The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?
2026-05-19
As we wrote in Yesterday’s Commentary, the broad market indexes have surged since the April lows, driven largely by a handful of technology and AI stocks and the benefit of massive options volumes. Among the leaders is Nvidia (NVDA), climbing nearly 40% from the April lows. Tomorrow, NVDA reports earnings, which, given its leadership role …
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5-18-26 This Is How Corrections Quietly Begin
2026-05-18
The market $SPX still looks strong on the surface, but underneath, warning signs are starting to build.
This rally has become increasingly narrow, with semiconductors $SOXX and a handful of mega-cap tech names $MAGS doing most of the heavy lifting while large parts of the market struggle beneath the surface.
Energy $XLE and industrials $XLI led earlier in the year during the reflation trade, but both have recently lost momentum. Tech $XLK only truly took over leadership in the last several weeks, and even within tech, it’s mostly semiconductors driving gains. $NVDA alone now makes up roughly 8% of the S&P 500.
Meanwhile, the number of stocks making new 200 and 52-day lows remains historically elevated despite indexes sitting near highs. That kind of divergence matters.
Healthy bull
3-30-26 Subprime Crisis 2.0? Private Credit Risks Explained
2026-03-30
Lance Roberts breaks down the growing stress in private credit markets, rising default risks, and the recent wave of gated withdrawals across major funds. With comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis gaining traction, investors are asking a critical question: are we facing Subprime Crisis 2.0?
We examine what made the 2008 collapse so catastrophic—leverage, derivatives, and systemic contagion—and compare it to today’s private credit landscape. While defaults are rising and liquidity concerns are real, the structure of private credit is fundamentally different.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
0:00 – INTRO
0:50 – High Oil Prices are the Cure for High Oil Prices
5:54 – Markets’ Extended Losing Streak
3-28-26 AI Won’t Crash The Economy — This Will
2026-03-28
AI itself isn’t the real threat to the economy. The real risk is how quickly it replaces jobs before workers and industries can adapt.
Data already shows that higher AI adoption is driving productivity up while putting pressure on wages and reducing the need for labor.
That trade-off becomes dangerous if income falls faster than new opportunities are created, weakening consumer spending that drives growth.
The outcome depends on speed: a gradual shift allows adjustment, but rapid displacement could destabilize the entire system.
📺Full episode:
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Subprime Crisis 2.0: Will Private Credit Be The Trigger?
2026-03-28
🔎 At a Glance 🏛️ Market Brief – A Tough Market Week This past week was another disappointing one. Markets opened the week surging after President Trump posted on Truth Social that U.S.-Iran talks had been “very good and productive” and that he was halting strikes on Iranian power plants. Brent crude fell more than …
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Software Or Staples?
2026-02-09
As we wrote in yesterday’s Commentary, efficiently rotating between overbought and oversold sectors, factors, or stocks is a well-established method for outperforming markets. Like any strategy, the hard part is timing, or properly estimating when a pair of sectors, factors, or stocks is about to reverse their respective trends. Currently, there is a massive divergence …
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BLue Owl Roils The AI Narrative
2025-12-19
Blue Owl Capital spooked AI investors on Wednesday when the Financial Times reported that the firm, one of Oracle’s larger financing partners for major U.S. data centers, decided not to provide equity backing for a $10 billion data center Oracle is building in Michigan. This planned facility is part of Oracle’s collaboration with OpenAI under …
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