Tag Archive: newsletter

USD/CHF sits near 1-week tops, just below mid-0.9700s

2020-02-07

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2020-02-07

Technical levels to watch
USD/CHF edges higher for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday. The risk-on mood weighed on the safe-haven CHF and remained supportive. A pullback in the US bond yields kept a lid on the USD and capped gains. The USD/CHF pair now seems to have entered a bullish consolidation phase and was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band near one-week tops, just below mid-0.9700s.

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Swiss fintech firms venture deeper into Middle East

2020-02-07

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2020-02-07

Swiss fintech company Instimatch has launched into the Middle East, having won a licence to operate in Qatar, and signed up its first Kuwaiti bank. The mineral and cash-rich region is proving a magnet for financial innovation from Switzerland. Instimatchexternal link’s digital platform directly connects deep-pocketed corporate, financial and municipal lenders with global investments.

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Pandemic, Lies and Videos

2020-02-07

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2020-02-07

Will we wonder, what were we thinking? and marvel anew at the madness of crowds? When we look back on this moment from the vantage of history, what will we think? Will we think how obvious it was that the coronavirus deaths in China were in the tens of thousands rather than the hundreds claimed by authorities?

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“Smart Move” By Prudent Investors Is To Diversify Into Gold

2020-02-07

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2020-02-07

With no opportunity cost to holding a zero-yield asset such as gold, investors increasingly are adding it to their portfolios as a hedge. ◆ Gold retains its intrinsic value, something no paper currency has managed to do over history. ◆ Gold is insurance. Insurance isn’t supposed to make you rich; it’s supposed to keep you from being poor.

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Dollar Firm as Markets Await Fresh Drivers

2020-02-06

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2020-02-06

China cut tariffs on $75 bln of US imports by half, while the US said it could reciprocate in some way. The dollar continues to climb; during the North American session, only minor data will be reported; Brazil cut rates 25 bp. Germany reported very weak December factory orders; all is not well in the German state of Thuringia.

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Intellectual Property: Innovation Should Serve Consumers, Not Producers

2020-02-06

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2020-02-06

Proponents of intellectual property rights often rely on one of two lines of reasoning. The first is based on the misunderstanding that the frequency or volume of innovations determine economic growth. The second is captured by the question, “So if I spend $1 billion on R&D (research and development) to bring a new drug to market, anyone should be able to copy my drug without compensation?”

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FX Daily, February 6: Stocks Push Higher but more Cautious Tone may be Emerging

2020-02-06

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2020-02-06

Overview:  The bullish enthusiasm that carried the S&P 500 to new closing highs yesterday is helping Asia Pacific and European shares today.  The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for the third session with Tokyo, Hong Kong, and Korea jumping two percent.  Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 gapped to new record highs before stabilizing in mid-morning turnover.  US shares are mostly firmer. 

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Three Credit Suisse investors back Tidjane Thiam in board battle

2020-02-06

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2020-02-06

Credit Suisse’s top shareholders have thrown their support behind chief executive Tidjane Thiam and called on chairman Urs Rohner to quit, in a high-stakes power struggle at the Swiss bank following a spy scandal last year. Relations between Mr Rohner and Mr Thiam have been increasingly strained since revelations that Credit Suisse hired a corporate espionage company to follow Iqbal Khan, a former executive who defected to arch-rival UBS.

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USD/CHF clings to gains above 0.9700 mark, US data eyed for fresh impetus

2020-02-06

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2020-02-06

Technical levels to watch
USD/CHF gains positive traction for the third consecutive session on Wednesday. Optimism over coronavirus treatment triggered a fresh wave of global risk-on trade. The USD benefitted from surging US bond yields and remained support ahead of data.

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Food bank: a third of Swiss food ‘goes to waste’

2020-02-06

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2020-02-06

About a third of the food produced for Swiss consumption went to waste last year, according to the food bank foundation Schweizer Tafe/Table Suisse. That is the equivalent of 2.6 million tonnes of food. Five percent of the losses occurred in the retail trade. The foundation collected 3,820 tonnes of food that was not for sale but still in perfect condition – a 5.6% increase relative to 2018.

