Tag Archive: newsletter

Gold and Silver Will Surge to Record Highs Over $1,900 and $50 Per Ounce – IG TV Interview

2019-07-05

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2019-07-05

Mark O’Byrne, founder at GoldCore, gives IG TV’s Victoria Scholar his outlook for gold and silver prices and why he believes they will surpass their record nominal high prices of 2011 in the coming years.

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How To Properly Address The Unusual Window Dressing

2019-07-05

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2019-07-05

Money Markets Equivalents, 2014-2019
Unable to tackle effective monetary requirements, bank regulators around the world turned to “macroprudential” approaches in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. It was mostly public relations, a way to assure the public that 2008 would never be repeated. A whole set of new rules was instituted which everyone was told would reign in the worst abuses.

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Swiss Consumer Price Index in June 2019: +0.6 percent YoY, 0.0 percent MoM

2019-07-04

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2019-07-04

Switzerland Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY, June 2019
04.07.2019 - The consumer price index (CPI) remained stable in June 2019 compared with the previous month, remaining at 102.7 (December 2015 = 100). Inflation was 0.6% compared with the same month of the previous year. These are the results of the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).

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Another Swiss bank settles German tax evasion probe

2019-07-04

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2019-07-04

The Schaffhausen Cantonal Bank has settled a tax evasion dispute with the German state of North Rhine-Westphalia with a €3.9 million (CHF4.3 million) payment. The penalty clears the bank for all damages in Germany.

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Keith Weiner Gets Interviewed

2019-07-03

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2019-07-03

Our economic views and unique product are generating buzz. There have been a number of interviews recently (more will be posted soon). Lobo Tiggre interviewed Keith Weiner (video) about the unique Monetary Metals business model to pay interest on gold.

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FX Daily, July 03: Yields Extend Decline

2019-07-03

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2019-07-03

Overview: Interest rates are lurching lower.  The US 10-year yield is at new two-year lows, but the driver is European bonds where peripheral yields are 6-7 bp lower,  though Italy's benchmark is off 12 bp, while core yields are down 2-3 bp to new record lows.  The German benchmark is almost minus 40 bp, while the Swiss 10-year is beyond minus 100 bp.  Italy's two-year is breaking more convincingly below zero.

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Fragile truce in Osaka

2019-07-03

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2019-07-03

The US's Trade Deficit with China Continues to Dwarf Others, Despite Tariffs
The US and China reached a ‘trade truce’ on the margins of the G20 summit this weekend, but existing tariffs remain in place. And we are only a tweet away from more Trumpian upheaval.The US and China leaders agreed on a truce during their much-anticipated meeting at the G20 summit in Osaka this weekend. Bilateral trade talks will restart.

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FX Daily, July 2: Post-G20 Euphoria Fades, Stuck with Same Reality

2019-07-02

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2019-07-02

Overview: The euphoria that greeted the resumption of US-China and US-North Korea talks has subsided. Global equities have turned mixed after yesterday's surge. Hong Kong played catch-up, and despite ongoing demonstrations, the Hang Seng rallied over one percent, and the Hong Kong Dollar strengthened beyond its band midpoint for the first time in nine months.

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GDP Begets More GDP (Positive Feedback), Report 30 June

2019-07-02

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2019-07-02

Gold and Silver Price
Last week, we discussed the fundamental flaw in GDP. GDP is a perfect tool for central planning tools. But for measuring the economy, not so much. This is because it looks only at cash revenues. It does not look at the balance sheet. It does not take into account capital consumption or debt accumulation. Any Keynesian fool can add to GDP by borrowing to spend. But that is not economic growth.

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America’s Concealed Crisis: Fifty Years of Economic Decline, 1969 to 2019

2019-07-02

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2019-07-02

U.S. Average Hourly Wages, SA 1964-2018
If we consider the long term, it's clear America's economy and society have been declining for the average household for 50 years. What if the "prosperity" of the past 50 years is mostly a statistical mirage for the bottom 80% of households? 

