Tag Archive: Switzerland Consumer Price Index

Written in February 2012: Will the EUR/CHF never rise over 1.22 or 1.23 again?

Our analysis from February 2012 shows astonishing accurateness: It predicted that the euro would not rise against CHF and that the commodity currencies were overvalued and subject to correction. Basic foreign exchange theory, the SNB price stability mandate and strong fundamentals for Switzerland and bad ones for the peripheral countries of the euro zone speak for the thesis that the EUR/CHF exchange rate might never go over the level of around...

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EUR/CHF, A History, Market Betting on Floor Hike: February 2012

EUR/CHF Busy Doing Jack; Jordan Gobbing Off Later EUR/CHF sits at 1.2048, some 7 pips easier from when I started out. Barrier option interest sits at 1.2025 and ofcourse 1.2000. SNB interim head honcho Jordan speaks later this evening (18:30 GMT) in Zurich.  Might be giving instructions on how to make his favourite alpine muesli … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF, A History, Market Betting on Floor Hike: January 2012

1.2034 The EUR/CHF Low As Risk-Off Resumes   1.2025 barrier supposedly in play while the 1.2000 peg below will act as a magnet if broken. There is something about the forex mindset that prompts markets to reach out and touch things that are not meant to be touched. EUR/US fell to 1.3063, triggering a few … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF, Market betting on Floor Hike, December 2011

Four Trades For 2012: #2 Sell The Swiss Franc I bought EUR/CHF shortly after the 1.20 peg was introduced and have held it ever since. My only regret has not been trading the range more aggressively. At this point everyone has an opinion of the SNB so I won’t try to convince the bears. Personally, … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF, A History, Market Betting on Floor Hike: November 2011

Rumour Of A Softer KOF Swiss Leading Indicator… Expected  0.63 vs previous 0.80, but the number now being touted is 0.35 EUR/CHF is getting a leg up on this around 1.2283 now from  1.2260 earlier By Pete Jackson  || November 30, 2011 at 10:21 GMT Large Corporate Bids In EUR/CHF…. At 1.2250  I’m told  it relates to … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF, a Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): July 2010

EUR/CHF Hit Again EUR/CHF has been hit again, down at 1.3535 from early 1.3580.  Recently there has been talk of the Swiss National Bank selling the cross, something I for one certainly can’t substantiate.  Also yesterday there were rumours of a September rate hike in Switzerland.  All very murky. The EUR/CHF cross selling has helped pressure EUR/USD, which is … Continue reading »

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Recent History of the Swiss Franc: April 2009

A history of the EUR/CHF from the website ForexLive April 2009 Selling EUR/CHF Seems Akin To Poking Billy Goat Gruff With A Sharp Stick It seems to me selling the EUR/CHF cross down here is akin to poking the elder billy goat gruff with a sharp stick.  You get it, Alpine meadows, goat herds….(Ok I know … Continue reading »

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Swiss Inflation, GDP, Monetary Base between 1974 and 2000

  Some background statistics on the Swiss monetary policy in the 1970s from Swiss Monetary Targeting 1974-1996: The role of internal policy analysis.   More details and monthly data on inflation here.        

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