Jim is an American businessman, investor, traveler, financial commentator and author. He is the Chairman of Rogers Holdings and Beeland Interests, Inc. He was the co-founder of the Quantum Fund and creator of the Rogers International Commodities Index.

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Jim Rogers and the World’s New Reserve Currency

Today we’re bringing you another clip from our upcoming Episode of the Goldnomics Podcast with the legendary investor and “Adventure Capitalist”, Jim Rogers. In this clip Jim tells us what he thinks about the long-term safe-haven status of the US dollar and what he sees as the future for the Euro currency.

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The Stock Market is Stretched to Double Tech-Bubble Extremes

Leuthold Group has sounded the alarm on a valuation metric that shows the S&P 500 is twice as expensive as it was at the peak of the tech bubble. This development could have large implications for stock investors of all types, particularly value traders who make their living by finding discounts in the market. With the stock market within shouting distance of an all-time high, traders are readying their Champagne bottles. Just don’t tell them about the eye-popping statistic just published by the reputed research outfit Leuthold Group , lest you spoil their fun.

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Gold—Even at its Lowest Levels in 2018—is Behaving Just as Prescribed

Gold’s sharp decline over the past month serves as little surprise to the investors who want the asset to perform in just this fashion—that is, as an alternative to assets perceived as risky, like stocks. They’re betting that the opposite will be true as well, that gold will resume its role as protector and diversifier, even inflation hedge, when what they see as bloated price-to-earnings ratios, heavy debt-to-GDP ratios among major economies and hints of higher inflation finally catch up to the stock market.

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Gold to Enter New Bull Market – Charles Nenner

Gold to Enter New Bull Market – Charles Nenner. “Gold is going to enter a new bull market”. “The first cycle will bottom after the summer”. “$1,212 per ounce is our downside target”. “It’s going to top $2,500 per ounce . . . in about two years or so”. “Gold is in a bull market even though it came down from $1,900 per ounce”

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Russia Sells 80 percent Of Its US Treasuries

Russia Sells 80% Of Its US Treasuries. Description: In just over 2 months Russia has sold-off over 85% of its holdings of U.S. Treasuries, should the U.S. be concerned? – Russia has liquidated 85% of its US Treasury holdings in just two months. – Russia dumps over $90 billion of Treasuries in April and May as holdings collapse from near $100 billion to just $9 billion.

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“Without Gold I Would Have Starved To Death” – ECB Governor

– “Without gold I would have starved to death” – Ewald Nowotny, governor of Austrian central bank and member of ECB’s governing council
– “I was born in 1944. When I was a baby, my mother could only buy food because she still had some gold coins…”
– “When the going gets tough, gold becomes the ultimate money” reports Die Presse

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Get “Positioned In Gold” Now As “You Will Not Have Time To Get Positioned” Later

Development of US tax revenues and the S&P 500

Get “Positioned In Gold” Now As “You Will Not Have Time To Get Positioned” In Physical Later. Guest post by Dominic Frisby of Money Week. This year’s “gold standard” of gold-related research has just come out. Conveniently enough – given gold’s “safe haven” reputation – it’s arrived just in time for another major financial market scare, this time in the form of Italy. Below, I consider some of the most pertinent points…

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Gold And Silver Bullion Obsolete In The Crypto Age?

Gold in Euros, May 2018

What is the outlook for the global economy, financial markets, crypto currencies such as bitcoin and gold and silver bullion in the digital age? Fresh insights as CrushtheStreet.com interview Mark O’Byrne who gives his diagnosis on the outlook for gold in 2018, and looks at the long-term relevance of precious metals in the digital age of crypto and the blockchain alongside Bitcoin’s emergence as a potential digital store of value.

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Gold Back Above $1300 – Trump Cancels Historic Summit – Silver “Ready To Breakout”

– Trump Cancels Historic Summit with North Korea. – US 10-Year Falls Below 3%, Gold Jumps Back Above $1300. – “Inflation Overshoot Could Be Helpful” – Latest FOMC Minutes. – Gold Demand in Turkey as Lira falls sharply, true inflation near 40%. – EU Crisis Looming as Italy Plan Outright ‘Money Printing’ with ‘Mini-Bots’. – Silver Trading in Tight $1 range, Pressure Building for a Breakout.

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‘Nightmare Scenario’ For EU Bond Markets As Anti-Euro Italian Goverment Takes Power

Firebrand populists of Left and Right are poised to take power in Italy, forming the first “anti-system” government in a major West European state since the Second World War. Leaders of the radical Five Star Movement and the anti-euro Lega party have been meeting to put the finishing touches on a coalition of outsiders, the “nightmare scenario” feared by foreign investors and EU officials in equal measure.

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Gold Looks A Better Bet Than UK Property

Gold investment UK property

Dominic Frisby of Money Week looks at the historical relationship between UK house prices and gold (including some great charts), and concludes that your money is better off in the yellow metal than bricks and mortar.

