Tag Archive: newsletter

Could America Have a French-Style Revolution?

2020-07-15

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2020-07-15

As with the French Revolution, that will be the trigger for a wholesale replacement of our failed institutions. Since it's Bastille Day, a national holiday in France celebrating the French Revolution, let's ask a question few even think (or dare) to ask: could America have a French-style Revolution? Not in some distant era, but within the next five years?

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Why Bolivia Needs to Decentralize

2020-07-15

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2020-07-15

It was only eight months ago that Bolivia concluded a bizarre political conflict that saw President Evo Morales step down from office. Morales was pursuing a fourth presidential term but encountered numerous constitutional roadblocks. Protesters cited irregularities and alleged voter fraud during elections in October 2019 as the principal motive behind their demonstrations.

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FX Daily, July 14: Turn Around Tuesday Began Yesterday

2020-07-14

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2020-07-14

Overview: Turn around Tuesday began yesterday with a key reversal in the high-flying NASDAQ. It soared to new record highs before selling off and settling below the previous low. The S&P 500 saw new four-month highs and then sold-off and ended on its lows with a loss of nearly 1% on the session. Asia Pacific shares fell, led by declines in Hong Kong and India.

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Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in June 2020: -3.5 percent YoY, +0.5 percent MoM

2020-07-14

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2020-07-14

Switzerland Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY, June 2020
14.07.2020 - The Producer and Import Price Index rose in June 2020 by 0.5% compared with the previous month, reaching 98.1 points (December 2015 = 100). The rise is due in particular to higher prices for petroleum products as well as petroleum and natural gas. Compared with June 2019, the price level of the whole range of domestic and imported products fell by 3.5%.

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Julius Baer to offer private equity to ultra-wealthy clients

2020-07-14

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2020-07-14

Julius Baer has poached a senior executive from rival Swiss wealth manager UBS to set up a new division offering private equity and debt investments to its ultra-wealthy clients. The move illustrates how a prolonged period of low interest rates has forced the likes of UBS and Credit Suisse to prioritise offering illiquid private investments to their super-rich clients, who agree to forgo access to their capital in the hope of achieving higher...

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Doubts over EU regulations deal raise prospect of higher City costs

2020-07-14

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2020-07-14

On a Monday morning, just over a year ago, investment firms across the EU found they were no longer allowed to trade on the Swiss stock exchange. It happened almost overnight — simply because Brussels refused to extend a regulatory “equivalence” deal with Switzerland, which gave each side free access to the other’s markets.

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Dollar Rangebound in Quiet Start to an Eventful Week

2020-07-14

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2020-07-14

EM CDS, 2019-2020
Today marks a relatively quiet start to what is likely to be one of the most eventful weeks we’ve seen in a while; the dollar remains within recent well-worn ranges. The US continues to ratchet up trade tensions; the only US data report today is the June budget statement.

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The Fed Is Trapped In QE As Interest Rates Can’t Rise Ever Again.

2020-07-14

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2020-07-14

Total Debt vs. GDP, 1953-2021
Since the onset of the pandemic, the Fed has entered into the most aggressive monetary campaign. Its goal was to bolster asset markets to restore confidence in the financial system. However, the trap is the Fed is in a position where they can never stop QE as interest rates can’t rise ever again.

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FX Daily, July 13: Risk Appetites Firm, but the Greenback is Mixed

2020-07-13

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2020-07-13

Equities began the week on a firm note in the Asia Pacific region.  The Nikkei gained more than 2%, and the profit-taking seen in China ahead of the weekend was a one-day phenomenon.  The Shanghai Composite rose 1.8%, and the Shenzhen Composite surged 3.5%.  Taiwan and South Korea markets also rallied more than 1%.

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Credit Suisse settles U.S. shareholder lawsuit 

2020-07-13

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2020-07-13

Major Swiss bank Credit Suisse has agreed to pay $15.5 million (CHF14.6 million) to settle a dispute with shareholders in the United States, according to court filings on Friday.

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Coronavirus: no significant slowdown in new cases in Switzerland

2020-07-13

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2020-07-13

In the seven days to 10 July 2020, the reported number of new SARS-CoV-2 infections recorded in Switzerland was 589, a similar number to the week before, when 615 new cases were recorded.

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The Sinking Titanic’s Great Pumps Finally Fail

2020-07-13

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2020-07-13

The greater fools still partying in the first-class lounge are in denial that even the greatest, most technologically advanced ship can sink. On April 14, 1912, the liner Titanic, considered unsinkable due to its watertight compartments and other features, struck a glancing blow against a massive iceberg on that moonless, weirdly calm night.

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EM Preview for the Week Ahead

2020-07-13

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2020-07-13

This is likely to be one of the most eventful weeks we’ve had in a while. Not only do three major central banks meet, but four EM central banks also meet, and we get important June and July data from the US, the first Q2 GDP reading from China, an OPEC+ meeting, and an EU summit.

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Game Over Spending

2020-07-13

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2020-07-13

Coming and Going Like a Wildfire. Second quarter 2020 came and went like a California wildfire.  The economic devastation caused by the government lock-downs was swift, the destruction immense, and the damage lasting.  But, nonetheless, in Q2, the major U.S. stock market indices rallied at a record pace.

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The Great Society: A Libertarian Critique

2020-07-13

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2020-07-13

The Great Society is the lineal descendant and the intensification of those other pretentiously named policies of twentieth-century America: the Square Deal, the New Freedom, the New Era, the New Deal, the Fair Deal, and the New Frontier. All of these assorted Deals constituted a basic and fundamental shift in American life—a shift from a relatively laissez-faire economy and minimal state to a society in which the state is unquestionably king.

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Immigration slowdown hits Swiss rents

2020-07-12

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2020-07-12

In 1999, Switzerland signed a deal with the EU allowing free movement of people between Switzerland and the bloc. The deal came into force in 2002. This led to a rise in immigration into Switzerland, which in turn eventually led to rising rents.

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How Central Banks Destroy Money’s Purchasing Power

2020-07-12

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2020-07-12

Most economists hold that a growing economy requires a growing money stock on grounds that growth gives rise to a greater demand for money that must be accommodated. Failing to do so, it is maintained, will lead to a decline in the prices of goods and services, which in turn will destabilize the economy and lead to an economic recession, or even worse, depression.

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ETF-Weltportfolio 2020: Vermeide diese Fehler

2020-07-11

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Mein ETF Weltpofolio: https://bit.ly/3iCL34l Alles rund um ETFs: https://bit.ly/3eaod0y Finden den besten ETF für dich: Kanal vom Junginvestor: https://bit.ly/3g0AwxK Wer sich eine #Weltportfolio mit ETFs aufbauen möchte stellt sich schon bevor er überhaupt anfängt zu investieren viele Fragen: Ist das Weltportfolio von Gerd Kommer wirklich eine gute Anlagestrategie? Wie viele ETFs soll ich besparen? Welche konkreten ETFs soll ich überhaupt...

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Swiss Unemployment Falls in June 2020

2020-07-11

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2020-07-11

The number unemployed in Switzerland at 30 June 2020, fell 5,709 in June to 159,289, according to the State Secretariat for the Economy (SECO). Switzerland’s unemployment rate fell from 3.4% to 3.2%. However, despite improving on May 2020, the number unemployed was 53,067 (+54.6%) higher than at the end of June 2019.

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The Simon-Ehrlich Bet Did Not Settle the Question

2020-07-11

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2020-07-11

Are you familiar with the bet? Ehrlich wrote a book titled The Population Bomb. He held a pessimistic view of the future, in which population growth would outstrip resources (essentially the same as Thomas Malthus).

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