Tag Archive: newsletter

Why Nobody Chants “End the Fed” Anymore

2019-10-30

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2019-10-30

Americans hated it when the Federal Reserve handed trillions of dollars to crooked Wall Street banks following the 2008 Financial Crisis. Politicians were confronted about the merits of central banking and bailouts. For the first time in history, college students were chanting “End the Fed” at campaign rallies as Ron Paul took the central bank to task during his presidential campaigns.

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The Big Risks Left (and Right) In Europe

2019-10-30

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2019-10-30

Central Bank Failure, 1999-2019
Another local election in Germany, another stunning defeat for the ruling center. How many more of these does anyone need before they realize the electorate is going to keep migrating toward the poles? And it all stems from the one reason; there is no and has been no economic growth. But because the so-called establishment has insisted the economy is booming, or it was, people are doing what people always do.

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The Golden Autumn Season – One of the Most Reliable Seasonal Patterns Begins

2019-10-30

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2019-10-30

S&P 500 Index, seasonal pattern since 1950.
The Strongest Seasonal Stock Market Trend. Readers may already have guessed: when the vibrant colors of the autumn leaves are revealed in all their splendor, the strongest seasonal period of the year begins in the stock market – namely the year-end rally. Stocks typically rise in this time period. However, there are questions, such as: how often does a rally take place, how strong is it, and when is the best time for investors to enter the market?

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Trump Pumps Market With Trade Talks, Stocks Move Higher, Gold Lower

2019-10-30

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2019-10-30

Sue Trinh, Managing Director of global macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management, speaking on Bloomberg. She had some interesting comments regarding the current market structure, in the shadow of the FED, which is expected to drop rates yet again.

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Monthly Macro Monitor: Market Indicators Review

2019-10-30

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2019-10-30

10-Year Treasury Yield, 2017-2019
Is the recession scare over? Can we all come out from under our desks now? The market based economic indicators I follow have improved since my last update two months ago. The 10 year Treasury rate has moved 40 basis points off its low. Real interest rates have moved up as well but not quite as much. The difference is reflected in slightly higher inflation expectations.

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5. Die besten Strategien beim Zertifikate Handel

2019-10-29

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Welche Strategien Sie beim Handel mit Knock-out Zertifikaten verfolgen können, welche sich wirklich auszahlen und wie Sie herausfinden welche Produkte hier zu Ihnen passen - Das erklärt Zertifikate Experte Martin Goersch in diesem vierten Video der Knock-out Zertifikate Video Reihe. Wir schauen ebenfalls auf den onvista Aktienfinder und die Chartanalyse Tools die Ihnen onvista kostenlos bereitstellt um Ihr handeln erfolgreicher zu gestalten. Baue...

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Dollar Firm as Two-Day FOMC Meeting Begins

2019-10-29

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2019-10-29

The dollar continues to gain traction as the two-day FOMC begins; US political uncertainty has entered a new phase. Yesterday marked the third time that UK Prime Minister Johnson lost a vote for elections; he will try again today. Weak South Africa data support our call for imminent easing; the threat of sanctions against Turkey are back on the table.

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FX Daily, October 29: Calm before the Storm

2019-10-29

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2019-10-29

The more prominent events this week still lie ahead, and the capital markets are trading accordingly. The rally that lifted the S&P 500 to new record highs yesterday carried over into Asia, where most equity markets rose, though China, Hong Kong, and South Korea were notable exceptions. European shares are struggling in the early going after the Dow Jones Stoxx 600 set new highs for the year yesterday.

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Campaign targets online gambling addicts

2019-10-29

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2019-10-29

An awareness campaign has been launched to help addicted online gamblers in Switzerland cope with their compulsive behaviour. An independent foundation said it published a special digital programme, Gambling without Addiction, with the authorities in most cantons of German-speaking Switzerland.

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General Electric limits job cuts in Switzerland

2019-10-29

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2019-10-29

The American industrial conglomerate General Electric has announced a reduction in the number of planned layoffs at its subsidiaries in Switzerland. The company said a maximum of 200 people would lose their jobs at two of its sites west of Zurich. In June it had announced a figure of some 450.