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FX Daily, July 01: Trade Optimism Meet Reality of Disappointing PMI

2019-07-01

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2019-07-01

Overview: A new tariff truce between the US and China, coupled with the North Korean diplomacy and Russia-Saudi tentative agreement boosted investor confidence and sharp equity rallies. Japanese and Chinese equities rallied 2-3%. Most markets rallied in Asia-Pacific except for South Korea's Kospi and Hong Kong markets were closed as the handover was commemorated.

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Swiss Retail Sales, May 2019: -1.6 percent Nominal and -1.7 percent Real

2019-07-01

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2019-07-01

Switzerland Retail Sales YoY, May 2019
Turnover in the retail sector fell by 1.6% in nominal terms in May 2019 compared with the previous year. Seasonally adjusted, nominal turnover fell by 1.5% compared with the previous month. These are provisional findings from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).

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FX Weekly Preview: Macro Update: Melodrama Subsides but Capriciousness Remains

2019-07-01

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2019-07-01

Since President Trump declared the end of the tariff truce with China in early May, an important focus for investors was the G20 meeting. It was only as it drew near was a meeting between the two heads of state confirmed. What was billed as an extraordinary meeting reportedly lasted less than 90 minutes, and the results were broadly as expected.

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Vitol overtakes Glencore as biggest company in Switzerland

2019-07-01

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2019-07-01

Commodity trader Vitol has taken the top spot in the ranking of the largest companies in Switzerland by total turnover, relegating Zug-based Glencore to second place. According to the rankingexternal link published in the Handelszeitung on Thursday, in 2018 Vitol boasted growth of 26.8% for a total turnover of CHF226 billion ($231 billion) compared to Glencore’s CHF215 billion.

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Following in Rome’s Footsteps: Moral Decay, Rising Inequality

2019-07-01

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2019-07-01

U.S. Pre-Tax Income Share, 1913-2012
Here is the moral decay of America's ruling elites boiled down to a single word. There are many reasons why Imperial Rome declined, but two primary causes that get relatively little attention are moral decay and soaring wealth inequality. The two are of course intimately connected: once the morals of the ruling Elites degrade, what's mine is mine and what's yours is mine, too.

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Swiss government proposes overhaul of money-laundering laws 

2019-06-30

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2019-06-30

The Swiss government wants to revamp the laws against money laundering so that lawyers, notaries and other advisors are required to comply with due diligence obligations.  The Federal Council (executive body) proposed on Wednesday a set of legal amendments to meet international standards in the fight against money laundering and terrorism financing. 

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Could a Cryptocurrency Become a Global Reserve Currency?

2019-06-30

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2019-06-30

USD and other Currencies
Could a non-state cryptocurrency like bitcoin become a global reserve currency? I first proposed the idea back in November 2013, long before bitcoin's rise to $19,000, decline to $3,200, recent ascent to $13,000 and current retrace.

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Swiss mortgages and bank profits rise as jobs scale down

2019-06-29

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2019-06-29

Swiss commercial banks achieved higher profits last year, mortgage loans tipped the CHF1 trillion ($1.02 trillion) mark and costs were saved by reducing headcounts. These are the findings of an annual report from the Swiss National bank (SNB).

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Switzerland’s upper house wants incentives for people who work beyond 65

2019-06-29

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2019-06-29

The gap between Switzerland’s official retirement age – 65 for men and 64 for women – and average life expectancy is long. Life expectancy at 65 is 20 years for men (85) and 23 for women (88). More and more people are questioning the viability of living for two decades or more without working, particularly when the population is aging and the pension system is crumbling.

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Big pay gaps remain in Switzerland

2019-06-29

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2019-06-29

Large wage gaps continue by gender and within Switzerland’s largest 26 firms, according to two new surveys. According to the Federal Office for Statistics, the median gross salary of male full-time employees in Switzerland stood at CHF85,200 ($87,276) last year, while for full-time female employees it was CHF71,500 – a 19% pay gap.

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