Tag Archive: Dollar Index

FX Daily, 03/12: Greenback’s Tone Sours, Sterling may Shine

2016-03-12

The reversal of the US dollar's gains half way through Draghi's press conference has undermined the near-term technical tone. The risk is on the downside, at least in the first part of the week, ahead of the FOMC meeting. The US Dollar Inde...

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Daily FX, 02/13: Market Chaos Subsiding? Dollar Correction Over?

2016-02-13

by Marc Chandler

2016-02-13

The outlook for the dollar in the week ahead is not about economic data or the FOMC and ECB minutes. It is about the stability of the global capital markets. Many are looking for an event or official action that will stop the rout that is of historic proportions to start the year. We too … Continue reading...

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Nuanced Dollar Performance Likely in the Week Ahead

2016-01-09

by Marc Chandler

2016-01-09

A tumultuous start of the year saw the US dollar turn in a mixed performance. Emerging market currencies and the dollar-bloc softened. Sterling was in this camp, losing about 1.2% against the dollar. On the other hand, the euro, Swiss franc...

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The Dollar’s Technical Tone at the Start of the New Year

2016-01-02

by Marc Chandler

2016-01-02

The US dollar firmed against nearly all the major currencies in the last week of 2015. The exceptions were the Antipodean currencies and the Japanese yen. The relatively high short-term yields offered Australia, and New Zealand may have attract...

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Dollar Outlook for the Last Week of the Year

2015-12-26

by Marc Chandler

2015-12-26

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What a Negative SWAP Spread Really Means

2015-11-21

by Eugen von Böhm Bawerk

2015-11-21

SWAP spreads recently took a nosedive and are once again trading at negative levels, even for shorter maturities. As can be seen from the chart below, treasury yields, here represented by the 10 year maturity, rose during QE policies programs contrad...

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Why There Won’t Be A Strong Dollar, Even If The Financial Establishment Thinks So

Higher Rates, Consequences on Public Debt Japan US UK

In this second part of our series we provide arguments why the widely expected strong dollar period might not come. We look at the most important economic indicators that might justify a stronger dollar: the ISM manufacturing index and the interest rate differences between the U.S. and Europe.

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Net Speculative Positions, Week November 19

2012-11-19

by Marc Chandler

2012-11-19

Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The US Dollar Index bottomed on September 14, the day after QE3+ was announced. It reached a 2-month high before the weekend. It has now retraced half of the ground lost from ECB President Draghi’s pledge to “to do whatever it takes” through hints, and then delivery, of …

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Net Speculative Positions, Global Stock Markets, Week October 29

2012-10-29

by Marc Chandler

2012-10-29

Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The US Dollar Index reached its best level in more than six weeks on Friday. Yet it managed to only close a couple of ticks higher, as if warning short-term participants against ideas that a breakout is at hand. This also appears to be the message of the …

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Is the play time over for the SNB ? SNB Buys Euros Again, but the EUR/CHF does not move a pip

2012-05-20

by George Dorgan

2012-05-20

As also noticed by Credit Suisse, the Swiss National Bank had to buy euros and sell Swiss francs in the week of May 11th to May 18th. Their recent easy strategy to sell euros and buy Swiss Francs and to diversify from euros into other currencies may not continue.

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