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Cool Video: Dollar and Fed

2019-10-29

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2019-10-29

I joined Tom Keene and Marty Schenker (chief content officer) on the set of Bloomberg TV this morning. Schenker discussed some of the geopolitical issues in the Middle East, and Keene asked about the impact on the dollar. I expressed my concern that the chief threat to the dollar's role in the world economy is the several administrations have increasing weaponized access to the dollar and the dollar funding market.

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More Points For, And Pointing To, The Midpoint

2019-10-29

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2019-10-29

Wholesale Sales & Inventory, SA 2016-2019
It’s not surprising that the Census Bureau would report another weird sideways trend in wholesale sales. After all, the agency has already produced that kind of pattern in the related data for durable goods. For reasons that aren’t going to be explained, economic activity across the supply chain from producers to consumers has been curtailed. That hasn’t mean outright shrinking in seasonally adjusted forms, but it also doesn’t mean growth,...

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‘Next generation’ private bank plans to open doors in Switzerland

2019-10-29

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2019-10-29

A new private banking venture has joined the growing list of companies applying for licenses from the Swiss financial regulator. Tallyon aims to become a “next generation” private bank, riding the way of “radical change” in the industry.

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Bitcoin Myths, Report 27 Oct

2019-10-28

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2019-10-28

Keith gave a keynote address—the only speaker with an hour to cover his topic—at the Gold and Alternative Investments Conference in Sydney on Saturday. Said topic was the nature of money. “Money is a matter of functions four: a medium, a measure, a standard, a store.”

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FX Daily, October 28: Politics Dominates Start of the Week before Yielding to Policy and Economics

2019-10-28

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2019-10-28

Overview:  The pre-weekend rally in US shares, with the S&P 500 flirting with record highs and the back-up in US yields, set the tone for Asia Pacific trading earlier today.  Nearly all the equity markets advanced, and bond yields rose.  Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 took a five-day advancing streak into this week, but shares are struggling to sustain the upside momentum.

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EUR/CHF technical analysis: Bounces up from key support, eyes Oct. 17 high

2019-10-28

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2019-10-28

4-hour chart
EUR/CHF is looking north, having bounced up from key MA support. The 4-hour chart indicators are also reporting bullish conditions. EUR/CHF is better bid at 1.1030 press time and could challenge the Oct. 17 high of 1.1059 in the next 24 hours. 

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Real wages set to rise in Switzerland for first time in three years

2019-10-28

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2019-10-28

Employees in Switzerland are expected to receive above-inflation pay rises for the first time since 2016, according to a survey of companies. On average, workers are forecast to take home a 1.1% pay hike – a rise of 0.9% when taking inflation into account. These are the findings of research portal Lohntendenzen.ch, as reported by the NZZ am Sonntag newspaper.

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FX Weekly Preview: Fed’s Mid-Course Correction to be Challenged while ECB Resumes Bond Purchases

2019-10-28

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2019-10-28

The week ahead will help shape the investment climate for the remainder of the year.  The highlights include three central bank meetings (Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, and the Bank of Canada).  Among the high-frequency data, the US and the eurozone report the first estimates of Q3 GDP, and the US October jobs data and auto sales will be released.  Investors will also get the preliminary Oct CPI for EMU.

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EM Preview for the Week Ahead

2019-10-28

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2019-10-28

EM has been on a good run but this week will be a big test.  Brexit uncertainty may finally end.  Or it may not.  A delay would be positive for EM, whilst a potential hard Brexit would be negative.  The Fed meets Wednesday and key US data will be reported during the week, culminating with the jobs report Friday. 

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Somehow Still Decent European Descent

2019-10-28

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2019-10-28

IHS Markit Germany Flash PMI
How times have changed. In the middle of 2018, we were told the risks to the global economy were all tilted to the upside. If central bankers weren’t careful, they chanced an uncontrollable inflationary breakout, the kind that would make the last few years of the 2010’s look too much like the 1970’s. Always eager to bottle up the inflation genie, Germany out of everyone actually welcomed negative factors as they built up during the year.

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