Lance Roberts

Lance Roberts

Finally, financial news that makes sense. Lance Roberts, the host of "StreetTalkLive", has a unique ability to bring the complex world of economics, investing and personal financial wealth building to you in simple, easy and informative ways but also makes it entertaining to listen to at the same time.

Videos by Lance Roberts

Upcoming Tax Changes: What Happens When the Current Code Expires?

Potential tax changes looming! 📉 What could this mean for you? Find out more in this video. #taxes #financialplanning #changesahead

Join us as we delve into the imminent changes coming to the tax code. Understand what these adjustments mean for you and how they might impact your finances.

– Overview of the current tax code and its expiration.

– What happens if no changes are made to the tax code.

– Implications for personal tax brackets.

– Expected changes in tax percentages.

– Strategies to prepare for the upcoming tax code changes.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
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➢ Upcoming personal

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4-26-24 Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?

Markets & Earnings Recap, PCE Preview: What is the Fed going to do? Tesla takes it on the chin; Mortgage rates and home prices are on the rise; are homeowners feeling trapped? How far will your money go in retiremetn? Higher taxes are coming; who’ll pay the most? Training for Retirement: How to flip the switch from accumulation to de-cumulation; living without that paycheck. Budgeting and spending planning: Where does the money go? Compounding only works if the principal remains untouched. Automating savings. Putting underwear on a payment plan; the ugly truth about automobile financing. Wall Street exists to sell you product. Current tax code expires at the end of 2025; are you prepared to pay higher taxes? Who’s really paying their "fair share?" What happens to capital gains rates?

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Understanding Real GDP: The Critical Role of Inflation and PCE

Understanding the impact of inflation on GDP and data calculations is crucial. The right inflation number remains uncertain, affecting various economic indicators. #inflation #gdp

Explore the intricate relationship between real GDP and inflation in our latest video with guest expert Michael Lebowitz. Dive deep into the economic indicators that affect your daily life and understand their real impact.

– The significant role of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index in real GDP calculation.
– Understanding inflation’s massive effect on economic data interpretation.
– Insight into retail sales figures and their lack of adjustment for inflation.
– The challenges with the current methods of adjusting economic data for inflation.
– Discussing the variability of inflation

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4-25-24 Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft

Lance Roberts is back, and he’s brought Michael Lebowitz with him for today’s show: Most NFL general managers (GMs) are optimistic and displaying overconfidence ahead of today’s NFL draft. Like investors, GMs often think they are smarter than their competitors, aka the market. Yet, they frequently have similar mindsets and follow the same narratives that drive their competition. Lance is Back! What is really happening in Commercial Real Estate: Getting distressed inventories off the books at deep discounts. Market performance recap: Nice bounce off the 100-DMA; PCE coming: What it means & why it’s important.Economic strength is keeping inflation high; can it last? After markets’ nice sell off, downside risk still remains. Paying attention to economic reports and supply & demand; looking

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4-20-24 Candid Coffee – Open Season Episode

Is the Tech Stock pullback healthy? What’s the difference in Bond ratings? Who is really being affected by a tripling of interest rates? These and other pressing financial and investing questions were fielded on our most recent Candid Coffee.
This was an "open-mic" edition of Candid Coffee, with all questions coming from registered participants; the questions’ time codes are noted below.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer

0:00 – Intro & Market recap:
3:30 – Tech stocks’ pull back is healthy; geopolitical risks;
8:05 – The difference between bond ratings
12:47 – Pension Fund investments in REITS w high default risk
19:19 – Are Roth distributions

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The DNA of Success: Habits of Millionaires Unveiled

Got a million dollars, now what? Creating a strategy tailored to your goals is key. Check out our latest vuidei for tips on super savers’ habits! 💰 #FinancialPlanning #millionairenextdoor

Discover the secrets behind the financial success of millionaires in our latest video! Learn the habits that could make or break your journey to reaching your saving goals.

– Unveiling the habits that drive millionaires to their wealth.
– Understand why saving a certain amount might be too much or not enough.
– The importance of creating a tailored strategy to meet your financial objectives.
– Insight into the effective habits that start the foundation of substantial savings.
– Highlights from our blog on the DNA of super-savers, akin to the concepts from "The Millionaire Next Door."

➢ Listen

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4-24-24 What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?

How Tesla fell out of the Magnificent Seven; Tesla’s storage technology vs cheaper Chinese EV’s & the future of EV’s. The true environmental impact of building EV’s. The RIA 8-Ball predictions for PCE. What does realistic retirement look like? The impact of inflation, the Retirement Clock, & you. A discussion on the need for guaranteed income; how Gen-z will retire & the DNA of Super-savers. Educational goals and vocational training. Candid Coffee recap; the public are the best economists. Professional vs Trade careers & new hires’ earnings; the impact of AI on personal skills.