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Gold Mining Supply Looks Set To Decline

Gold Nugget

Global demand for gold is increasing while new discoveries of gold remain small. Gold mining output in Australia is forecast to decrease by 50% in the next eight years. Decline in global gold mining supply makes a price increase almost certain.

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Russia Buys 300,000 Ounces Of Gold In March – Nears 2,000 Tons In Gold Reserves

World Official Gold Reserves, 2000 - 2018

Russia buys 300,000 ounces of gold in March and nears 2,000t in gold reserves. Russia now holds just over 1,861 tonnes, more than officially reported by China at 1,842t. Both Russia and China have the power to destabilise US dollar by dumping dollar-denominated assets. Turkey has removed all gold held in the U.S. opting for Bank of England and BIS. Turkey follows trend set by both Germany, Netherlands and others to remove gold reserves stored in the United States.

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New All Time Record Highs For Gold In 2019

Gold and Silver Index, 1984 - 2018

New all time record highs for gold in 2019. ‘Powerful bull market’ will likely send gold to $5,000 to $10,000. If USD & Treasuries keep falling, stocks may decline at ‘moment’s notice’. Traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds will not protect investors. “Gold will replace bonds as the go-to hedge”.

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Palladium Bullion Surges 17percent In 9 Days On Russian Supply Concerns

Month to Date Relative Performance

Palladium bullion has surged a massive 17% in just nine trading days. From $895/oz on Friday April 6th to over $1,052/oz today (April 19th). The price surge is due to palladium being due a bounce after falling in the first quarter and now due to Russian supply concerns. In a volatile month, precious metals and commodities have been the clear winners so far, with palladium having the greatest gains of all – up 10.7% in April (see table below).

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Global Debt Bubble Hits New All Time High – One Quadrillion Reasons To Buy Gold

Global Debt, 1999 - 2018

Global debt bubble hits new all time high – over $237 trillion. Global debt increased 10% or $21 tn in 2017 to nearly a quarter quadrillion USD. Increase in debt equivalent to United States’ ballooning national debt. Global debt up $50 trillion in decade & over 327% of global GDP. $750 trillion of bank derivatives means global debt over $1 quadrillion. Gold will be ‘store of value’ in coming economic contraction. Global debt is the mother of all bubbles.

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Volatile Week Sees Oil and Palladium Surge Over 8percent, Gold and Silver Marginally Higher and Stocks Gain

1 Week Relative Performance

Gold & silver eke out small gains; palladium surges 8% and platinum 2%. Oil (WTI) surges over 8% to over $66.90/bbl; supply disruption risk. U.S. dollar and Treasuries fall; geopolitical, trade war and fiscal concerns. Stocks rally and shrug off trade war, macro and geo-political risks. Bitcoin, major cryptos (Ethereum, Ripple etc) rise sharply. Russia-US tensions high: Trump warns attack ‘could be very soon or not so soon at all’.

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Gold Out Performs Stocks In 2018 and This Century By Ratio Of Two To One

Gold Price, 1999 - 2018

– Gold outperforming stocks in 2018 and this century (see chart)
– Gold up close to 2% in 2018 while S&P 500 is down 2%
– Trump trade wars and Kudlow as Trump chief economic advisor is gold bullish
– Given gold’s performance, Kudlow’s dismissal of gold as “end of the world insurance” is “irrational”
– Market volatility could drive gold to $1,500/oz in 2018 – Holmes

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Uncle Sam Issuing $300 Billion In New Debt This Week Alone

US National Debt

US needs to borrow almost $300 billion this week alone. This is the largest debt issuance since 2008 financial crisis. Trump threatens trade war with its biggest creditor – China. Bond auctions have seen weak demand due to large supply and trade war concerns. $20 trillion mark reached in early September 2017; $1 trillion added in just 6 months. US total national debt level now exceeds $21.05 trillion and is accelerating higher.

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Buy Silver And Sell Gold Now

Gold:Silver Ratio, 1720 - 2018

Buy silver and sell gold now – Frisby. Gold should cost 15 times as much as silver. Silver might have disappointed in short term – But it’s time to buy. Editor’s note: Silver has outperformed stocks, bonds and gold over long term (see table).

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Gold Cup At Cheltenham – Gold Is For Winners, Not For the Gamblers

Cheltenham Gold Cup

Gold Cup at Cheltenham – ‘The Olympics’ of the European horse racing calendar. Gold Cup trophy contains 10 troy ounces of gold – worth £9,000. £620 million bets on horses, 230,000 pints of Guinness will be drunk, 9.2 tonnes of potato eaten. Since the 5th century BC, gold has been the ultimate prize to award champions and gold has been constantly and universally awarded as top prize.

