Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

12-12-24 CPI Gives The Fed a Green Light for Rate Cut

Yesterday’s CPI report was seemingly the last hurdle for the Fed to cut interest rates. With the CPI index matching Wall Street forecasts, the Fed Funds futures market now implies a 97% chance the Fed will cut rates next Wednesday. The data was OK but elicits fears that the downward price progress has stalled. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton,...

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Predicting Market Crashes Without Timing Hurts Investors More Than It Helps

Ever feel frustrated with vague forecasts? ? Don't worry, you're not alone! Timing is key when it comes to predicting the stock market crash! ⏰? #StockMarket #TimingIsEverything Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/386b3e YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Rosso’s Top 2025 Reads and Holiday Gift Idea.

As most know, books are my passion. For me, it's all about gifting knowledge for the holiday season. There's nothing more exciting to me than to peruse used book outlets and antique stores that sell ancient reads for pennies on the dollar. Also, new book releases excite me. My reading topic interests vary. However, most …

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CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light

Yesterday's CPI report was seemingly the last hurdle for the Fed to cut interest rates. With the CPI index matching Wall Street forecasts, the Fed Funds futures market now implies a 97% chance the Fed will cut rates next Wednesday. The data was OK but elicits fears that the downward price progress has stalled. The … Continue...

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Market Uncertainty: Will Earnings Meet Expectations Amid Policy Hurdles?

Feeling uncertain about future policies & earnings? ? Experts warn of potential surprises next year. Stay tuned! ? #EconomicOutlook #StayInformed Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/7c9238 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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China Is No Longer The Marginal Buyer Of Oil

From 2010 through 2022, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) calculates that global oil demand grew by 10 million barrels per day (Mb/d). Over 60% of the demand growth was due to China's phenomenal economic growth. For context, American demand increased by less than 10%. The graph below shows that China once drove global oil …

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MicroStrategy And Its Convertible Debt Scheme

MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock is soaring alongside Bitcoin. In the wake of extreme confidence, we fear many MicroStrategy investors fail to grasp the inherent risks with its unique convertible bond funding and leverage scheme. A recent podcast featuring Tom Lee presented some positive facts about MicroStrategy's recent convertible bond offering but failed to tell the whole …

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12-10-24 Portfolio Rebalancing & High Valuation Risks

Post-election consumer confidence is rocketing higher. Inflation Data is coming: CPI & PPI which will be digested in time for next week's Fed meeting. Inflation numbers are likely to tick up from YOY comparisons.

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Navigating Market Volatility: Tips for Managing Risk and Reward

Keeping our bearish radars on, we're staying cautious and managing risk vs. reward in the market. #riskmanagement #tradingtips #marketanalysis

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Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching.

While analysts are currently very optimistic about the market, the combined risk of high valuations and the need to rebalance portfolios in the short term may pose an unanticipated threat. This is particularly the case given the current high degree of speculation and leverage in the market.

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Navigating News: Don’t Let Media Control Your Financial Decisions

Don't let current events solely guide your financial decisions! Take a step back, separate yourself, and make informed choices for your wealth #financialwisdom #stayinformed

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12-9-24 Why Earnings Can’t Outgrow The Economy

Lance's Husbands' Christmas shopping warning service; markets are now in second week of sloppy trading. Portfolios out-of-balance will trigger volatility as managers adjust weighting.

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How to Build a Diversified Investment Portfolio for Long-Term Growth

Investing for the long term is a journey that requires careful planning, patience, and, most importantly, diversification. Building a diversified investment portfolio is essential for mitigating risk and ensuring steady growth over time. By spreading your investments across different asset classes, you can weather market fluctuations and achieve your financial goals more effectively. In this …

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Housing Affordability Brings Market To A Standstill

Housing affordability helps explain why residential real estate transactions have reached a standstill. Over the last five years, housing prices have surged. Per the Case-Shiller 20 City Home Price Index, home prices from 20 of the largest cities have risen between 33% and 80%. Over the same five-year period, mortgage rates jumped from 3.68% to …

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Understanding the Impact of Interest Rates on Inflation and the Economy

Inflation concerns are rising, impacting interest rates and the economy. Debt levels are crucial. Keep an eye on the housing market trends! ? #economy #inflation #debtlevels Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/a9c64c YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Predicting Market Reversals: Why Unexpected Events Make the Biggest Impact

Market sentiment is high, but beware - a sudden reversal could be around the corner. Stay alert for unexpected triggers! ? #StockMarket #Investing Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/caac4d YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?

Inside This Week's Bull Bear Report Everybody Is Very Bullish Last week, we discussed how speculation and leverage have returned in earnest to the market as investors rush to take on increasing levels of risk. With markets rising steadily all year, it is unsurprising to witness investors lulled into an elevated sense of complacency. Stocks, …

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How to Assess Your Risk Tolerance Before Investing

Investing is an essential part of building wealth, but the key to success lies in aligning your investments with your personal comfort level. Assessing risk tolerance is the foundation of a successful investment strategy. By understanding how much risk you’re willing and able to take, you can make informed decisions about your portfolio and achieve …

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Anticipating Corporate Profitability Reversal: Market Risks Ahead

? Market surprise alert! ? Keep an eye on potential corporate profitability reversal due to aggressive government cuts. Risk factor to watch! #finance #marketinsights Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/914ac1 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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100k Bitcoin

Turn on CNBC, and you will notice a bright green box permanently affixed to the bottom right corner with the ever-changing price of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is all the rage as market speculation across crypto and other assets is robust. Moreover, with Donald Trump putting Bitcoin-friendly appointees in key financial regulatory jobs, the price surge has …

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