Tag Archive: newslettersent

The Inevitability Of DeGrowth

2017-07-14

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2017-07-14

Wages and Salaries as Percent of GDP
Debt-dependent consumption in a world in which wages stagnate for the bottom 90% and energy costs increase as demand outstrips supply is a system with only one possible end-point: collapse. Even though we don't know precisely how the future will unfold, we know a few things: Of the 7.5 billion humans on the planet, virtually every individual wants to enjoy a high-energy consumption “middle-class” lifestyle.

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Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in June 2017: -0.1 YoY, -0,1 MoM

2017-07-13

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2017-07-13

Switzerland Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY, June 2017
The Producer Price Index (PPI) or officially named “Producer and Import Price Index” describes the changes in prices for producers and importers. For us it is interesting because it is used in the formula for the Real Effective Exchange Rate. When producers and importers profit on lower price changes when compared to other countries, then the Swiss Franc reduces its overvaluation.

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FX Daily, July 13: Sterling and Antipodeans Trade Higher

2017-07-13

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2017-07-13

The US dollar is mostly consolidating yesterday's move. Sterling is pushing back through $1.29 as the hawks on the MPC may not have been dissuaded by disappointing PMI readings and the softer earnings growth. The table is being set for another 5-3 vote at next month's MPC meeting.

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Putting the Latest Silver Crash Under a Lens

2017-07-13

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2017-07-13

Silver
Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Swiss economic mission starts with Russia

2017-07-13

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2017-07-13

Schneider-Ammann, traveling with a large business delegation, was wrapping up a two-day visit to Russia on Tuesday. Switzerland, as a non-EU member, did not impose sanctions against Russia, but it also tried to keep up EU and US relations by blocking attempts to circumvent the sanctions, which include travel bans and asset freezes via Switzerland.

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“Silver’s Plunge Is Nearing Completion”

2017-07-13

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2017-07-13

Silver Price
– Silver’s plunge is nearing completion – Bloomberg analyst. Silver’s 10% sharp fall in seconds remains “mystery”. Plunge despite anemic global supply and strong demand .Total silver supply declined in ’16 – lowest level since ’13. Silver mine production down in ’16, first time in 14 years. Total silver supply decreased by 32.6 Mln Ozs in 2016 .Supply deficit in 2016- fourth consecutive year (see table). “Falling knife” caution but opportunity...

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US Federal Funds, Bond Market and WSJ Economic Survey: The Hidden State of Money

2017-07-13

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2017-07-13

US WSJ Economic Forecast Survey
Correctly interpreting the bond market is more than just how and when to invest your money in UST’s. Not that it isn’t useful in such a money management capacity, but interest rates starting at the risk-free tell us a lot about what is wholly unseen. There is simply no way to directly observe inside an economy what is taking place at all levels and in all transactions. We try to estimate as best we can in the aggregate, but the real economy works...

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FX Daily, July 12: Currencies Stabilize, but Yen Strengthens

2017-07-12

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2017-07-12

The US dollar and sterling have stabilized after being sold off yesterday. The yen, which had begun recovering from a four-month low, is the strongest of the major currencies today, gaining around 0.5% against the dollar (@~JPY113.40).

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G20 – what’s in it for Switzerland?

2017-07-12

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2017-07-12

Switzerland’s main trading partner is the European Union, and the single nation that does the most trade with the Swiss is Germany. So, it stands to reason that a G20 summit in Germany is especially important for Switzerland’s competitive economy. What came out of the recent gathering in Hamburg for the Swiss?

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Victorinox named an official pocketknife supplier to US army

2017-07-12

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2017-07-12

The US Defense Logistics Agencyexternal link (DLA), the Department of Defense’s largest logistics combat support agency, had indeed added the Victorinox knife to its list, a DLA spokesperson told the Swiss News Agency on Monday, confirming a report in the Luzerner Zeitungexternal link newspaper.

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China, Russia Alliance Deepens Against American Overstretch

2017-07-12

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2017-07-12

Leaders
China and Russia allied on Syria and North Korea. Beijing & Moscow economic & monetary ties deepen. Trump needs Russia in order to maintain balance of power in superpower triumvirate. Sino-Russian relations currently in their “best time in history” says Chinese President ahead of G20.

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Great Graphic: Aussie is Approaching 15-month Trendline

2017-07-12

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2017-07-12

Australian Dollar
This Great Graphic, made on Bloomberg, depicts the Australian dollar since April 2016. We drew in the trendline from that April high, through the November high and the March 2017 high. It nearly catches last month's high as well. It comes in now near $0.7725.

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We Need a New American (Social) Revolution

2017-07-12

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2017-07-12

GDP Energy
The solution is a new decentralized way of living that bypasses the chokepoints of centralized political and financial power. I'm going to tell a story here using charts--a story that leads to one conclusion: we need a New American Social Revolution.

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FX Daily, July 11: Markets Looking for Next Cue

2017-07-11

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2017-07-11

Investors await fresh policy clues as the Bank of England's Broadbent is seen as a key vote on a closely balanced MPC, while the Fed's Brainard, is also seen as a bellwether, will speak shortly after midday in NY. Broadbent has not spoken since the election, and his current views are not known.

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Gold and Silver Capitulation – Precious Metals Supply & Demand Report

2017-07-11

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2017-07-11

Gold and Silver Prices, February 2017 - July 2017
Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Swiss papers: Riot images overshadow talks

2017-07-11

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2017-07-11

he G20 summit in Hamburg resulted in a mixed bag for the host, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and an agenda overshadowed by the images of violent protesters, Swiss news media reported. A report in the Swiss newspaper Neue Zürcher Zeitung, or NZZexternal link, described an outcome in which Merkel could only “partially delight”. She set climate change and trade as top priorities, but the

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Swiss block sale over concern about Pakistani nuclear programme

2017-07-11

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2017-07-11

Swiss government officials say they denied an export permit to a domestic manufacturer because of indications that its products would have supported the production of Pakistani nuclear weapons. The decision by Switzerland’s State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECOexternal link) prevented the undisclosed Swiss company from being able to sell its valves abroad for use in ventilation systems.

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Vehicle Sales, Consumer Price Index and Average Weekly Hours: More Than Minor Auto Potential

2017-07-11

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2017-07-11

US JD Power and LMC Automotive Vehicle Sales
According to Edmunds.com, in June 2017 the average length of a new vehicle loan has been stretched to a record 69.3 months. JD Power says that incentives last month were running at more than 10% of MSRP, the eleventh time over the past twelve months where manufacturers have so heavily discounted. And yet, the auto industry would have us believe that the problem is one of fleet sales rather than of consumers.

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Tales from the FOMC Underground

2017-07-11

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2017-07-11

Fed Cartoon
Many of today’s economic troubles are due to a fantastic guess. That the wealth effect of inflated asset prices would stimulate demand in the economy. The premise, as we understand it, was that as stock portfolios bubbled up investors would feel better about their lot in life.

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