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Four Key Themes To Drive Gold Prices In 2018 – World Gold Council

Annual Gold Demand, 2017

Four key themes to drive gold prices in 2018 – World Gold Council annual review. Monetary policies, frothy asset prices, global growth and demand and increasing market access important in 2018. Weak US dollar in 2017 saw gold price up 13.5%, largest gain since 2010. “Strong gold price performance was a positive for investors and producers, and was symptomatic of a more profound shift in sentiment: a growing recognition of gold’s role as a wealth preservation and risk mitigation tool”.

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Gold Corridor From Dubai to China Sought By China

Joseph Chan Ho-lim, Cheung Tak-hay

Gold corridor from Dubai to China sought by Chinese Gold & Silver Exchange Society. New Asian gold trading corridor could boost demand for 1 kg gold bars. Should increase turnover for yuan-denominated gold coins and bars – President. Secure supplies of physical gold from Middle East and Asia for China. China positioning itself as leading gold trading and owning nation.

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Russian Central Bank Buys Gold – 600,000 Ounces Or 18.7 Tons In January As Venezuela Launches ‘Petro Gold’

Central Bank Gold Hoards

Russian central bank buys gold – large 600,000 ounces or 18.7 tons of gold in January. Russia increased its holdings to 1,857 tons, topping the People’s Bank of China’s ‘reported’ 1,843 tons. Russia surpasses China as 6th largest holder of gold reserves – after U.S., Germany, IMF, Italy and France. Turkish central bank added 205 tons “over 13 consecutive months” – Commerzbank

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Bitcoin or British Pound ‘Pretty Much Failed’ As Currency?

Gold Price in GBP, Aug 2008 - 2017

Bitcoin has ‘pretty much failed’ as a currency says Bank of England Carney. Bitcoin is neither a store of value nor a useful way to buy things – BOE’s Carney. Project fear against crypto-currencies or an out of control investing bubble? Bitcoin will likely recover in value but is speculative and not for widows and orphans. British pound has been a terrible store of value – unlike gold. Pound collapsed 30% in 2016 and down 11.5% per annum versus gold in last 15 years.

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Is The Gold Price Heading Higher? IG TV Interview GoldCore

Gold Price IG

Is The Gold Price Heading Higher? IG TV Interview GoldCore. Research Director at GoldCore, Mark O’Byrne talks to IG TV’s Victoria Scholar about the outlook for the gold price. In this interview, Mark O’Byrne, research director at Goldcore, says the fact that the gold price did not spike during last week’s equity sell-off was to be expected.

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Sovereign Wealth Funds Investing In Gold For “Long Term Returns” – PwC

Performance of Gold Compared to Bonds and Equity

Sovereign wealth funds investing in gold for long term returns – PwC. Gold has outperformed equities and bonds over the long term – PwC Research. Gold is up 6.7% and 6.8% per annum over 10 and 20 year periods; Stocks and bonds returned less than 5.2% respectively over same period (see PwC table). From 1971 to 2016 (45 years), “gold real returns were approximately 10% while inflation increased 4%”.

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Bitcoin and Crypto Prices Being Manipulated Like Precious Metals?

Bitcoin and Crypto Prices Being Manipulated Like Precious Metals? – FSN Interview GoldCore. Kerry Lutz of the Financial Survival Network (FSN) interviewed GoldCore’s Mark O’Byrne about the outlook for crypto currencies, financial markets and precious metals. Are bitcoin and crypto prices being manipulated like precious metals? Is there a coordinated backlash against bitcoin from JPM and powerful interests?

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Gold Rises As Global Stocks Plunge and Bitcoin Crashes 70 percent

Gold Spot and NYSE Composite, Nov 2017 - Jan 2018

Gold gains 0.6% in USD and surges 1.7% in euros and pounds. European stocks fall more than 3% at the open after sharp falls in Asia. DJIA falls 1,175 points, S&P 500 down 4.1% and Nikkei plummets 4.7%. Gold rises from $1,330 to $1,342, £942 to £960 and €1,067 to €1,085 /oz. Bitcoin crashes another 10% and has now plummeted by 70% to below $6,000. Increased risk aversion will drive safe haven demand for gold as its hedging properties are appreciated again.

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U.S. Debt Is “Extraordinarily High” and Are Stock And Bond Bubbles – Greenspan

Federal Debt Expected Rising, 1790 - 2030

“We have a stock market bubble” warns Greenspan. “Bond bubble will be the big issue” he tells Bloomberg TV (see video). “Fiscally unstable long-term outlook in which inflation will take hold”. “Ratio of federal debt to GDP which is extraordinarily high” (see chart). Higher interest rates, inflation and stagflation coming. Gold is the “ultimate insurance policy” – Greenspan

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Gold Bullion May Have Room to Run As Chinese New Year Looms

Gold Spot, Oct 2017 - Jan 2018

Gold bullion tends to rise January and February before Chinese New Year (see table). Gold is nearly 8% and $100 higher since Fed raised rates one month ago. Options traders are bullish and suggest gold has room to run (see chart). Nervous in short term, positive in medium term – gold at $1,500 in 2018.

