Ten Steps to Achieving the ‘American Dream’

2024-03-07

Earnings growth are a function of economic growth; the US Economy is de-coupled from the rest of the world, which economy is poor. The danger of deficits (that are funding our economic growth); SOTU Preview: "The economy is great." Market continues trading in a very tight range, but ever upward; this is when complacency sets in. The market is setting up for correction as the election draws nearer. Are we in a bubble or the market top; how to justify valuations. Cisco vs Nvidia: What is Nvidia worth now? The correlation between Bank reserves and the market. Powell says the Fed’s next move will be a rate cut by EOY. Stocks in the news with less liquidity in the market, yet, financial (lending) conditions are easing? Borrowing activity is at an all-time low: Conditions are very tight. Why

2024-01-09

(1/9/24) Wall Street begins a new round of quarterly earnings, looking at the results of Q4; estimates for 2024 are allready falling. What are you really paying for earnings? Why we have to be in ETF’s, even though we don’t like them. There is evidence of an uptick in inflation this year. Markets miss achieving January Trifecta by .13%, despite tax gain selling pressure. Will January be similarly weak? We polled our viewers/listeners for their takes on what 2024 will hold: Polling the People includes commentary on S&P 500 Seasonality and bullish sentiment, and where the markets may end in 2024. There’s an expectation for negative returns, higher inflation, slower economic growth and Real GDP; higher unemployment, higher interest rates, and the odds for recession.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’

2023-12-19

(12/19/23) Markets are winding-down to the Christmas hoiday; trading volumes will be light. We’ve seen record inflows to S&P 500 ETF’s as markets have rallied = too much exuberance. Forgetting the basisc: Buy under-valued, sell over-valued. How the Dollar drives markets. Counting out the 12-days of Christmas: Why so many birds? Sell cash, buy stocks, as Powell pivots; how government intervention (the Fed) affects investor psychology: Did we get our money’s worth? Where did all that money go?? The disconnect of markets from the economy; market rescues funded on debt. Pre-market commentary; holiday spending: more money, less stuff; Lance’s weekend on the border; earnings preview: Shipping & freight commentary; don’t expect a big crash. Yet. Unexpected, exogenous events are catalysts of

2023-12-08

T-Bill & Chill? Putting cash to work in a 5% world. Bankers are betting you’re going to be lazy; what will you do when rates go back down?

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the full show from which this excerpt was lifted on our YouTube channel:
_6H1Iac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the VIX is Saying" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "#Bitcoin Back in the Headlines"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"The Fed Pauses: What Comes Next?"

2023-12-07

(12/7/23) Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens When Buybacks Go Away " is here: -jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Is There Hope for 2024?"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s
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Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/
"Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/
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Get more info &

2023-12-04

(12/4/23) Welcome to the first full week of December trading; a review of Mrs. Roberts’ Birthday Weekend; market-wise, the stock buy back window is closing; expectations for a hawkish Fed statement next week; mutual fund distributions are coming; be cautious about being overly bullish. Rotations from the Magnificent Seven are beginning; the ‘Everything’ Rally went too far, too fast. We’re back where we were in July; losses were mitigated by the Magnificent Seven. Chasing last year’s leaders is not a good idea. As we wrap up 2023, we believe December will be more muted, barely positive. Recession talk has not abated, slower growth is expected, which is why the Fed had paused. Jerome Powell is not in as good a position as before, saying it is "premature to conclude when policy might ease."

2023-12-01

(12/1/23) The next James Bond movie should be called, "Convexity," starring Michael Lebowitz; looking at the Climate Summit: What’s on Bill Gates’ agenda? ESG is a farce; it’s all about big business; eating bugs and drinking beetle juice. How to execute Thematic Investing; what are the rules needed to manage? The Magazine of Wall Street: How times have changed. Financial Ghosts-past: learning from your mistakes. Calculating your personal debt-to-income ratio, and our recommendations; the wisdom of waiting; wants vs needs. Careful of using online tools to calculate debt ratios (know the source!) "Standard Rules" vs reality. Home affordability and the trend toward smaller houses. Money Scripts & the $5 test: The Ratliff Safe (TM)

2:53 – Convexity & Climate Summits
14:12 – Thematic