Category Archive: 2) Swiss and European Macro

George Dorgan (penname) predicted the end of the EUR/CHF peg at the CFA Society and at many occasions on SeekingAlpha.com and on this blog. Several Swiss and international financial advisors support the site. These firms aim to deliver independent advice from the often misleading mainstream of banks and asset managers. George is FinTech entrepreneur, financial author and alternative economist. He speak seven languages fluently.

My articles My site About me My books
Follow on:LinkedIN Twitter Seeking Alpha CFA Society EconomicBlogs

Filter archive by: Show All Show only Articles Show only Videos

Viva la Democrazia! The Reign of the Spread is Finished!

Claudio Messora, one of most well known critics during the "Reign of the spread" between Italian and German bonds.He happy about the return of democracy.

Read More »

The Full List of Monti Reforms: Which Have Been Really Implemented?

Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti passed 30 billion euros ($40.3 billion) in tax hikes (17 billion), pension and spending cuts (13 billion).

Read More »

German Economists and Merkel, the Implicit Followers of the Gold Standard

With ECB's OMT & "conditionality", that requires austerity and implicitly reduction of salaries in European periphery, Merkel & German economists have created consequences similar to a gold-standard.

Read More »

The Euro Crisis: Details and chronology and the German Perspective on it

The history of EU reforms, bailouts during the euro crisis and the German perspective on them

Read More »

Euro Morons: Hyperinflation Successfully Avoided, Stagflation Successfully Created

2012-12-01

by George Dorgan

2012-12-01

Keeping Greece in euro zone, eurocrats or better “euro morons” have successfully avoided a weak drachma and a following Greek hyperinflation. Instead they successfully created stagflation. Currently European HICP inflation is at 2.5%, far above the max. 2.0% official ECB mandate, but the euro is becoming weaker and weaker. German salaries are rising with 2.6% …

Read More »

Das Beste von Ludwig Poullain: Das Ende des Euros, der Beginn des Nordeuros

Ludwig Poullain: Das Ende des Euro rückt näher. Er treibt Völker wieder auseinander. Neid, Missgunst, Verachtung, selbst Hass sind wieder lebendig geworden.

Read More »

Who’s the Next Downgrade Domino to Fall?…The UK?

2012-11-21

by George Dorgan

2012-11-21

Who Downgrades France MUST downgrade the UK, too After Moody’s downgraded France, we are waiting the next major sovereign to suffer the same fate. According to the must-read interactive graph on the BBC, France now has a medium risk of default, but the UK is still in risk status “low”. According to the BBC, each citizen …

Read More »

The Eurozone crisis between euro-morons and zombie-bankers

Falling Unit Labour Costs, but Rising Production Prices in the Periphery. Is this Competitiveness?

2012-11-17

by George Dorgan

2012-11-17

Currently European HICP inflation is at 2.5%, far above the 2.0% official ECB mandate, but the euro is becoming weaker and weaker. German salaries are rising with 2.6% per year. At the same time, the ECB cannot hike interest rates, because it wants to provide cheap money to the periphery. The periphery continues to buy German products, even …

Read More »

Swiss and German Economic Indicators, Update November 1

2012-11-01

by George Dorgan

2012-11-01

Swiss & German Economic Indicators, August 2012

Euro Crisis Has Affected Germany, Switzerland Still Immune Most Recent Events The Swiss SVME PMI has risen from 43.9 to 46.1. This PMI is dominated by machinery, metallurgical and electric equipment exporters organized in the Swissmem organization. As opposed to the chemical industry, they were not innovative enough to adapt to the stronger franc; but …

Read More »

Euro Crisis Has Affected Germany, Switzerland Still Immune

2012-10-26

by George Dorgan

2012-10-26

Swiss and German Economic Indicators, October 2012 Both Swiss and German economic indicators show continued signs of stability, but the German situation has become worse and might affect the Swiss. Especially low unemployment, rising real wages and strong trade balances are signs of robustness. Despite that, Germany’s industrial production is weaker than last year, …

Read More »

Swiss Exports Rise Thanks to Higher Export Prices. Sorry, What ????

2012-10-22

by George Dorgan

2012-10-22

Or how Swiss exporters are able to widen their margins thanks to the SNB currency manipulation Last week the Swiss export data for the third quarter was released. The news agency report was simple: Exports from Switzerland fell by a real 8.0 percent in September to 16.49 billion Swiss francs ($17.87 billion), the Federal …

Read More »

74.8 percent of Norwegians Say No to EU Membership

2012-10-14

by George Dorgan

2012-10-14

In the latest poll, 74.8 percent of the Norwegian population says no to EU membership, while 17.2 said they would vote yes in any referendum. 7.9 percent have not decided. Seven out of ten voters of the ruling party do not share the party’s views on the EU and would have voted no in a possible referendum, … Continue reading...

Read More »

Eurobonds, fiscal or banking union are all pure utopia

2012-08-31

by George Dorgan

2012-08-31

Germany’s stance in the euro crisis: More than ESM will not be possible for many years updated on August 31, 2012 German politicians and the German Bundesbank believe that the Euro crisis can be only solved by supply side reforms as formulated in the Euro Plus Pact, reforms that were already successfully introduced during the Thatcher/Reagan era in the …

Read More »

The End of ECB Rate Cuts or Draghi against Weidmann to be Continued..

2012-08-30

by George Dorgan

2012-08-30

Even in the unlikely case of a fiscal union, the conflict “Draghi against Weidmann”, between the ECB and the Bundesbank will continue for years. The ECB mandate and european inflation figures do not allow for excessive ECB rate cuts or for state financing via the printing press, but Draghi wants to help his struggling …

Read More »

Economic Indicators: In Switzerland and Germany the Euro Crisis Seems to Be Far Away

2012-08-29

by George Dorgan

2012-08-29

Swiss vs. German Economic Indicators, August 2012 Both Swiss and German economic indicators show continued signs of stability. Especially low unemployment, good retail sales and strong trade balances are signs of robustness. The German trade surplus has improved compared to last year, whereas the strong franc harmed the Swiss trade surplus just a bit. …

Read More »

8) Euro Crisis and Euro Macro

We are currently looking for a curator that takes over the euro macro category. The Euro Crisis and its Reasons, details and chronology, German economists ,Eurobonds, fiscal or banking union,Who Says No to Austerity, Says Yes to the Northern Euro Ways to the Northern Euro

Read More »

All roads lead to a euro zone break-up

2012-08-10

by Alex Gloy

2012-08-10

2 solutions for euro zone will work acceptable for Germany

For us all roads lead to a euro zone break-up and multiple sovereign defaults. Our reasoning can be summarized as follows: Equities are worthless when associated debt becomes encumbered (risk capital takes the first loss). Equity is not an asset; it is merely the remainder that is left over once debt is subtracted from …

Read More »

Otmar Issing’s new book on the euro crisis

2012-08-10

by George Dorgan

2012-08-10

We well remember when the über-bailouter of the Financial Times Wolfgang Münchau claimed that except some old economy professors like Otmar Issing nobody in Germany would like to abolish the euro. According to Münchau the euro can be saved only via a fiscal and a banking union. The response to Münchau’s post could be … Continue reading...

Read More »