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Gold Prices Rise To $1,326/oz as China U.S. Treasury Buying Report Creates Volatility

Gold Price in US Dollar, 10-11 January 2018

Gold prices rise to $1,326/oz on concerns China may slow U.S. Treasury buying. Equities fell sharply on the report as did Treasurys and the U.S. dollar. Chinese officials think U.S. debt is becoming less attractive compared to other assets. Trade tensions could provide a reason to slow down or halt U.S. debt purchases. U.S. dollar vulnerable as China remains biggest buyer of U.S. sovereign debt. Currency wars to return as China rejects U.S. hegemony in Asia

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An Interview with GoldCore Founder, Mark O’Byrne

Gold Bars

“Uber-bull predictions of gold at over $5,000 per ounce are not beyond the realms of possibility…” So says GoldCore founder and self-confessed gold bug, Mark O’Byrne. Indeed, I recently caught up with Mark to get his thoughts on gold and what’s going on with it right now… But before we got to the nitty-gritty, I started by asking him a little about his background.

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Low Cost Gold In The Age Of QE, AI, Trump and War

Gold Prices, 2002 - 2017

‘Fear and Loathing In the Age of QE … AI’ is a presentation given at Mining Investment London earlier this week. Stephen Flood, CEO of GoldCore presentation (28 minutes) was well received at the conference which is a strategic mining and investment conference for leaders in the mining and investment sectors, bringing together attendees from 20 countries.

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Bitcoin $10,000 – Huge Volatility of Cryptocurrencies and Risky Fiat Making Gold Attractive

Bitcoin Price Rise

Bitcoin tops $10,000, soaring more than 850% since beginning of 2017. Irrational exuberance arguably main driver of price performance. Google Trends shows search for ‘Bitcoin Bubble’ hit highest level this morning. Buyers need to be aware of hacking and security risks. Other primary risks to widespread adoption is volatility and liquidity risk. World’s largest online trading platform IG Markets suspends BTC trading
– Volatility of cryptocurrencies and risky world of fiat make gold attractive

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Money and Markets Infographic Shows Silver Most Undervalued Asset

Silver Infographic

Money and Markets Infographic Shows Silver Most Undervalued Asset. Silver remains severely under owned and under valued asset. Entire silver market worth tiny $100 billion shown in one tiny square. “All of the World’s Money and Markets in One Visualization”. Must see ‘Money and Markets’ infographic shows relative size of key markets: silver bullion, gold bullion, cryptocurrencies/ bitcoin, largest companies, 50 richest people, Fed balance sheet, currency, stocks, property, cash, debt & derivatives. Small allocation by investors and world’s richest will see silver surge like bitcoin

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Key Charts: Gold is Cheap and US Recession May Be Closer Than Think

Average Annual Gold Price in USD, 1971 - 2017

Every year, Ronald-Peter Stoeferle and Mark J Valek of investment and asset management company Incrementum put together the report In Gold We Trust – 160-plus pages of charts and thoughts, mostly gold-related, on the state of the world’s finances. There’s so much to look at and consider. It’s a sort of digital equivalent of a coffee-table book.

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Silver Bullion Prices Set to Soar

Gold Spot and Bitcoin Price, Jan - Oct 2017

Gold prices have far outpaced gains in silver so far this year, but silver will emerge as the winner for the second year in a row. With a per-ounce price of $17.41 for silver futures as of Friday, analysts say the white metal is poised for a big climb, particularly as the gold-to-silver ratio stands well above historical averages.

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Global Outlook – Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD World: News in Charts

Central Bank Assets, 2007 - 2017

Global Outlook – Mad, Mad, Mad, MAD World: News in Charts by Fathom Consulting via Thomson Reuters. Alarm bells are ringing for economic fundamentalists such as Fathom Consulting. Asset prices look increasingly out of step with fundamentals, and in some cases they look downright bubbly. And other geopolitical developments are similarly alarming. One might even describe them as…

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Perth Mint Gold Coins Sales Double In September

Gold Coin Sales, Aug 2012 - Jul 2017

Perth Mint gold coins see sales double on month in September. Perth Mint silver bullion coin sales surge 78% in September. Perth Mint sold 46,415 ounces of gold in September. Nearly six times more gold coins sold at Perth Mint than U.S. Mint in September. Sales surge at Perth Mint from low base; could indicate trend change and higher demand in coming months

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Gold Investment In Germany Surges – Now World’s Largest Gold Buyers

Germany Gold Investment, 2000 - 2016

Gold investment in Germany surged in past 10 years. Germans are largest gold buyers in world: WGC research. Gold investment in Germany surges to €6.8B in 2016. Gold demand per person is highest in world – double Chinese, UK and U.S. demand. Gold one of the most popular investment for retail investors especially those with high incomes. 59% of respondents agreed with the statement that gold will never lose its value in the long-term. 48% agreed with the statement that owning gold makes me feel secure for the long-term.

