Tag Archive: USD/JPY
FX Weekly Review, September 12 – 16: U.S. Dollar Resilience Despite Hawkish ECB and bad ISM
The dollar was surprisingly strong this week. This despite a more hawkish ECB, bad U.S. economic data in the ISM surveys.
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FX Weekly Review, August 08 – August 12: Finally an Improvement of the CHF Index
The CHF index experienced its first good week since many weeks, when we compare it against the dollar index. On a three years interval, the Swiss Franc had a weak performance.
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FX Weekly Review, August 01 – August 05: Does the Jobs Report Give the Greenback Legs?
The robust US employment report before the weekend allowed the dollar to recoup the losses it experienced earlier in the
week against most of the major currencies. The Australian dollar and Japanese yen managed to hold onto minor gains for the
week.
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FX Weekly Review, July 25 – July 29: Dollar Hobbled; Technicals Warn of More Losses
The US dollar advance was stopped in its tracks by the
disappointingly weak Q2 GDP figures. The 1.2% annualized growth rate was
roughly half of the pace expected. The FOMC statement earlier in the week did not leave the impression that a September hike was likely, and with the poor growth numbers, the odds were downgraded
further.
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FX Weekly Review, July 18 – July 22: Will the FOMC Halt the Dollar’s Advance?
The US dollar gained against all the major currencies over the past week. It also rose against many emerging market currencies. A notable exception was the Chinese yuan.
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FX Weekly Review, July 11 – July 15: It is not About the Dollar, but About Other Currencies
Our weekly review of currency movements, with focus on the Swiss franc. This week: The US dollar is easily the most traded currency, and despite the plethora of other currencies, it is on one side of nearly 90% of all trades. Yet the movement in the foreign exchange market presently is not so much driven by the dollar as it is by other currencies.
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FX Weekly Review, July 04 – July 08: Further SNB Interventions, Good Dollar Week
In the Brexit month, the Swiss franc index clearly underperformed the dollar index. The major reason is that the dollar is seen as a better safe-haven than the Swiss Franc, possibly because Swiss sales are affected more when British demand falls.
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FX Weekly Review: June 27 – July 01: Swiss Franc Strength Reversed
Week after Brexit.: The Swiss franc (-0.3%) and the yen (-0.5%) were the worst performers, as so-called safe haven buying was reversed.
But the Swiss Franc index is still stronger in the last month than the dollar index.
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FX Weekly Review: June 20 – June 24: Dollar Appreciates with Brexit
The dramatic reaction to the UK decision to leave the European Union has changed the technical condition in the foreign exchange market. The EUR/CHF peaked shortly before the Brexit referendum, when traders were anticipating a yes. It found its trough when the No was published. Then the SNB intervened.
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FX Review Week till June 17: Jo Cox’s death supports Sterling, negative for CHF
Two main events that drove the foreign exchange market. The first iare some post-FOMC meeting movements and the assassination of Jo Cox, that might be positive for the Anti-Brexit camp . The EUR/CHF has fallen down to 1.0774 and recovered.
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Bank Of America Reveals “The Next Big Trade”
Markets have stopped focusing on what central banks are doing and are "positioning for what they believe central banks may or may not do," according to BofA's Athanasios Vamvakidis as he tells FX traders to "prepare to fight the central banks," as th...
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History of Bank of Japan Interventions
We show the history of Japanese FX interventions. The Japanese only intervened when the USD/JPY was under 80. Therefore the 2016 FX intervention threads at 108 are ridiculous.
As opposed to the Swiss National Bank, the Japanese only talk, they do not fight.
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Another Fed “Policy Error”? Dollar And Yields Tumble, Stocks Slide, Gold Jumps
Yesterday when summarizing the Fed's action we said that in its latest dovish announcement which has sent the USD to a five month low, the Fed clearly sided with China which desperately wants a weaker dollar to which it is pegged (reflected promptly ...
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(1) What Determines FX Rates?
The effects of so-called “currency wars” and other central bank actions are small compared to the long-term impact made by these five catalysts, which include credit cycles, trade balance, differences in economic growth, and more.
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(2.5) Real Effective Exchange Rate, Swiss Franc, Yen and Renminbi
The weighted average of country's currency relative to index or basket of other major currencies adjusted for inflation. We explain the Real Effective Exchange Rate for the Franc, the Yen and Renmimbi
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(6.1) FX Theory: The relationship between Current Accounts Surpluses and the Carry Trade
The EUR/USD is going on its longest winning streak for a long time. Since May 27, it has improved from 1.2850 to 1.3396 and is approaching 1.34. What are the reasons?
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(8.1) Yen Weakness: Risk-Off Environment, Abenomics or Trade Deficit?
The yen overshot during and after the financial crisis. The USD/JPY fell from 120 in 2008 to lowest levels of 74, by 62%, but rose to 102 again. What are the reasons?
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