by Lance Roberts
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The S&P 500 closed at 6,740 on Friday, its lowest level since mid-December, as technical deterioration, collapsing payrolls, and $100 oil converged on the charts. Every major moving average has broken. Here’s what comes next. The S&P 500 closed at […]
The post Technical Deterioration: Risk Management Is Key appeared first on RIA.
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Treasury Bond Yields Don’t Lie: But Wars Don’t Drive Them
2026-03-16
This past weekend, Adam Taggart and I discussed what happens to Treasury bond yields when the United States enters a military conflict. The conventional wisdom is reflexive and tidy. A conflict triggers a flight to safety, money floods into U.S. government bonds, and yields fall. It’s a clean narrative. Unfortunately, it is wrong more than …
Is China Really Dumping US Treasuries?
2026-02-23
“China is dumping US Treasuries to get out of the dollar.” This claim has been circulating the mainstream feeds lately, with the narrative that the “end of the dollar is near,” or “the US will lose its funding base” and the “bond yields will surge.” But are those claims valid? Such is what we will …
Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation
2026-02-16
Since the beginning of the year, we have discussed the “reflation trade” and its impact on specific market sectors. This past weekend’s newsletter also showed some of these more extreme returns in various market sectors since the beginning of the year. To wit: “Despite what seemed like a rough week in the market, it really wasn’t as …
A Bear Market Is A Good Thing.
2025-12-01
One of my favorite writers for the WSJ is Spencer Jakab, who recently penned an article explaining why a bear market is not necessarily a bad thing. He starts with a quote from “The Godfather.” ““These things gotta happen every five years or so, ten years. Helps to get rid of the bad blood…been ten …
Gold Myths Luring Investors Into Risk
2025-10-31
In case you haven’t heard, precious metals, particularly gold, have risen sharply this year. Of course, whenever any asset class experiences a more speculative melt-up, investors are quick to rationalize why “this time is different.” In stocks, it is about “artificial intelligence” and “data centers.” The cryptocurrency community believes all fiat currencies will fail and …
The Psychology Of Investing In A Zero-Risk Illusion
2025-10-17
Every market cycle eventually changes investor psychology to believe risk has been conquered. The storylines may change, from “this time it’s different” to “the Fed has our back,” but the psychology does not. When markets rise steadily and volatility remains low, investors confuse stability with safety. That’s precisely the illusion forming in markets today. The …
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