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Gold Investment “Compelling” As Fed Likely To Create Next Recession

Gold Investment Debt

Gold Investment “Compelling” As Fed Likely To Create Next Recession. Is the Fed about to kill the business cycle? 16 out of 19 rate-hike cycles in past 100 years ended in recession. Total global debt at all time high – see chart. Global debt is 327% of world GDP – ticking timebomb. Gold has beaten the market (S&P 500) so far this century. Safe haven demand to increase on debt and equity risk. Gold looks very cheap compared to overbought markets. Important to diversify into safe haven gold now

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“This Is Where The Next Financial Crisis Will Come From” – Deutsche Bank

Average Bonds and Equity, 1800 - 2014

In an extensive, must-read report published on Monday by Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid, the credit strategist unveiled an extensive analysis of the “Next Financial Crisis”, and specifically what may cause it, when it may happen, and how the world could respond assuming it still has means to counteract the next economic and financial crash.In our first take on the report yesterday, we showed one key aspect of the “crash” calculus: between bonds and stocks, global asset prices are the most elevated they have ever been.

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Global Debt Bubble Understated By $13 Trillion Warn BIS

Total Global Debt, 2002 - 2017

Global debt bubble may be understated by $13 trillion: BIS. ‘Central banks central bank’ warns enormous liabilities have accrued in FX swaps, currency swaps & ‘forwards’. Risk of new liquidity crunch and global debt crisis. “The debt remains obscured from view…” warn BIS.

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British People Suddenly Stopped Buying Cars

Total Vehicle Sales, Oct 2011 - 2016

British people suddenly stopped buying cars. Massive debt including car loans, very low household savings. Brexit and decline in sterling and consumer confidence impacts. New cars being bought on PCP by people who could not normally afford them. UK car business has ‘exactly the same problems’ as the mortgage market 10 years ago, according to Morgan Stanley. Bank of England is investigating to make sure UK banks are not overly expose.

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Buy Gold for Long Term as “Fiat Money Is Doomed”

Gold Daily, Jul 2010 - Oct 2017

Buy gold for long term as fiat money is doomed warns Frisby. Gold’s “winning streak” will continue in long term. September is traditionally a good month for gold, as we head into the Indian wedding season. “It’s just a matter of time before gold comes good again…” by Dominic Frisby, Money Week. Today folks, by popular demand, we’re talking gold.. It’s had a nice summer run. What now?

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Safe Haven Gold Rises To $1338 as U.S. Warns of ‘Massive’ Military Response

Relative Performance

Safe haven gold extends rally to 11-month high after North Korea nuke test and U.S. warns of ‘massive’ response. Asian and European stocks fall, bonds flat, gold, silver, palladium, Swiss franc rise as Korea tensions flare as North Korea tests ‘hydrogen bomb’. North Korea prepares for possible ICBM launch says S. Korea. U.S. warns of ‘massive,’ ‘overwhelming’ military response to North Korea after meeting with Trump. Trump weighing new economic sanctions that target China.

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Diversify Into Gold On U.S. “Political Instability” Advise Blackrock

Trump

Gold set to shine as Washington stumbles. “Bet on gold’s diversifying properties rather than political stability”. World’s largest asset manager believes Trump and political drama in the U.S. means gold likely to rise. Real rates flattening out and rising political instability – Blackrock’s Koesterich. “For now my bias would be to stick with gold” – Blackrock. U.S. debt ceiling issue to be fractious as bankrupt U.S. hits $20 trillion debt. Investors will again turn to gold in coming political strife

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Buy Gold Urges Dalio on Linkedin – “Militaristic Leaders Playing Chicken Risks Hellacious War”

Global Asset Class Volatility, 1900 - 2017

Don’t let “traditional biases” stop you from diversifying into gold – Dalio on Linkedin. “Risks are now rising and do not appear appropriately priced in” warns founder of world’s largest hedge fund. Geo-political risk from North Korea & “risk of hellacious war”. Risk that U.S. debt ceiling not raised; technical US default. Safe haven gold likely to benefit by more than dollar, treasuries.

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Silver Mining Production Plummets 27 percent At Top Four Silver Miners

Top Primary Silver Miners Q2 2017 Production Decline

Silver Mining Production Plummets 27% At Top Four Silver Miners by SRSRocco Report
In an interesting change of events, production at four of the top primary silver miners plummeted during the second quarter of 2017. This goes well beyond normal fluctuations in mining companies production figures during different quarterly reporting periods.