2:33 – Tesla Falls off the Magnificent Seven
13:48 – What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?
29:40 – How Gen-Z will Retire: The DNA of Super-savers
43:49 – Why the Public Are the Best Economists

Hosted by RIA

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Financial Mistakes to Avoid If You’re Retiring within Five Years

Don’t miss out on potential benefits by taking Social Security early. Consider the long-term financial impact for you and your spouse. #financialplanning #retirementplanning

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
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4-23-24 Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid If You’re Retiring within Five Years

Market Commentary: Are there more declines to come? What is the path forward for 5% Bonds? PCE and more earnings reports coming; How to crossover from accumulation to de-cumulation; topic teases: Keeping more of your inheritance; how to increase your inheritance. How to manage funds qwith legacy intent in mind. The important of financial planning before retirement; what is the rate of return you need? The importance of budgeting; financial mistakes you should avoid within five years of retirement; dealing with the rule changes. Dealing with and planning for Social Security. What is the income threshold for converting from pre-tax to Roth IRA?

3:13 – Market Commentary: Are the more declines to come?
14:30 – How to Manage Funds with Legacy Intent in Mind
30:20 – Five Financial Mistakes

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Inflation Adjustment Reveals Weak Sales Despite Reports

Despite reports of strong sales, when adjusted for inflation, the numbers reveal a different story – highlighting potential concerns for employment and small businesses. #RetailSales #EconomicIndicators

Take a closer look at what the sales figures really mean with Lance Roberts. Discover why, despite appearances, inflation-adjusted sales are not as robust as you might think.
– Exploring the discrepancy between reported sales figures and their inflation-adjusted reality
– Examining the correlation between weak inflation-adjusted sales and retail performance
– Understanding the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)’s concerns regarding small business sales
– Delving into the implications of poor sales on employment growth
– Unveiling the economic indicators that are

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4-22-24 Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”

After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week’s PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally.

3:14 – Is the Correction Done?
14:35 – The Unsurprising Uptick in Inflation
30:18 – Higher for Longer, not much

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Boost Your Savings: Strategies for the Accumulation and Distribution Phases

Financial planning goes beyond just saving money. It’s about considering all aspects like taxes to help you keep more money in the end. #moneymanagement #financialplanning

Maximize your savings and navigate the complexities of financial planning with expert guidance from Michael Lebowitz. Dive into strategies and critical insights to secure your financial future in our latest episode.

– Exploring the various methods of accumulating wealth for the distribution phase of finance.
– Understanding the importance of saving and planning for long-term financial security.
– Recognizing the often-overlooked aspects of financial planning on the journey to wealth.
– Preparing for the back end elements that are crucial to successful financial management.
– An in-depth discussion about tax

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4-19-24 Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?

Markets respond to Israel attack on Iran; Procter & Gamble disappoints; markets are in a churning phase. Fed rate decisions & market behaviors. How much do you really need to survive in retirement (What’s your number?) Managing expectations, spending habits, and dependency on Social Securituy; the scinece & art of financial planning; retirement realities. The intimate process of deliverying financial plans; Candid Coffee preview. The three phases of retirement: Go-go, Slow-go, & No-go. Real Investment "’Shrooms." Tax Foundation survey: Do you pay your fair share of federal taxes?

3:12 – Markets’ Respond to Middle East Tensions
14:31 – How Much Do You Really Need to Retire?
30:24 – Delivering Financial Plans & Real Investment Shrooms
44:31 – Do You Pay Your Fair Share?

Hosted by RIA

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Understanding the Recent Inflation Spike and the Federal Reserve’s Reaction

Recent concerns about rising inflation levels are driving market trends. The Federal Reserve appears less worried about this. Stay tuned for a deep dive into the latest inflation data and commentary. #economy #inflation #federalreserve

Join Lance Roberts as he delves into the pressing economic issue of rising inflation and its impact on the markets. Tune in for an insightful analysis of the latest trends and data that are shaping the financial landscape.

– Understanding the recent concerns about inflation and its trajectory
– Exploring four consecutive months of unexpectedly high inflation rates
– Evaluating strong retail sales figures amidst growing inflation concerns
– Analyzing the bond market’s narrative influenced by inflation
– Insight into the Federal Reserve’s perspective

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4-18-24 Are We On Japan’s Path to Stagnation?

Husband Appreciation Day, Mother’s Day, cooling Middle East tensions; the is the Fed allowing the system to percolate? Inflation remains sticky. Markets in correction mode; what happens when the 50-DMA breaks? What to do when the market bounces. Is Fd policy tight enough? The market and the Fed are, for once, on the same page. Foreign buyers’ participation in auctions is good; markets are too driven by headlines and algorithms. Gen-Z "discoveries" and remakes of ’80’s movies; commentary on the good music of the late 1900’s. Is higher inflation sustainable? The give and take in inflation metrics; CPI is mostly about shelter prices; the problem with CPI data. Caitlin Clark/WNBA pay vs NBA pay: The economics of sports. Where salaries come from, and understanding what’s behind the headlines.