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Shhhh: Repo Operation in Process

2020-02-05

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2020-02-05

In a bit of holiday news no one will care about, the Treasury announced it would return to selling twenty-year treasury bonds to aid in funding the nation’s trillion-dollar deficit. It was 1986 when the Treasury last issued twenty-year paper. Of course the question is: who or what will be the buyers?

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FX Daily, February 5: Markets Extend Recovery, but Look for a Pause

2020-02-05

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2020-02-05

Overview: The S&P 500 gapped higher and surged 1.5% yesterday, the most since in six months, helping set the stage for a continued recovery in global equities, and stoked risk appetites more broadly. An experimental antiviral treatment is to begin clinical testing. All of the markets in the Asia Pacific region advanced, with Japan, China, and Singapore gaining more than 1%.

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Study spotlights niche market for solo Chinese tourists

2020-02-05

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2020-02-05

The tourism industry in central Switzerland could benefit from increased efforts to focus on individual holidaymakers from China, according to a study. A report by the Lucerne University of Applied Sciences and Artsexternal link found that guests from China travelling individually in Europe take a special interest in culinary events and that they are likely to receive information about new offers via their mobile phones. 

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Philip Morris International to axe jobs in Switzerland

2020-02-05

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2020-02-05

The tobacco company Philip Morris International (PMI) has unveiled plans to cut jobs at its sites in Lausanne and Neuchâtel. A total of around 265 jobs are likely to go. Most of them will be transferred to the UK, Portugal and Poland. The company has opened formal processes in both cantons and those affected will be informed between now and the end of March 2020, it said.

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Don’t Forget (Business) Credit

2020-02-05

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2020-02-05

Europe Real GDP, 1995-2019
Rolling over in credit stats, particularly business debt, is never a good thing for an economy. As noted yesterday, in Europe it’s not definite yet but sure is pronounced. The pattern is pretty clear even if we don’t ultimately know how it will play out from here. The process of reversing is at least already happening and so we are left to hope that there is some powerful enough positive force (a real force rather than imaginary, therefore...

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Do People Really Seek to Maximize Profit?

2020-02-05

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2020-02-05

[This article is excerpted from chapter 14 of Human Action.] It is generally believed that economists, in dealing with the problems of a market economy, are quite unrealistic in assuming that all men are always eager to gain the highest attainable advantage. They construct, it is said, the image of a perfectly selfish and rationalistic being for whom nothing counts but profit.

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Dollar Mixed as Some Risk Appetite Returns

2020-02-04

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2020-02-04

The dollar continues to climb; one of side-effects of the virus has been a swelling of the amount of negative yielding debt globally. The US primary season got off to a rocky start for the Democrats. During the North American session, December factory orders will be reported; the US economy remains strong.

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FX Daily, February 4: Relief Rally Fueled by Liquidity not Peak in Coronavirus

2020-02-04

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2020-02-04

Overview: The combination of the rally in US shares yesterday and the continued efforts of China to inject liquidity helped lift sentiment today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index snapped an eight-day slide, and many markets jumped more than 1%. Led by energy and materials, Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is posting broad gains and is up over 1% in late morning turnover.

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Poverty rate falls slightly in Switzerland

2020-02-04

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2020-02-04

In 2018, the percentage of the population in Switzerland living below the poverty line fell from 8.2% (2017) to 7.9%, returning to the same level as it was in 2010. Most affected by poverty were those aged under 18 (9.6%) and those aged over 64 (13.7%).

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Brace for Impact: Global Pandemic Already Baked In

2020-02-04

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2020-02-04

Exponential Growth and the Expansion of the Coronavirus
If we accept what is known about the virus, then logic, science and probabilities all suggest we brace for impact. Here's a summary of what is known or credibly estimated about the 2019-nCoV virus as of January 31, 2019: 1. A statistical study from highly credentialed Chinese academics estimates the virus has an RO (R-naught) of slightly over 4, meaning every carrier infects four other people on average.

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