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Gold Consolidates On 2.5percent Gain In July After Dollar Has 5th Monthly Decline

Gold in USD, Jan 2013 - 2017

Gold consolidates on 2.5% gain in July as the dollar has fifth monthly decline. Trump administration and vicious “civil war” politics casting shadow over America and impacting dollar. All eyes on non farm payrolls today for further signs of weakness in U.S. economy. Gold recovers from 1.7% decline in June as dollar falls. Gold outperforms stocks and benchmark S&P 500 YTD.

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Gold A Good Store Of Value – Protect From $217 Trillion Global Debt Bubble

U.S. Global Investors, 2002 - 2017

‘Mother of all debt bubbles’ keeps gold in focus. Global debt alert: At all time high of astronomical $217 T. India imports “phenomenal” 525 tons in first half of 2017. Record investment demand – ETPs record $245B in H1, 17. Investors, savers should diversify into “safe haven” gold. Gold good ‘store of value’ in coming economic contraction.

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“Financial Crisis” In 2017 Or By End Of 2018 – Prepare Now

Central Bank Balance Sheets of Financial Crisis, 2007 - 2017

John Mauldin of Mauldin Economics latest research note, Prepare for Turbulence, is excellent and a must read warning about the coming financial crisis. Mind refreshed from what sounds like a wonderful honeymoon and having had the time to read some books outside his “comfort zone” he has come to the conclusion that we are on the verge of a “major financial crisis, if not later this year, then by the end of 2018 at the latest.”

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“Silver’s Plunge Is Nearing Completion”

Silver Price

– Silver’s plunge is nearing completion – Bloomberg analyst. Silver’s 10% sharp fall in seconds remains “mystery”. Plunge despite anemic global supply and strong demand .Total silver supply declined in ’16 – lowest level since ’13. Silver mine production down in ’16, first time in 14 years. Total silver supply decreased by 32.6 Mln Ozs in 2016
.Supply deficit in 2016- fourth consecutive year (see table). “Falling knife” caution but opportunity presenting itself

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Silver Prices Bounce Higher After 7% Fall In Minute

Silver Prices, 06-07 July

– Silver prices ‘flash crash’ before rebound– Silver hammered 7% lower in less than minute in Asian trading– Silver fell from $16 to $14.82, before recovering to $15.89– Silver plunge blamed on another ‘trading error’– Gold similar ‘flash crash’ last week and similar recovery– Hallmarks of market manipulation as $450 million worth of silver futures sold in minute– Trading ‘errors’ always push gold and silver lower. Why never higher?

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Go for Gold – Win a beautiful Gold Sovereign coin

Gold Sovereign

The Irish Times has teamed up with GoldCore, Ireland’s first and leading gold broker, to offer you the chance to win a beautiful, freshly minted Gold Sovereign coin (2017) which contains nearly one quarter of an ounce of gold and is ‘investment grade’ 22 carat pure gold.

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Gold Prices Break 6-Year-Long Downtrend On Safe Haven and 50percent Surge In Chinese Demand

Gold prices technical 2008-2017

Gold prices break 6 year down trend on safe haven demand (see charts). Chinese gold demand set to surge 50% to 1,000 metric tonnes. Chinese demand for gold bars on track to surge more than 60 percent in 2017. Geopolitical risk internationally leading to safe haven demand. UK election, terrorism and rising tensions in Middle East supporting gold after attacks in London and attacks in Iran today.

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Deposit Bail In Risk as Spanish Bank’s Stocks and Bonds Crash

Deposit Bail In Banco Popular, 2006 - 2017

Deposit bail in risk as stocks and bonds of Spanish bank – Banco Popular – crash. Banco Popular stock crashes most on record – down 63% this year to 34 euro cents. Spanish bank tells employees – “Don’t panic”. Risk of Spanish banking crisis as Banco Popular credit curve inverts. Banco Popular needs to find at least €4 billion more capital – analysts.

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Silver Bullion In Secret Bull Market

Gold And Silver Prices, May 2016 - May 2017

Do you think silver is poised to go higher? I sure do. That’s because I’m watching what is going on in the world’s silver ETFs. I’m also watching the mountain of forces that are piling up to push the metal higher.
Look at this chart. It shows all the metal held by the world’s physical silver ETFs (black line). And all the metal held by the world’s physical gold ETFs (blue line) …

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Manchester Attack Sees Asian Stocks Fall, Gold Firm

Gold In GBP

The appalling attack in Manchester overnight in which over 22 people have been killed has led to a slight uptick in risk aversion in markets. Investors are cautious after police said they were treating a bombing at a concert in the Manchester Arena as a “terrorist incident”.

