Tag Archive: Gold

Gold Consolidates On 2.5percent Gain In July After Dollar Has 5th Monthly Decline

2017-08-06

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2017-08-06

Gold in USD, Jan 2013 - 2017
Gold consolidates on 2.5% gain in July as the dollar has fifth monthly decline. Trump administration and vicious “civil war” politics casting shadow over America and impacting dollar. All eyes on non farm payrolls today for further signs of weakness in U.S. economy. Gold recovers from 1.7% decline in June as dollar falls. Gold outperforms stocks and benchmark S&P 500 YTD.

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Estimated Chinese Gold Reserves Surpass 20,000t

2017-08-02

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2017-08-02

Shanghai Gold Exchange Vaults, Jan 2009 - June 2017
My best estimate as of June 2017 with respect to total above ground gold reserves within the Chinese domestic market is 20,193 tonnes. The majority of these reserves are held by the citizenry, an estimated 16,193 tonnes; the residual 4,000 tonnes, which is a speculative yet conservative estimate, is held by the Chinese central bank the People’s Bank of China.

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Extending The Cycle

2017-08-01

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2017-08-01

This economic cycle is one of the longest on record for the US, eight years and counting since the end of the last recession. It has also been, as almost everyone knows, a fairly weak expansion, one that has managed to disappoint both bull and bear.

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Bitcoin, Gold and Silver

2017-08-01

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2017-08-01

Banksy’s “Keep it Spotless”
Keith Weiner's weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Gold A Good Store Of Value – Protect From $217 Trillion Global Debt Bubble

2017-07-30

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2017-07-30

U.S. Global Investors, 2002 - 2017
‘Mother of all debt bubbles’ keeps gold in focus. Global debt alert: At all time high of astronomical $217 T. India imports “phenomenal” 525 tons in first half of 2017. Record investment demand – ETPs record $245B in H1, 17. Investors, savers should diversify into “safe haven” gold. Gold good ‘store of value’ in coming economic contraction.

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Gold Seasonal Sweet Spot – August and September – Coming

2017-07-27

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2017-07-27

Gold performance by month 1979-2016
Gold seasonal sweet spot – August and September – is coming. Gold’s performance by month from 1979 to 2016 – must see table. August sees average return of 1.4% and September of 2.5%. September is best month to own gold, followed by January, November & August.

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Against Irredeemable Paper – Precious Metals Supply and Demand

2017-07-26

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2017-07-26

Gold and Silver Prices
Something needs to be said. We are against the existence of irredeemable paper currency, central banking and central planning, cronyism, socialized losses and privatized gains, counterfeit credit, wealth transfers and bailouts, and welfare both corporate and personal.

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Le prix de l’or est manipulé. Egon von Greyerz

2017-07-26

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2017-07-26

Manipulation
La léthargie estivale des marchés a tendance à insuffler un sentiment de fausse sécurité. Les actions et l’immobilier approchent de leurs plus hauts historiques, les taux d’intérêt sont à un plus bas de 72 ans, et la plupart des investisseurs se sentent plus riches que jamais. Les banques centrales envoient les signaux d’économies fortes en annonçant des hausses de taux et une réduction de leurs bilans.

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Did The Dutch Central Bank Lie About Its Gold Bar List?

2017-07-25

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2017-07-25

The-Netherlands-Official-Gold-Reserves-Locations
Head of the Financial Markets Division of the Dutch central bank, Aerdt Houben, stated in an interview for newspaper Het Financieele Dagblad published in October 2016 that releasing a bar list of the Dutch official gold reserves “would cost hundreds of thousands of euros”. In this post we’ll expose this is virtually impossible – the costs to publish the bar list should be close to zero – and speculate about the far reaching implications of this...

