Tag Archive: Dollar Index
FX Weekly Review, August 22 – August 26: Swiss Franc Loses Most Gains Again
After winning 5% against the dollar index last week, the Swiss Franc index lost 3% again. CHF lost against both USD and EUR. Reason: An increased probability of a rate hike in the U.S.
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FX Weekly Review, August 15 – August 19: Swiss Franc index improves 5% compared to dollar index
The US dollar lost ground against nearly all the major currencies last week. The sole exceptions were the Australian dollar, where Moody's decision to cut the outlook for five Australian banks wiped out the previous small gain. The Swiss Franc index gained nearly 5% compared to the dollar index.
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FX Daily, August 16: Dollar Slumps, but Driver may Not be so Obvious
The US dollar is being sold across the board today. The US Dollar Index is off 0.65% late in the European morning, which, if sustained, would make it the largest drop in two weeks. The proximate cause being cited by participants and the media is weak US data that is prompting a Fed re-think.
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FX Weekly Review, August 08 – August 12: Finally an Improvement of the CHF Index
The CHF index experienced its first good week since many weeks, when we compare it against the dollar index. On a three years interval, the Swiss Franc had a weak performance.
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FX Weekly Review, August 01 – August 05: Does the Jobs Report Give the Greenback Legs?
The robust US employment report before the weekend allowed the dollar to recoup the losses it experienced earlier in the
week against most of the major currencies. The Australian dollar and Japanese yen managed to hold onto minor gains for the
week.
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FX Weekly Review, July 25 – July 29: Dollar Hobbled; Technicals Warn of More Losses
The US dollar advance was stopped in its tracks by the
disappointingly weak Q2 GDP figures. The 1.2% annualized growth rate was
roughly half of the pace expected. The FOMC statement earlier in the week did not leave the impression that a September hike was likely, and with the poor growth numbers, the odds were downgraded
further.
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FX Weekly Review, July 18 – July 22: Will the FOMC Halt the Dollar’s Advance?
The US dollar gained against all the major currencies over the past week. It also rose against many emerging market currencies. A notable exception was the Chinese yuan.
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FX Weekly Review, July 11 – July 15: It is not About the Dollar, but About Other Currencies
Our weekly review of currency movements, with focus on the Swiss franc. This week: The US dollar is easily the most traded currency, and despite the plethora of other currencies, it is on one side of nearly 90% of all trades. Yet the movement in the foreign exchange market presently is not so much driven by the dollar as it is by other currencies.
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FX Weekly Review, July 04 – July 08: Further SNB Interventions, Good Dollar Week
In the Brexit month, the Swiss franc index clearly underperformed the dollar index. The major reason is that the dollar is seen as a better safe-haven than the Swiss Franc, possibly because Swiss sales are affected more when British demand falls.
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FX Weekly Review: June 27 – July 01: Swiss Franc Strength Reversed
Week after Brexit.: The Swiss franc (-0.3%) and the yen (-0.5%) were the worst performers, as so-called safe haven buying was reversed.
But the Swiss Franc index is still stronger in the last month than the dollar index.
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Why the Fed Will Talk Down the Dollar
And right now, in the wake of Brexit, tighter monetary policy is clearly not an option. Plus, a stronger dollar (by virtue of the “peg”) strengthens the Chinese Yuan and the Saudi Riyal… something neither country will tolerate.
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FX Weekly Review: June 20 – June 24: Dollar Appreciates with Brexit
The dramatic reaction to the UK decision to leave the European Union has changed the technical condition in the foreign exchange market. The EUR/CHF peaked shortly before the Brexit referendum, when traders were anticipating a yes. It found its trough when the No was published. Then the SNB intervened.
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FX Review Week till June 17: Jo Cox’s death supports Sterling, negative for CHF
Two main events that drove the foreign exchange market. The first iare some post-FOMC meeting movements and the assassination of Jo Cox, that might be positive for the Anti-Brexit camp . The EUR/CHF has fallen down to 1.0774 and recovered.
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Macro Thinking: FOMC, USD, and EU
The Federal Reserve modified its stance yesterday without changing rates. It is not just about how fast the Fed sees itself normalizing monetary policy but also where the level of the equilibrium rate. The FOMC statement, but especially the officials’ forecasts (dot plots) effective unwound the impact of the earlier Fed talk of the likely …
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Chart up-date: Stocks, Bonds, Copper, Gold
Well that escalated quickly...All-time highs within reach... everything is awesome...wait what...
Quite a week:
Gold +5.25% in last 2 weeks - best run in 4 months
Silver +5.65% this week - best week since May 2015
Copper -4% this week to lowest week...
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Great Graphic: Gold and the Dollar
Many investors still think about gold as if it were money. Economists identify three functions of money: store of value, means of exchange, and a unit of account.
It can be a store of value, but the price fluctuates compared with other form...
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FX Week Ahead: Evolving Investment Climate
The US dollar’s weakness in recent months, despite negative interest rates in Europe and Japan likely had many contributing factors. These factors include shifting views of Fed policy, weaker US growth, the recovery in commodity prices, including oil, gold and iron ore, and market positioning.
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FX Daily, May 02: New Month, Same Heavy Dollar
In quiet turnover, with China, Hong Kong, Singapore and London markets closed, the US dollar is trading with a heavier bias against all the major currencies. Lower commodity prices, including oil and copper, appears to be taking a toll on some emerging market currencies, including the South African rand. Japanese markets were closed last Friday …
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Dollar’s Technical Tone Improves
It is not that the US dollar had a particularly good week. It was mixed. The best performers were sterling and the Canadian dollar. The pound led with a 1.6% gain, followed closely by the Canadian dollar.
The latest polls suggest that tho...
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FX Daily, 03/19: Greenback Remains Technically Vulnerable
The US dollar had a difficult week. The price action after the ECB meeting had undermined the technical tone, and the dollar took another leg down after the FOMC moved closer to the market expectation by reducing the number of rate hikes the median official thinks will be appropriate this year from four to two. … Continue...
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