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Cyber Attacks Show Vulnerability of Digital Systems and Digital Currencies

Cyber War

Cyber Attacks Show Vulnerability of Digital Systems and Digital Currencies – Cyberattacks expected to spread today in “second phase”– UK intelligence says scale of threat significant– Microsoft slams NSA for letting hacking tools cause global malware epidemic– Ransomware attack already crippled more than 200,000 computers in 150 countries– 1.3 million computer systems believed to be at risk

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History of Gold – Interesting Facts and Changes Over 50 Years

GFMS Gold Survey 2003-2015

History of Gold – How the gold industry has changed over 50 years. Thomson Reuters GFMS have compiled an interesting high level history of the gold industry in the last fifty years. Topics covered and interesting historical facts to note include: Gold market size– Gold mine production “peaked in 2015”. South African production collapse from 1,000 tonnes.

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Gold Bullion Imports Into China via Hong Kong More Than Doubles in March

China Gold Import, Monthly from Hong Kong, 2001 - 2017

Gold bullion imports into China via main conduit Hong Kong more than doubled month-on-month in March, data showed on Tuesday as reported by Reuters. Net-gold imports by the world’s top gold consumer through the port of Hong Kong rose to 111.647 tonnes in March from 47.931 tonnes in February, according to data emailed to Reuters by the Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department.

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Trump To “Bully” Fed Into Printing Money – Negative for Stocks, Positive for Gold

Gold Price, 1971 - 1979

David McWilliams has written an interesting article in which he puts forward the case that Trump is likely to turn on the “enemy within,” the Federal Reserve and bully them into “printing money.” He points out that this was seen in 1971 when Nixon bullied the Fed into printing and debasing the dollar. McWilliams says this would be bad for stocks markets which would fall in value as was seen in the 1970s.

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Silver Production Has “Huge Decline” In 2nd Largest Producer Peru

Peru Silver Production, February 2016 - February 2017

Silver production sees “huge decline” in Peru. Production -12% in one month in 2nd largest producer. Silver decline is due to ‘exhaustion of reserves’ in Peru. GFMS recognise that ‘Peak Silver’ was reached in 2015. Global silver market had large net supply deficit in 2016. Silver rallied 13.5% in Q1 in 2017. Base metal production accounts for 56% of silver mining.

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Perth Mint Silver Bullion Sales Rise 43 percent In March

Perth Mint’s silver bullion sales rise 43% in March. Perth Mint’s monthly gold coin, bars sales fall 12%. Gold silver ratio of 32 – 32 times more silver ounces sold. Gold: 22,232 oz and Silver: 716,283 oz – bullion coins and minted bars sold. Gold is 2.6% higher and silver surged 3.1% in the shortened week with markets closed for Good Friday tomorrow.

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Gold Price Surges Above Key 200 Day Moving Average $1270 Level

Initial target for gold

Gold price breaks above key 200-day moving average. Gold hits 5-month high on back of investor nervousness. Safe haven has 10% gains in 2017 after 9% gains in 2016. Gold options signal more gains as ETF buying increases. Geopolitical uncertainty over North Korea & Middle East. Tensions high -World awaits US move & Russia response.

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Bank of England Rigging LIBOR – Gold Market Too?

Bank of England implicated in LIBOR scandal by BBC. “We’ve had some very serious pressure from the UK government and the Bank of England about pushing our Libors lower.” “This goes much much higher than me”- UBS’ Tom Hayes. Libor distraction as all markets are manipulated today. Central bank’s “rigging” bond markets and likely gold.

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Gold Silver Oil Spike After U.S. Bombs Syria

Gold Jumps

Gold silver oil spike after U.S. bombs Syria. Gold and silver spike 1% as oil rises 1.4%. Gold breaks 200 day moving average, 4th week of gains. Stocks fall after U.S. strikes in Syria rattle markets.  U.S. missiles hit airbase; Lavrov says no Russian casualties; Russia deploys cruise missile frigate to Syria.

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Gold, Silver Best Performing Assets In Q1, 2017

YTD 2017 Relative Performance

Gold, silver two of the best performing assets in the first quarter of 2017 with gains of  8% and 14% respectively. Gold outperforms benchmarks – S&P 500 up 6%, MSCI (All Country World Index) up 6.4% (see tables). Nasdaq and German DAX rise 11.8% and 7.6%. Silver best performing currency in quarter. Five best performing currencies in Q1 are in order – silver, bitcoin, Mexican peso, Russian ruble and gold.

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Brexit Gold Buying – UK Demand for Gold Bars Surges 39 percent

Gold Bars and UK GBP, Jan 2008 - 2017

As the UK triggered its formal departure from the European Union yesterday, gold demand from UK investors remained ongoing and robust with increased numbers of British investors diversifying into physical gold in order to hedge the considerable uncertainty and volatility that the coming months and years will bring.