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Lance Roberts Explores the Long-Term Impact of Reflation on Money and Markets

Are you concerned about your financial future amidst fluctuating markets? Lance Roberts delves into the impending impacts on your investments and the economy’s trajectory.

– Evaluating the longevity of market dynamics and their effects on personal finance.
– Unveiling Wall Street’s narrative on reflation in the economy.
– Examining the current status of economic reflation after significant growth.
– Analyzing the sustainability of the recent economic expansion.
– Identifying signals that the momentum of reflation is waning.

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow

➢ Upcoming personal finance free

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4-17-24 How to Screw Up Your Retirement in 12 Easy Steps

Market Recap, Jerome Powell on rate cuts and stickier inflation; commodities on the rise = inflation. The CRB Index correlation with W. Texas Crude; no rate cuts until Fall? Markets break the 50-DMA; might be time to trim and rebalance for risk. Jury Duty and the Reflation Trade; Easter + Spring Break impact on March retail sales were underwhelming, following similar disappointment with February & Valentine’s Day sales. How long can "buy-now, pay-later" last? How to screw up your retirement; the only way to wealth is by saving money; investing is for protecting wealth against inflation. The HODL Plan (hold on for dear life); avoid speculation. The demographic line of demarcation in saving for retirement; paying off credit cards, saving 30% of income; fully-fund 401-k.

3:08 – No Rate

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Navigating Markets with Care: Insights from Lance Roberts – The Real Investment Show

In today’s fast-paced financial world, moving cautiously in the markets has never been more crucial. Join Lance Roberts as he delves into the current state of the market and the significance of liquidity.

– Understanding the rapid movements in today’s market

– The importance of cautious investing in an unpredictable environment

– Evaluating the current liquidity conditions of the market

– Insights on how liquidity can impact market stability

– Introduction to the Federal Reserve’s liquidity index and its implications

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow

➢ Upcoming personal finance free online

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How Tax Season Influences the Stock Market Annually – The Real Investment Show

Discover how tax season influences the stock market in our latest deep dive on the Real Investment Show with Lance Roberts. Unpack financial trends with us as we explore the April market bump phenomenon.

– Exploring the annual impact of tax season on the stock market

– Historical analysis of stock market trends during tax season

– Understanding the typical rise in the market towards the latter half of April

– Key factors that support the market during tax season

– The significance of average rates of return in April for investors

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow

➢ Upcoming personal finance

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4-15-24 Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor

Tax Day woes and audit fears; earnings season commences; What are companies saying? No corporate buybacks, removing major buyers of assets; pay attention to companies’ guidance. Markets last week failed at 20-DMA, and tested 50-DMA as momentum slowed. Is not the time to sell? Use any bounce to rebalance risk, but avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Could this be a "buy-the-dip moment?" Lance’s favorite bowl is like the market: There’s a hairline crack. Inflation has been stickier, and higher-for-longer interest rates have been too high for too long. Preview: Tuesday’s article on the Reflation Trade; how can every other country in the world have deflation while the U.S. continues to have inflation? Productive debt sv non-productive debt. Get ready for Tax Season impact on the market; more

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4-12-24 How to Deal with Financial Stress

CFP testing results & commentary on professional credentialing; the importance of the Health/Wealth connection; the importance of continuing education (CE); a brief history of JP Morgan and "too big to fail." Inflation is permatory, not transitory. Profit margins are not great because costs are up. Jerome Powell is trying to put out a fire with a water pistol; how many ate cuts now? There is still too much money in the system to really tame inflation. Real Wages have peaked: Is this Jerome Powell’s "Volker Moment?" What clients "think" about portfolios is the toughest thing for advisors to manage. If Trump is elected, he will have to deal with the next recession. April is stress-awareness month; why we don’t sleep. Rosso’s Brooklyn paper route, Candid Coffee preview, & dealing with

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4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot to Handle?

Having risen by about 40% since last October, Gold is on a moonshot. Many investment professionals consider gold prices to be a macro barometer, measuring the level of anxiety in the economy, inflation, currency, and geopolitics. So what is and isn’t driving the price of gold higher?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
——-
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/
"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/
"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
——-
The

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4-10-24 Can Social Security Be Saved?

