Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Will Inflation Data Pump Market Momentum? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-15

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(11/15/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before PPI for October was reported at +0.2%, vs the anticipated 0.4% increase] Markets were waiting for October's Producer Price Index report, expected to come down a bit as sings of economic slowing have been more apparent of late. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Vice-president Lael Brainard hinted the Fed could be close to easing the pace of its rate hikes. Could this, coupled with the cooler inflation number...

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The FTX Fiasco & Bankruptcy – A Sign of the Times

2022-11-15

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(11/15/22) The FTX fiasco and ensuing bankruptcy is symptomatic of the times; professionals are no better than amateur investors at this point in valuations and performing due diligence. The truth behind the "Santa Clause Rally," and what's really happening; get ready for sloppiness in December. FTX shenanigans & repercussions: How we got the SEC, Sarbanes-Oxley, & other regulations; "Stakeholder Capitalism" and...

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The FTX-Binance Fail

2022-11-10

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Will Sam Bankman-Fried go from Billionaire to Inmate over the FTX fiasco? FTX is why we have the SEC; Crypto will eventually be regulated by the government. Who takes the hit from the FTX fail, and whatever happened to investor due diligence? (Could blockchain solve election polling woes?) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch the full show on our YouTube...

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Did FTX-Binance Bust Markets? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-10

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(11/10/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before CPI for October was reported at 7.7% YOY, and down from September's 8.2%] Markets sold off more than 2% following a"meh" midterm outcome, breaking through the 50- and 20-DMA, holding on somewhat tenuously. It's important that markets rally above those levels today, otherwise there'll be a retest of lows seen back in June of this year. The MACD sell-signal is close to flipping, suggesting...

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Who Takes the Hit from the FTX Fail?

2022-11-10

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(11/10/22) Markets sold off following 'meh' midterm results, and Binance pulled out of a FTX-bailout. Despite a disappointing 10-yr Treasury auction, the bond market saw a bit of a boost from the FTX-Binance fallout; who's looking for Q4 GDP = 4%? Will Sam Bankman-Fried go from Billionaire to Inmate over the FTX fiasco? FTX is why we have the SEC; Crypto will eventually be regulated by the government. Who takes the hit from the FTX fail, and...

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After the Midterms

2022-11-09

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(11/11/22) It's Veterans Day, and we're on a brief hiatus. Here's a segment from a recent Financial Fitness Friday Episode as Rich & Danny ponder the question of life, and what's likely in the post-midterm season. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Get more info & commentary:...

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Will We Get Gridlock? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-09

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(11/9/22) Midterm elections are behind us, and all that's left to determine is who will control the House and the Senate, and will we get a gridlocked congress, which tends to be better for markets. Historically, post-midterm election markets tend to rally into the year-end. Meanwhile, the bottoms built in September and October have resulted in a rally, albeit not a strong one. The buy-signal on the MACD has performed as expected. Stocks yesterday...

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How to Lose a Billion Dollars in Crypto

2022-11-09

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(11/9/22) The election is past; time to move on: Why Markets can now be optimistic. Stocks tend to perform well in the 12-months following a midterm election. With stock buybacks, Thanksgiving, and end of year maneuvering, markets will see uptick in activity., but it's going to be sloppy. Disney streaming disappoints: Too much competition, not enough good content. The Crypto-crash of FTX; Sam Bankman-Fried fries his fortune, losing 94% of net...

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Markets Focus on Midterm Outcomes | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-08

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(11/8/22) Markets rallied Monday, coming off critical support at the 20-DMA following Fed Chair Powell's hawkish comments last week. A new CPI print will be released On Thursday, and if it's hotter than expected, that could weigh on stock prices as the Fed is encouraged to hike interest rates further. Markets' focus today, however, it the outcome of the Midterm elections, and what Wall Street would like to see is Congressional Gridlock. Markets...

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Election Day & Powerball Delay

2022-11-08

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(11/8/22) It's Mid-term Election Day, and all working American's must return to their jobs, as no one has won the Powerball Lottery. Yet. An overnight delay of the results has further stalled the outcome. Midterm election outcomes will determine the direction markets make into the end of the year. Mattress Mac MacInvale's Big Bet and Caesar's takes a hit; figuring the odds. Why "investing" in the market really is a gamble; betting on...