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Bank Of England Warns “Bigger Systemic Risk” Now Than 2008

2017-07-21

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2017-07-21

Bank of England
Bank of England warn that “bigger systemic risk” now than in 2008. BOE, Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) concerns re financial system. Banks accused of “balance sheet trickery” -undermining spirit of post-08 rules. EU & UK corporate bond markets may be bigger source of instability than ’08. Credit card debt and car loan surge could cause another financial crisis. PRA warn banks returning to similar practices to those that sparked 08 crisis....

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“Financial Crisis” In 2017 Or By End Of 2018 – Prepare Now

2017-07-19

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2017-07-19

Central Bank Balance Sheets of Financial Crisis, 2007 - 2017
John Mauldin of Mauldin Economics latest research note, Prepare for Turbulence, is excellent and a must read warning about the coming financial crisis. Mind refreshed from what sounds like a wonderful honeymoon and having had the time to read some books outside his “comfort zone” he has come to the conclusion that we are on the verge of a “major financial crisis, if not later this year, then by the end of 2018 at the latest.”

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Stockholm Syndrome – Precious Metals Supply and Demand

2017-07-18

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2017-07-18

Charles Ponzi
Stockholm Syndrome is defined as “…a condition that causes hostages to develop a psychological alliance with their captors as a survival strategy during captivity.” While observers would expect kidnapping victims to fear and loathe the gang who imprison and threaten them, the reality is that some don’t.

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Global Asset Allocation Update: Not Yet

2017-07-18

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2017-07-18

Moderate Allocation
There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are no changes to the portfolio this month. Growth and inflation expectations rose somewhat since last month’s update. The change is minor though and within the range of what we’ve seen in recent months.

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Attention Shoppers

2017-07-17

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2017-07-17

The majority of the economic reports over the last two weeks have been disappointing, less than the consensus expectations. The minor rebound in activity we’ve been tracking since last summer appears to have stalled. Retail sales continue to disappoint and inventory/sales ratios are once again rising – from already elevated levels.

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Unveiling the Silver in the LBMA London vaults

2017-07-09

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2017-07-09

Pallet
Sometime in the coming days, the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) plans to begin reporting the amount of real physical gold and silver that is actually stored in the network of LBMA vaults in London. This follows an announcement made by the LBMA on 8 May.

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What Really Happened When Gold Crashed, Monday June 26?

2017-07-05

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2017-07-05

Gold Price Versus Gold Basis
Keith Weiner’s weekly look on Gold. Gold and silver prices, Gold-Silver Price Ratio, Gold basis and co-basis and the dollar price, Silver basis and co-basis and the dollar price.

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Draghi Moves Markets

2017-07-03

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2017-07-03

In my last update two weeks ago I commented on the continued weakness in the economic data. The economic surprises were overwhelmingly negative and our market based indicators confirmed that weakness. This week the surprises are not in the economic data but in the indicators. And surprising as well is the source of the outbreak of optimism in the bond market and the yield curve.

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Global Asset Allocation Update:

2017-06-24

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2017-06-24

Moderate Allocation
There is no change to the risk budget this month. For the moderate risk investor, the allocation between risk assets and bonds is unchanged at 50/50. There are no changes to the portfolio this month.

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Has The Fed Heard Of Amazon?

2017-06-19

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2017-06-19

The economic surprises keep piling up on the negative side of the ledger as the Fed persists in tightening policy or at least pretending that they are. If a rate changes in the wilderness can the market hear it? Outside of the stock market one would be hard pressed to find evidence of the effectiveness of all the Fed’s extraordinary policies of the last decade.

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The Three Headed Debt Monster That’s Going to Ravage the Economy

2017-06-11

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2017-06-11

Mass Infusions of New Credit. “The bank is something more than men, I tell you.  It’s the monster.  Men made it, but they can’t control it.” – John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath. Something strange and somewhat senseless happened this week. On Tuesday, the price of gold jumped over $13 per ounce. This, in itself, is nothing too remarkable. However, at precisely the same time gold was jumping, the yield on the 10-Year Treasury note was slip sliding...

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