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Peak Gold – Biggest Gold Story Not Being Reported

South Africa Gold Production

Peak gold – Biggest gold story not being reported. Gold ‘Mining Zombie Apocalypse’ caused miners to slash exploration budgets. Decline in gold production at world’s top 10 gold mining companies – Byron King. “No new big mines being built in the world today” – Glencore CEO Glasenberg. Primary global gold output declined in 2016 – Thomson Reuters via Mining.com.

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The Best Ways to Invest in Gold Today

Gold Britannias

The cost of buying and selling gold. How to buy gold on the cheap. How to avoid paying capital gains tax (CGT) on your gold. Open an account with one of the online bullion dealers – the likes of GoldMoney, GoldCore or Bullion Vault. Gold Sovereigns and Gold Britannias make for a considerable saving on cost because of the CGT exemption.

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James Rickards: Long-Term Forecast For $10,000 Gold

Gold Inflation Adjusted 1970-2017

James Rickards: Long-Term Forecast For $10,000 Gold. James Rickards, geopolitical and monetary expert and best selling author of the ‘The New Case for Gold’ has written an interesting piece for the Daily Reckoning on why he believes gold will reach $10,000 in the long term.

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Art Market Bubble Bursting? Gauguin Priced At $85 Million Collapses 74 percent

Paint

Art Market Bubble Bursting? Russian Billionaire Takes 74% Loss On “Investment”. $85 Million Gauguin Bought By Dmitry Rybolovlev in 2008. Christie’s auctioned the work at its evening sale in London. Global art sales plummet, but China rises as ‘art superpower’. China soon to dominates global art and gold market. Art price volumes doubled since 2009. As currencies debase super rich seek out stores of value. Gold remains accessible store of value for all. Stocks, bonds and many assets at record prices.

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Gold Up 9 percent, Silver 14 percent YTD As Le Pen’s Lead Widens

Year to date relative performance

Gold up 1.5% in euros and dollars this week. Silver up 1.4% this week and now up 14.3% and is the best performing market YTD. Gold up 9% year to date – fourth consecutive higher weekly close and breaks resistance at $1,250/oz. Gold up 9.4% in euros year to date as Le Pen’s lead in polls widened. Gold up another 6.4% in sterling pounds year to date as ‘Hard Brexit’ looms.

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Gold To Benefit from Rising Inflation and Higher Than “Official” China Gold Demand

US Inflation Zooms up 5 Year High

Frank Holmes joins Lawrie Williams, Koos Jansen and many others in questioning the “official” Chinese gold demand numbers. Real gold demand is likely much higher than the official numbers. Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5 percent year-over-year in January, the highest such rate since March 2012. Led by higher gasoline, rent and health care costs, consumer prices have now advanced for the sixth straight month.

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Russia Gold Buying Returns – Buys One Million Ounces In January

Russian Central Bank Gold Reserves January 2017

Russia Gold Buying Returns – Adds Substantial One Million Ounces To Reserves In January. Russia gold buying returned in January with the Russian central bank buying a very large 1 million ounces or 37 metric tonnes of gold bullion. The increase in the gold reserves came after Russia did not buy a single ounce in December – a move seen as potentially a signal or an olive branch to the U.S. and the incoming Trump administration.

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Gold Prices Rising As “World Has Never Been More Uncertain”

Uncertainty Is At Record Highs 1990 - 2016

Gold prices rising & up 6.6% YTD. Signal “impending market volatility”. World has never been more uncertain (see chart). Fear in Wall Street versus Fear in Washington. Price of ‘plunge protection’ rising even as VIX remains low. Smart money diversifying into gold. Important to watch rising gold and rising bond yields. Gold may prove the “tell”.

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Precious Metals As Safe Havens – Reassessing Their Role

Brian Lucey and Sile Li

New research confirms that not just gold but also the other precious metals – silver, platinum and palladium bullion – act as safe havens, especially from ‘Economic Policy Uncertainty.’ This is something that is particularly prevalent today due to the ‘Hard Brexit’ impact on the UK and the Eurozone, risk of trade wars and heightened financial and geopolitical risk under the Trump Presidency.

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Why 2017 Could See the Collapse of the Euro – Stiglitz

Gold in EUR

2017 could be the year that the euro collapses according to Joseph Stiglitz writing in Fortune magazine and these concerns were echoed over the weekend by former Bundesbank vice-president and senior European Central Bank official, Jürgen Stark, when he said that the ‘destruction’ of the Eurozone may be necessary if countries are to thrive again.

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Gold’s average gains in inauguration years of 15 percent since 1974

Gold's Gusto, Bullion bulls thrive in most inauguration years

Gold’s average gains in inauguration years of 15% since 1974. First year of new President frequently a time of increased uncertainties and risks. Gold rose 30% in the 12 months after Obama inauguration. Massive political uncertainty. President’s conflict with the CIA. ‘Strong dollar policy’ to end as U.S. has $120 trillion plus debt. Trump inherits Bush and Obama’s humongous debt.

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