Tag Archive: Monetary Base

Richard Koo: If Helicopter Money Succeeds, It Will Lead To 1,500 percent Inflation

2016-07-28

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2016-07-28

After today's uneventful Fed announcement, all eyes turn to the BOJ where many anticipate some form of "helicopter money" is about to be unveiled in Japan by the world's most experimental central bank. However, as Nomura's Richard Koo warns, central banks may get much more than they bargained for, because helicopter money "probably marks the end of the road for believers in the omnipotence of monetary policy who have continued to press for further...

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BoJ Adopts Negative Interest Rates, Fails To Increase QE

2016-01-29

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2016-01-29

Well that did not last long. After initial exuberance over The BoJ's wishy-washy decision to adopt a 3-tiered rate policy including NIRP, markets have realized that without further asset purchases (which were maintained at the current pace), there is...

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The 2015 Update: Risks on the Rising SNB Money Supply

We explain the risks on the rising money supply in Switzerland. We distinguish between broad money supply (M1-M3) and narrow money supply (M0). Both are rising quickly.

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Cleveland Fed: Price inflation is a monetary phenomenon

fed
Cleveland Fed: Price inflation is a monetary phenomenon. Hence, the money multiplier theory is still valid, just not in the US and in Europe.

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No SNB Intervention: Massive Swiss M0 Increase due to Post Finance Transformation into a Bank

2013-09-01

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2013-09-01

Money Printing M0 FX Purchases
SNB did not intervene. Deposits of Swiss Post Finance had been reclassified from other sight liabilities to deposits of domestic banks.

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Why negative interest rates are contractionary, the base money confusion

From FT Alphaville: Excess reserves do not mean banks are not lending, and enforcing negative rates may do more harm than good because it is ultimately contractionary rather than expansionary.

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The Inflation Lie? Why and When Inflation Will Come Back

Money Supply China EU US
The so-called "inflation lie" : money printing does not create inflation. The cyclical slowing in emerging markets shows that it actually did cause inflation, just not in developed economies yet.

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Richard Koo’s newest paper: About the Ineffectiveness of Monetary Expansion



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SNB Reserves Rise by 8 bln. CHF Thanks to Stronger USD, GBP, CAD and some FX Purchases

2013-04-05

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2013-04-05

snb q4 2012 breakdown by currency
In March 2013, the foreign currency reserves of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) rose by 8 bln. CHF from 437 bln. to 445 bln. mostly thanks to valuation gains on US dollar, sterling and Canadian dollar. full details

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BoJ: Despite Quantitative and Qualitative Easing No Sign of FX Purchases

2013-04-04

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2013-04-04

percent new vs. old program bank japan
The Bank of Japan has introduced the expected “massive” quantitative and qualitative easing programme. “Quantitative” means increase of quantities of JGBs bought, “qualitative” the purchase of more ETFs, REIT and the loan support program.

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Definitions of money supply in the context of the SNB

Monetary Aggregates according SNB M0 M1 M2 M3


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SNB Monetary Data Week October 26

2012-10-29

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2012-10-29

swiss m1 vs. gdp and credit 2008-2012
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland Despite the seasonal effects between October and March, the SNB is not able to sell currency reserves consistently. Traditionally the USD gets stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months till January. This year’s stocks appreciation was possibly already anticipated …

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SNB Monetary Data Week October 19

2012-10-22

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2012-10-22

Swiss Trade Balance by regions English
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally both the USD gets stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months till January. This year’s stocks appreciation was …

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SNB Monetary Data Week October 12

2012-10-15

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2012-10-15

Stock market performance per quarter
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland, have started Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally both the USD gets stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months till January. This year’s stocks …

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SNB Monetary Data Week October 5

2012-10-08

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2012-10-08

Stock market performance per quarter
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland, have started Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally the United States and the USD dollar become stronger and stocks rise over the autumn months …

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SNB Monetary Data Week of September 28

2012-10-01

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2012-10-01

snb -expansion
Seasonal effects, the good months for the SNB and the US economy, but weaker ones for emerging markets and Switzerland, have started Given that the seasonal effects between October to March have started, the SNB might be able to sell some currency reserves. Traditionally the United States and the USD dollar become stronger over the autumn months till …

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Do Swiss companies prefer to hold cash at the SNB instead of local banks ?

2012-09-24

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2012-09-24

snb expansion
The most recent SNB monetary data show that more and more companies are increasing their deposits at the central bank at a quicker speed than local banks. Might this be missing trust in the Swiss banking system ?

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SNB prints nearly 5 billion francs in one week, FX traders poised to get ripped off

2012-09-10

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2012-09-10

monetary expansion snb
  As we expected in our post “What’s this crazy movement in EUR/CHF ? SNB Floor Hike ?“, long-time investors, global macro funds and US investment banks are moving into gold and the Swiss franc again.  The SNB had to buy euros and print new Swiss francs of around 5 billion francs last week, as … Continue reading »

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