Tag Archive: Italy
The European Transfer Union From North To South and from Poor to Rich between 1999 and 2007
Cheap ECB rates and rising home prices helped to enrich Southern Europeans between 1999 and 2007. Germany's middle-class and poor, most of them not owning a home, were the ones that financed it.
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European Wealth Reports: Why “Median” Italians are Far Richer than Germans
We explain why according to the European wealth reports "median" Italians are more wealthy than Germans. The main reasons are high savings and accumulation of wealth for the average family until the 1990s, often invested in homes and real estate. Low ECB interest rates finally let the value of the home rise strongly.
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A Century Of French And Italian Economic Decline
Italy overtook Japan with the worst real GDP growth of all advanced economies since 1991 (0.79% per year, an amazing and sad distinction). Italians and French are clearly getting tired of austerity.
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Global Purchasing Manager Indices, Update January 25
Manufacturing PMIs are considered to be the leading and most important economic indicators. After a strong slowing in summer 2012 and the Fed’s QE3, this is the fourth month of improvements in global PMIs January 25th Expansion-contraction ratio: There are 15 countries that show values above 50 and 14 with values under 50. Positive-negative-change ratio: …
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The Biggest Bubble of the Century is Ending: Government Bond Yields
Government bond yields under 10 years for safe-havens are close to zero. In April 2013, even 20 year bond yields are less than 3%, What can explain this bubble of the century? Update August 16, 2013: So, 10-year Treasury yields have ended the day closer to 3 per cent. But not as close as they … Continue reading »
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Who Says No to Austerity and Global Imbalances, Must Say Yes to the Northern Euro
Eventually the euro will be abolished, a Northern Euro introduced: politicians and their economic advisors might just be waiting for a calm moment, especially with upcoming German inflation.
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Global Purchasing Manager Indices, Update December 17
Manufacturing PMIs are considered to be the leading and most important economic indicators. Since the Fed’s QE3, this is the third month of improvements in global PMIs after a strong slowing in summer 2012. January 25th Expansion-contraction ratio: There are as many countries that show values above 50 as under 50. Positive-negative-change ratio: 18 countries …
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About the Impossibilities of the Common-Currency-Recession-Austerity Cycle
Charles Wyplosz, Professor of International Economics, Graduate Institute, Geneva repeats our arguments in "Who says No to Austerity, Says Yes to the Northern Euro" about the impossibility of getting out of the common currency - recession - austerity - cycle. Similar as we do, he proposes a public...
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Unicredit: Both Italy and Britain Should Play in the Southern Euro League, Germany in the Northern
The must read "Italy is a better bond bet than Britain" on the Financial Times. Unicredit CEO Nielsen implicitly confirms our latest post on global and European imbalances that can be solved only with a Northern...
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Global Purchasing Manager Indices, Update December 10
Manufacturing PMIs are considered to be the most leading and important economic indicators. Jim O’Neill, Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, believes the PMI numbers are among the most reliable economic indicators in the world. BlackRock’s Russ Koesterich thinks it’s one of the most underrated indicators. Global Purchasing Manager Indices for the manufacturing industry December 3, 2012 …
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