by Lance Roberts
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| The private credit market has exploded from under $500 billion a decade ago to $1.2 trillion domestically and $1.7 trillion globally — and stress is building fast. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down exactly what private credit is, who the major players are, and why rising credit stress could force the Federal Reserve's hand — even if inflation and unemployment don't justify it. #PrivateCredit #FederalReserve #CreditMarkets #MacroInvesting #FinancialStability |
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2026-02-12
The delayed BLS employment report came in well above expectations, showing the economy added 130k jobs in January. Furthermore, the unemployment rate slipped to 4.3% versus expectations of a 0.1% increase to 4.5%. The more encompassing U6 unemployment rate fell from 8.4% to 8.0%. The BLS labor report contradicts the monthly and weekly ADP reports, …
2-9-26 Technology Stocks: Dead… or the Next Opportunity?
2026-02-09
Technology stocks started February on the back foot as volatility spiked and leveraged trades unwound across markets—crypto first, then metals, then equities. The key question: is this a real breakdown in tech leadership, or a mechanical liquidation that’s creating selective opportunity?
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Superbowl Recap & Looking for BLS & CPI
4:41 – More Trapped Longs & Volatility to Come
10:38 – Market Volatility May not Be Over Yet
14:28 – The AI Threat to Software Co’s
18:12 – Salesforce vs AI
23:20 – Narratives are Justification for Overpaying
26:30 – Technology Sector Analysis & Rotation
29:40 – Value to Growth Rotation
32:05 – Where are Earnings Coming From?
35:08 – Waiting for the Bottom to Buy
37:36 – Fundamentals Then & Now
40:01 – Margin Debt vs DPI (Disposable Personal
The Reflation Narrative
2026-02-06
The market got off to a strong start in 2026, with investors chasing industrials, materials, and commodity-related stocks as the reflation narrative gained traction. The “reflation narrative” is the belief that a range of policies will boost the rate of economic growth in the U.S. without triggering inflation. As I discussed at our recent 2026 …
2-3-26 Buy What Nobody Wants, Sell What Everyone Loves
2026-02-03
Chasing what’s already performing well is how most investors buy tops—for example, $SLV last week.
Successful investing usually means owning assets nobody wants and selling them once everyone does—but most investors do the opposite.
This leads to complacency, unrealistic return expectations, and knee-jerk decisions driven by standout performers instead of the health of the overall portfolio, ultimately hurting long-term results.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-18-25 The Fed Turned the Liquidity Back On: Watch These Assets
2025-12-19
The Fed is adding liquidity (QE), whatever label they use. The assets most tied to reserves are the ones that will move first: #Bitcoin, major indexes $SPX / $QQQ, transportation, and materials.
In contrast, defensive sectors, $GLD, and $SLV show little to no relationship to changes in reserves.
Please ❤️like and 🔁retweet
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
BLue Owl Roils The AI Narrative
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Blue Owl Capital spooked AI investors on Wednesday when the Financial Times reported that the firm, one of Oracle’s larger financing partners for major U.S. data centers, decided not to provide equity backing for a $10 billion data center Oracle is building in Michigan. This planned facility is part of Oracle’s collaboration with OpenAI under …
Warsh Is In The Race: Fed Chair Odds In Flux
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Over the last few weeks, it seemed all but a done deal that Kevin Hassett would replace Jerome Powell as the next Fed Chair. That changed this past weekend as President Trump added Kevin Warsh alongside Hassett as his top Fed contenders. It’s likely that there are a couple of factors leading Trump to add …
10-24-25 The Art of Retirement Income
2025-10-24
Your greatest retirement risk isn’t the market; it’s living longer than you expect.
Richard Rosso shares the Art of Retirement Income—how to enjoy your savings early in retirement while protecting your future lifestyle.
💡 Topics covered:
• Why the 4% rule doesn’t match how most retirees really spend
• How to front-load income for early enjoyment without running out of money
• The role of inflation protection and flexible withdrawal plans
• How delaying Social Security can act as a built-in longevity hedge
0:20 – Rosso’s Garage – Lost Tools
2:10 – The Toughest Part of Retirement Planning
5:49 – David Blanchett’s Retirement Spending Smile
11:02 – Downsizing in Retirement
15:22 – Lifespan in Retirement
20:43 – Health & Wealth & 1-800-Brent
25:01 – Your Biggest Enemy in Retirement –
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