How Much Will You Spend on Your Pet (and other pet peeves) in 2024?

2024-03-27

The Sentiment Index is hanging in, despite weakening regional surveys; economists see no recession in sight; bank reserves have been rising since October 2022. End of quarter rebalancing is generating some activity; after three-days of selling, market futures are positive this morning. Watch markets’ steep angle of ascent; this is not sustainable, and correction will result sooner or later. Lance’s unique inflation indicator… Markets still act like there’s a flood of liquidity when there’s not; markets are bifurcated; Houston real estate is insane. Can Wall Street save your retirement? Larry Fink thinks so, or at least wants you to think he can; Blackrock & Merrill want to hold your money forever. Creation of Merrill’s Target Date Fund. Why Annuities are so lucrative; three reasons why

2024-02-26

Retail investors have started chasing small-cap stocks in hopes of both a rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve and avoiding a recession. Such would seem logical given that, historically, small capitalization companies tend to perform best during the early stages of an economic recovery. Since debt-driven government spending programs have a dismal history of providing the promised economic growth, disappointment over the next year is almost guaranteed.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data:"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/
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The latest

2024-02-20

There are "Dow Days" and "NSDQ Days;" CPI inflation is still transitory; emerging influence of presidential election on Congress’ ability to manage debt & spending, M-2 as % of GDP. There is little expectation for earnings growth this year. Markets remain in bullish trend, but a negative day today could trigger MCD Sell-signal. Time to reduce portfolio risk and wait until correction to put capital back to work. Instead of fearing market exuberance, understanding what drives it can provide you with insight and opportunity. look at Employment data and the frustration of college grads unable to find jobs. The Immigration connection to it all: Why we need (merit-based) immigration: Demography is destiny.

2:28 – Dow Days vs NSDQ Days: Correction Coming
13:43 – Understanding ll-time Highs

2024-02-15

The post-Valentine’s Day afterglow; Markets are not behaving like it’s February (typically a weaker month), so far. The NFIB Small Business Survey belies weaker conditions and negative sentiment; there is a correlation between the NFIB and Small Cap Index. Markets continue to do well, despite weaker economic activity; bonds showing promise; NVIDIA captures 3rd place in S&P 500, unseating Amazon & Google. Commentary on pending legislation to reclassify Homelessness as a Healthcare issue; economic data preview: Retail Sales could be weaker; PPI and weaker regional manufacturing reports; the impact of Government Debt is a drag on economic growth; the continuing effects of fiscal stimulus. The Components of CPI: Homeowners Equivalent Rent/Shelter vs PCU (what the Fed looks at); the flaws in

2024-02-14

(2/14/24) Financial advisors have significantly different perceptions of their clients’ retirement readiness than do the clients themselves, according to Allspring Global Investments’ annual retirement survey, released Tuesday.
While some two-thirds of retirees and near-retirees considered themselves ready for retirement, only 40% of advisors, who were included in the survey for the first time, said their clients were ready.

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:
https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Divergences

2023-11-21

(11/21/23) Earnings Season continues with NVIDIA set to report this evening after the bell: expectations are high, and if there’s a miss, markets may punish. Markets have become very elevated only a month after everyone was so pessimisti. The Bond Market continues to surprise with a stellar acution of 20-year bonds. Will there be a Recession, a soft-landing, or no Reccession in 2024? Who knows?? Markets are over bought and need to take a breather at this point. The Recovering Californian & real turkey; the annual performance comparison: Don’t make this mistake! Why your portfolio hasn’t kept up with the S&P this year; the problem with comparisons; the origin of Turduckens; the truth about Home Sales numbers.

2:54 – Recession, Soft-landing, or No Recession in 2024?
14:30 – Why the S&P

2023-11-15

(11/15/23)
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Under Pressure" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Recession Fears Return as Bond Rates Drop"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"Speculator Or Investor? What’s The Difference?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculator-or-investor-whats-the-difference/
"Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Get more info & commentary:

2023-11-06

(11/6/23) Friday’s employment report was weaker than expected, as expected; there’s always no recession in sight…until it is. How long will it take for the lag effect to appear? Black Friday preview; market rallied to 6% after previous week of disappointment. Markets ran through resistance, and are now over bought; looking at Bonds’ tough year. The Fed says yields are doing its work; there’s no safe place to hide. Consumer confidence is key, and creates inflation; the trap the Fed is now in. Citizen Bank failure; higher interest rates are begining to take a toll. Why the FIRE movement is dead; the problem with retiring too early: Loss of skill; "Soft Saving" is now in: More relaxed attitude about retirement and savings, living in the moment. Berkshire Hathaway Quarterly report reveals