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What Will Drive Markets Next? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-07

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(11/7/22) Markets rebounded on Friday, and are set to open higher this morning, ahead of The Big Elections tomorrow. The 20-DMA is now confirmed-support, and markets today will retest resistance at the 50-DMA. Markets are trapped between these two, narrow boundaries. A breakout in one direction of the other will likely dictate the next leg of the markets' move. The election outcomes and next week's CPI report, for better or worse, are likely to be...

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It’s Midterm Election Eve

2022-11-07

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(11/7/22) It's Mid-term Election Eve (fixing the clocks for CST). Markets' response to hawkish Fed statements by testing resistance at 50-DMA today. All bets are off until after the midterm elections; re-testing of markets lows are coming; why businesses' tapping of credit lines are not a good omen. What shook the markets: Headline data vs underlying details; household surveys vs government reports (lagging indicators). Economic weaknesses will...

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9 Things Every Retiree Should Do

2022-11-04

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(11/4/22) The souring economy is causing corporations to take pause, cutting staff and dealing with increased cost of debt, thanks to interest rate hikes. We've been here before; it just feels worse now. Halloween recap, Thanksgiving inflation and making menu choices; the change in I-Bond rates: Still a good deal? No new toys for Christmas; do you need a family CFO? Planning ahead for end-of-life. Guidelines for lending money to family and friends:...

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Powell: It’s Okay If the Fed Breaks Something | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-03

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(11/3/22) The most volatile 90-minutes in market history followed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's anticipated 75-basic point rate hike coupled with hawkish language promising still higher rates to come. And, Powell said it's okay if the Fed breaks something because they have the tools to fix it, going back to quantitative easing and zero interest rates, flooding the markets with liquidity anew. Investors ignored that part, instead focusing on the here...

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The Fed Really Doesn’t Know What It’s Doing

2022-11-03

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(11/3/22) After an initial surge following Wednesday's Fed Meeting, markets took a dive with Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish remarks that inflation has not yet abated, and more rate hikes are to come. The result was The Most Volatile 90-Minutes in Market History; there was nothing good in Powell's comments, and with lots of cash held by managers that needs to be put to work before year's end, tumultuous times are to come. Twitter is set to fire half...

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Fed Meeting Today – Another 75-Basis Points? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-02

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(11/12/22) The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike interest rates again at today's meeting by 75-basis point. The more important element, however, is what Powell & Co. will have to say about the future pace and scale of rates into 2023. The anticipated goal is a Fed "terminal rate" of 5%, at which point rate increases would cease. For now. Any kind of inclination towards a more doveish outlook should bode well for stocks....

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Stock Buybacks Don’t Really Benefit Investors

2022-11-02

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(11/2/22) Understanding Gold: Worst performance since 1869; what drives gold? Real Interest Rates. it's the Day of the Fed: What will be said matters more than today's rate decision; how will markets and yield curves respond? Why FAANG Stocks aren't dead. Pro's and Con's of taxing the rich: Why we have stock buybacks, and why they really don't benefit investors. Why gasoline prices are high: Lack of refining capacity, reluctance to invest in new...

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Can Markets’ Rally Continue in November? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-01

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(11/1/22) Following the best October in the Dow since 1975, investors are wondering whether markets can replicate last month's performance. Futures this morning are pointing higher ahead of this week's Fed meeting in which interest rates are expected to get another 75-bp goosing. The real question, however, is whether the Fed is about to begin tapering the velocity or intensity of its rate hikes. The Fed's "Terminal Rate" is expected to...

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Why 79% of Americans Think Things Are Out of Control

2022-11-01

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(11/1/22) The Roberts' Halloween Recap; What is the Fed watching for: Inflation and Employment (and their rates of change); the velocity of money is slowing; CEO Confidence is falling; No Powerball Winner; winners usually lose; Markets commentary: Use any rally to raise cash ahead of repricing of earnings; things change: What is the "Cure de Jour" the Fed will use next? Why doesn't the Fed make changes in anticipation of problems to...

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Preparing for the Recession of 2023 | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-10-31

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(10/31/22) Despite the Big Tech Sell-off, the Dow is on track for its best performance since the 1930's, up over 14% heading into today's Halloween session. Markets continue to do technically very well from a bullish perspective. Markets soared above the critical 3,800 level last week, the initial resistance level that would set markets up for a rally. Indeed, the S&P is now positioned to rally up to somewhere between 3,900 and 4,100....

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