It’s CPI Day (with m/m inflation clocking in with a .4% increase, and a y/y gain to 3.8%, hotter than expected). Sheila Jackson-Lee’s science experiment; the NFIB Survey does not bode well for small businesses:Sentiment falls to a new low based on poor sales. There remains a dichotomy between headline economic news and what’s happening behind the scenes. Markets break below the 20-DMA, but regain support. Why what really matters is the data the Fed looks at. Portfolio Spring Cleaning; Five or six ways to save Social Security (but first, a history of SS); the mathematical realities. Why Pensions face the same problems; how to fix it; lock it off. Any viable solution is un-electable. The IPO saga of Truth Social; IPO behaviors. Never buy an IPO out of the gate. DJT still has much to prove.

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4-9-24 Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets

Margin debt levels have surged as bullish investors leverage their bets in the equity market. The increase in leverage is not surprising, as it represents increased risk-taking by investors in the stock market. Unsurprisingly, as consumer confidence improves, so does the speculative demand for equities. As stock markets improve, the “fear of missing out” becomes more prevalent. Such boosts demand for equities, and as prices rise, investors take on more risk by adding leverage.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——-
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"

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Is the Inflation Scare Over-Blown?

Eclipse-mania is out of control. Fed speakers confirm they’ll cut rates, but in no rush to do so. Jobs numbers tantalize markets; the impact of immigration on employment. Boomers & Gen-Z plans to splurge on groceries in 2024. Markets takeout the 20-DMA; will the break be confirmed this week? Putting Inflation into proper perspective; the three measures of inflation. The economic basics of Supply & Demand (and their impact on inflation). Your personal inflation is not the same as mine. What markets pay attention to (CPI). How to fix the power grid: Productive vs un-productive debt. Forgiving student loan debt doesn’t make the debt go away; taxpayers will shoulder the burden of the unpaid debt.

3:14 – Solar Eclipse Day; Markets Test 20DMA
15:40 – The Three Measures of Inflation
30:17 –

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Are You Really Ready for Tax Day?

It’s the Financial Fitness Friday episode of The Real Investment Show, hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——-
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/
"Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/
"Q1 Earnings Season Approaches"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
——-
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here:
&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
——-
Our previous show is

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Is America Mirroring Japan’s Lost Decades?

In this week’s Fedapolooza, Fed spokespersons seem to be growthin less hawkish about rates. Inflation is simply a function of supply & demand. There is a high correlation between GDP/CPI and interest rates. When inflation comes down, so will rates. Watching tomorrow’s employement report: ADP is a poor predictor of BLS data. The Bernie Madoff trendline remains intact in markets; bullish sentiment is very high; bear sightings on Wall Street are rare. Technical trends of inflation are falling as the economy slows; comparisons of Japanese and U.S. economies; discussion on the economic impact on younger generations. Central Bank dominance: Control of markets destroys capitalism. Capitalism is eroding. Discussion of Capitalism vs Socialism and excessive government intervention: What the public

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Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations?

The JOLTS survey rate continues to slow, coincident with a slowing economy; interestingly, retail hiring has dropped sharply, despite increased retail demand (another example of divergent indicators). The data might not be as strong as we think. The difference between Fed promises and predictions can be vast. Markets remain in a "perfect" trend channel; what happens when the 20-DMA is broken? Commentary on the coming solar eclipse, and markets’ historic behavior following. What matters is what happens in the 12-months after such an event. Correction is coming. Answering emails: Stocks vs Bonds in current environment; managing risk is key. What happens to those in all-cash positions when rates fall? Gold & Silver may be doing very well, but are detached from current market reality; they

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Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think

Markets delivered a post-April Fool’s drop, while manufacturing metrics moved back into the expansion zone. Markets have now dropped the chances of a June interest rate cut to 50%; markets continue to trade in a particular range. The April 15 Tax Day bump may not materialize this year with the expiration of previous tax law. Gold is on a catch-up trade; will rotation trades continue? Investor sentiment remains high. The bullishness of Ken Fisher; Gains vs Declines: Market Math explained. The Truth about promised returns vs reality; market math & investor longevity. Markets always revert. No reason not to be bullish now; who expects to be richer in 2024? Gen-Z women are most optimistic. US College Majors with highest un-employment rates: Art History.

3:10 – Markets Drop Chances of Fed

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What To Look For in Q1 Earnings

PCE Inflation is weaker, yet consumer spending remains robust; the Atlanta Fed is forecasting 2.3% GDP for Q2. Is this period nirvana for the Fed? The Relative Strength Index is stuck at 70. Markets continue a low-volatility advance, seemingly floating higher. The current environment typically leads to market correction. The next round of earnings commences next week; it will be unsurprising that to see a high percentage of companies “beat” Wall Street estimates. (The high beat rate is always the case due to the sharp downward revisions in analysts’ estimates as the reporting period begins.) Are investors paying more for less? California’s new $20.hr minimum wage goes into effect today; cast study to come. The realities of the cost of labor; at what point do consumers say, "enough."

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