Will the Fed Hike 50bp?
2023-03-02
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw
(3/2/23) Investors should be on alert today following yesterday’s program-trading driven markets; breaking through support at the 200-DMA could spur accelerated selling by the bots. When to act? Avoid knee-jerk response, and look for the selling stampede to conclude. Hopes for a Fed pause or pivot are running into reality. The foibles of making coffee; Lance’s idea for a new YouTube channel; Fed Fund futures and Treasuries are predicting a half-percent rate increase at next meeting. The Fed is running out of airstrip, and a 50-bp hike would be a mistake: The previous 4.75% worth of rate increases have yet to be felt in the economy. Just because we have not yet had a recession doesn’t mean
Tax Tips for 2022 You Can Still Use
2023-02-24
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw
(2/24/23) It’s "Go Texas Day," with boot-buying tips for the uninitiated; The Fed’s target rate has risen to north of 5%: Be prepared to "call an audible." The good news about higher interest rates: Better yields on bonds. Tax Tips for 2022 you can still use now: deductible IRA contributions, self-employment Roth; prepare to "go back" to the old tax code with higher rates. The triple-benefits of HSA’s. HSA’s vs FSA’s; Itemizing vs Standard Deduction; the hierarchy of savings: putting enough into HSA to get the match. Target Date Fun theory vs reality; options for annuities.
3:04 – Go Texan Day & Market Commentary: Fed Target Rate Rises
14:21 – Tax Tips You Can Still Use for 2022
30:21 –
Raising Fiscally Intuitive Kids
2022-12-16
(12/23/22) RIA Debt to Income Ratio Rules for 2023; Variable & Fixed Expenses; Money Talk at Christmas; It’s just as good to Give as to Get; raising fiscally intuitive kids; Christmas songs we hate to hear.
The Sad Saga of FTX & Sam Bankman-Fried
2022-12-13
(12/13/22) It’s "CPI Tuesay" [an this show was aire BEFORE toay’s CPI release]. Expectations are for weaker numbers, which woul spike markets at the open, which the Fe woul hate. The Fe meeting commence toay–an they alreay know what the CPI number is. What happens when the reality of this year’s rate hikes hit next year? Christmas shopping for Mrs. Roberts is always a challenge. PPI was hot; will CPI follow suit? What happens if… Elements in the CPI. Sam Bankman-Frie arreste overnight in Bahamas; the saga of FTX & future of crypto. Possible sentencing for SBF; who will be the next FTX to fail? Real people lost real money, an it was all they ha. A review of SEC charges against SBF; civil liability + Feeral criminal liability; a brief history of the SEC an regulation likely to come.
Christmas Shopping Tips & Year-end Planning
2022-12-07
(12/22/22) The Fed is now turning its attention to Financial Conditions as its campaign of rabid rate hikes continues unabated. Caution is the watch word for investors heading into the end of the year. A review of December Market history; why we’ve been reducing risk and taking profits; why we navigate the markets, not "time" the markets. Layoffs are coming after Christmas. A review of our market investing strategies going into the New Year; Christmas Shopping with the Ratliff Kids: The Nolan Ryan jersey & baseball saga. Getting ready for EOY Tax Deadlines; how to strategically contribute to 401k’s.
SEG-4: Christmas Shopping
Year End Tax Deadlines
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton,
Will A Hawkish Fed Return Next Week? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-12-06
(12/6/22) Markets took a tumble back below the 200-DMA as the Fed’s own market whisperer, Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal, published comments that the Fed may not only hike rates more aggressively, but are nowhere near a pivot or pause in their monetary policy. The potential for more rate hikes in 2023 sent markets lower. The reality is that the Fed is still raising rates and reducing liquidity. The recent rally was predicated on slowing rate hikes and a change of course by the Fed sooner than later. Deep Throat inferred otherwise. The downtrend line from January remains intact, and resistance levels are holding firm, and we’re close to triggering a MACD sell signal. We’re expecting a more hawkish tone from the Fed at next week’s meeting.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment
The Fed has Gone Too Far
2022-09-26
(9/26/22) Markets on Friday held onto June bottoms and are expected to rally back to 3,900; there were a record number of put-options placed on Friday, as well, indicating investors are hedging against a market crash. Could Italian national elections installing a fiscal conservative by an overwhelming majority be a precursor to US Mid-terms? Current challenges in the auto market: Few used cars available, prices at a premium; long term result of Obama-era "Cash for Cars" program, lengthening of financing terms; watching for reversion in car prices. Market commentary: The Fed has Gone too Far. The Fed’s focus on inflation creating a stronger dollar abroad, which in turn, replicates inflation there; the Fed’s currency intervention (manipulation) options to keep trade stable; adding to debt