Category Archive: 4) FX Trends
CNNMoney News – Nouriel Roubini, How Obama, Marc Chandler
ECB must cut rates or risk crisis again – Roubini The European Central Bank will eventually be forced to cut interest rates or risk an even deeper recession that could test the eurozone again by inflaming political and social tensions, American economist Nouriel Roubini has warned. http://rss.cnn.com/~r/rss/money_latest/~3/uvBWALQldFg/index.html How Obama plans to save Medicare The White …
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Dow Jones Industrial Average News – Barry Ritholtz, NEW YORK, Marc Chandler, Dow Jones
Why this Historic Bull Market Has Precious Little Street Cred The four-year stock rally is the eighth-longest in history, but is still held suspect by many investors http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-03-11/why-this-historic-bull-market-has-precious-little-street-cred#r=rss Stocks slip early Monday after record week NEW YORK (AP) — Coming off a record week, the stock market is drifting lower in light trading Monday....
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CNNMoney News – Marc Chandler, Italy, Bob Diamond
Stocks back off record highs Investors are hitting the pause button after last week’s record-breaking rally. http://rss.cnn.com/~r/rss/money_latest/~3/zRq-b_ftuns/index.html Italy’s credit rating downgraded Fitch downgraded Italy’s credit rating Friday, saying the lack of a stable government in Rome puts the nation’s already fragile economy at risk. http://rss.cnn.com/~r/rss/money_latest/~3/M0R__pvDl7o/index.html Ex-Barclays...
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Business News – Mary Schapiro, NEW YORK, Boeing, Marc Chandler
GE Nominates Mary Schapiro to Its Board General Electric Co nominated Mary Schapiro, former chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, to its board. Schapiro will stand for election at the company’s annual meeting of shareholders …...
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Investment News – Marc Chandler, China, NEW YORK, Lincoln Ellis
Stocks back off record highs Investors are hitting the pause button after last week’s record-breaking rally. http://rss.cnn.com/~r/rss/money_latest/~3/zRq-b_ftuns/index.html Futures edge lower on China data, Italy downgrade By Angela Moon NEW YORK (Reuters) – Stock index futures edged lower on Monday following last week’s strong rally as Italy’s credit downgrade and mixed data from China curbed investors’ …...
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Dow Jones Industrial Average News – NEW YORK, Marc Chandler, Dow Jones, China
US stocks fall in early trading NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stocks are opening lower after turning in a record week. http://news.yahoo.com/us-stocks-fall-early-trading-135002962–finance.html Stocks back off record highs Investors are hitting the pause button after last week’s record-breaking rally. http://rss.cnn.com/~r/rss/money_latest/~3/zRq-b_ftuns/index.html Anatomy of a Bull Market This weekend marked the four year anniversary of the 2009...
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Net Speculative Positions, Technical Forecast, Week March 04: King Dollar Returns?
Submitted by Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy, Brown Brothers Harriman The US dollar rose against all the major currencies in the past week. It seems clear that the greenback’s gains were not a reflection of domestic developments, though it is true that US data stands in stark contrast with nearly every other major country. …
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Net Speculative Positions, Technical Forecast, Week February 17
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The official talk around the G7 statement and the G20 meeting generated a great deal of needless noise in the foreign exchange room. It is almost like a librarian yelling “Quiet”. It may be more disruptive than the initial noise. With the meetings out of the way, we expect …
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Net Speculative Positions, Technical Forecast, Week February9
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com Last week the euro was the weakest of the major currencies and the recently beaten up sterling and yen were the strongest. A similar pattern was also evident in the dollar-bloc. The New Zealand dollar had been the strongest and last week had was the weakest, with the …
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Net Speculative Positions, Technical Forecast, Week February4
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The main drivers of the foreign exchange market have strengthened. This means that the current trends, especially euro strength and yen, sterling and dollar bloc weakness are likely to persist. The recent price action will likely reinforce the trader behavior of buying euros on pullbacks and selling into bounces …
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Net Speculative Positions, Week January 28
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com It is difficult to talk about the US dollar’s performance over the past couple of weeks. There has been a key divergence. The dollar has been trading higher against most currencies except the euro and those currencies, like the Swiss franc or the Scandis, that move in the euro’s …
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Net Speculative Positions, Week January 21
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The technical tone of the major foreign currencies deteriorated in recent days. It appears to be a cascading effect. Favorite risk-on currencies, like the dollar-bloc, failed to participate in the move against the greenback. The Swiss franc took the dubious honor of being the weakest currency last week, losing 2.2% …
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Net Speculative Positions, Week January 14
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com There have been some large moves in the foreign exchange market in recent days. The euro posted its largest rally in four months last week. The yen has fallen to its lowest level against the dollar since June 2010 and extended the declining streak to nine consecutive weeks, something …
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FX Theory: The Balance of Payments Model Explained in 400 Words
The balance of payments leads to many confusions because definitions vary. For example, the IMF’s definition is different from the usual or historical definition. Secondly, the relationship between the balance of payments and reserve assets is difficult to grasp, especially in the IMF definition. Thirdly the origin of “errors and omissions” is often unclear. Therefore …
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Ist der Franken überbewertet? Kaufkraftparitäten
Nach dem starken Anstieg des Frankens in den letzten Jahren, sagten Ökonomen wie O’Neilly von Goldman Sachs oder die der Schweizerischen Nationalbank (SNB), dass die Schweizer Währung überbewertet wäre. Einige benutzen den “Big Mac Index”, den OECD-Kaufkraftsparitätsindex oder Kaufkraftparitäten auf der Basis von Konsumentenpreisen als Beweis. Wir zeigen, dass aber nur die Kaufkraftparität aufgrund von …
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Video: Marc Chandler Talks Economic Warfare
Brown Brothers Harriman’s chief currency strategist shares his outlook on currency markets in the wake of QE3 and abroad.
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Net Speculative Positions, Week November 19
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The US Dollar Index bottomed on September 14, the day after QE3+ was announced. It reached a 2-month high before the weekend. It has now retraced half of the ground lost from ECB President Draghi’s pledge to “to do whatever it takes” through hints, and then delivery, of …
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BBH, Marc Chandler on Global Economy & Headwinds
Global Head of Currency Strategy, Marc Chandler from Brown Brothers Harriman & Co., talks about the global economy about what can be done to reduce risk in international financial markets and contribute to a faster global recovery, as well as the main sources of market concern and volatility- Eurozone debt crisis, US debt and the …
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Net Speculative Positions, Global Stock Markets, Week October 29
Submitted by Mark Chandler, from marctomarkets.com The US Dollar Index reached its best level in more than six weeks on Friday. Yet it managed to only close a couple of ticks higher, as if warning short-term participants against ideas that a breakout is at hand. This also appears to be the message of the …
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