Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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Use Drone Mentality to Financial Success.

2024-12-19

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2024-12-19

Beware of the mysterious drones hovering over eight cities! They're causing quite a stir. However, what if a drone mentality to financial success truly existed? We probably wouldn't mind. Not long ago, Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon, made big media headlines by suggesting that drones will be used to deliver light packages in the …

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12-18-24 Dump the 60/40 for 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio?

2024-12-18

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It's Fed Day with it's much anticipated rate cut; what will matter more is the Fed's dot-plot and comments on expectations for 2025. Meanwhile on Wall Street, sloppy trading continues as fund manager rebalance portfolios. Markets are sitting on the 20-DMA and holding firm. The Healthcare Sector is the year's worst performer: Will it offer the most opportunity in 2025? This sector tends to perform better AFTER elections. Lance reveals a new...

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Understanding the Impact of Inflation on Your Retirement Savings

2024-12-18

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Is a million dollars enough for retirement? ?? Watch to learn why inflation is a key factor to consider! #retirementplanning #financialtips ? Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/9ecc27 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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More Revisions Coming To Employment Data

2024-12-18

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2024-12-18

In August, the BLS revised 2024 employment growth lower by 818k jobs in its preliminary revision of its Current Employment Statistics (CES). Despite the substantial revision, more reductions to the official employment data are likely to come next month. In January, the BLS will release its final benchmark revision. The preliminary and final revisions to …

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Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America

2024-12-18

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2024-12-18

For $20,000, you can buy a global airline pass to see the world. Or, for the low price of free, you can take a quick trip with us worldwide. Unfortunately, our global trip is not as exciting as an around-the-world pass. Still, it may enlighten you about some economic struggles abroad. Moreover, why, in time, …

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12-17-24 This is Nuts

2024-12-17

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Retail Sales numbers this week will feed into expectations for 2025. Fed meeting tomorrow: Cut and pause, or cut and slow? Employment revisions are also due, but markets won't care. The stock market is still hitting all time highs, but that's not necessarily the case, sector by sector: Basic Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Energy are not mirroring the S&P 500; the Magnificent 7 is responsible for the bulk of growth. It's a very narrow...

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Smart ETF Tax Strategy: Avoid Losses and Maximize Profits

2024-12-17

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Did you know you can sell one ETF at a loss and buy another similar one without tax implications? ETFs play by different rules! ?? #InvestingTips Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/b79ad1 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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The Dollar And Domestic – International Relative Stock Returns

2024-12-17

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2024-12-17

The U.S. dollar index is up over 6% this year, almost all attributable to a post-election surge. As many developed nations show stagnant economic growth or even contraction, the U.S. economy continues to hum. Further bolstering the dollar is the likelihood that the Fed will slow rate cuts or stop them after this Wednesday's FOMC …

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Permabull? Hardly.

2024-12-17

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2024-12-17

I never thought someone would label me a "Permabull." This is particularly true of the numerous articles I wrote over the years about the risks of excess valuations, monetary interventions, and artificially suppressed interest rates. However, here we are. "Lance, you are just another permabull talking your book. When this market crashes you will still be telling …

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12-16-24 Why NFIB Optimism Matters

2024-12-16

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Over the last several years, we have regularly discussed the importance of the National Federation Of Independent Business Survey (NFIB) concerning the economy. As noted in our most recent update (October 12th) on the index: “While Wall Street’s bullish narrative is compelling, the latest data from the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index provides a stark contrast. Small businesses are the backbone of the U.S. economy, and the sentiment captured in...

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Britain And European Economic Growth Sputters

2024-12-16

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2024-12-16

Yesterday's Commentary touched on the divergence between robust economic growth in the U.S. and near-recessionary conditions in Canada. We highlighted the importance of this to U.S. investors because of the historically strong correlation between the two economies. Unfortunately, Canada is not a one-off instance. Britain, Europe, and China also exhibit poor economic growth. Given the …

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The Role of Tax-Efficient Investing in Wealth Accumulation

2024-12-16

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2024-12-16

When it comes to building long-term wealth, it’s not just about how much you earn but how much you keep. Taxes can significantly impact your investment returns, making tax-efficient investing a crucial component of any wealth accumulation strategy. By utilizing tax-advantaged accounts, employing strategies like tax-loss harvesting, and selecting tax-efficient funds, investors can reduce their …

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How Expectations Drive Short-Term Market Returns

2024-12-15

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Invest wisely! Market values depend on expectations. Don't just follow the crowd. #investingtips #marketexpectations #stocks ?? Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/c78d89 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Understanding Technical Analysis: Your Market Navigation Tool

2024-12-14

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Technical analysis is like a roadmap for navigating the market in real-time. It helps us understand market trends and make informed decisions. ? #StockMarket #Investing Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/ebfef4 YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging

2024-12-14

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2024-12-14

Inside This Week's Bull Bear Report First Comes The Fed, Then Santa Last week, we discussed that the risk to the markets was the annual portfolio rebalancing process. To wit: "With the year-end approaching, portfolio managers need to rebalance their holdings due to tax considerations, distributions, and annual reporting. For example, as of this writing, …

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Understanding Market Corrections and Bear Markets with Lance Roberts

2024-12-13

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Market correction vs crash explained! A 50% decline doesn't mean a bear market. Stay informed to navigate the stock market like a pro! ?? #investingtips Watch the entire show here: https://cstu.io/0621ba YouTube channel = @ TheRealInvestmentShow

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12-13-24 Looking Ahead to 2025: Realize Gains or Change Exposure?

2024-12-13

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Everyone has a forecast for 2025. What does that really mean for you and your money? Should you realize gains or change exposure? Danny and Matt also explore what happens at age 73, proper RMD strategies and Inherited IRA uncertainties, and whether you should work with a Donor Advised Fund or private charitable foundation? Danny and Matt will share some investment strategies for 2025 and the implications of realizing capital gains, plus Portfolio...

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Is Canada A Canary In The Economic Coalmine?

2024-12-13

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2024-12-13

On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada cut its key benchmark rate by 50bps. They have now cut by 150 bps in 2024, compared to what will likely be 100 bps for the Fed after next week's meeting. Unlike the Fed, Canada’s central bank is fighting off a recession. Canadian real GDP for the last four … Continue reading »

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Economic Indicators And The Trajectory Of Earnings

2024-12-13

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2024-12-13

Understanding the trajectory of corporate earnings is crucial for investors, as these earnings significantly influence stock valuations and market performance. Economic indicators such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) provide valuable insights into the economic environment that shapes company profitability. …

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The Benefits of Starting Retirement Planning Early in Your Career

2024-12-12

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2024-12-12

Retirement may seem like a distant milestone when you’re in the early stages of your career, with other financial priorities like paying off student loans, building an emergency fund, or saving for a home often taking center stage. However, starting your retirement planning early offers significant advantages that can make a profound difference in your …

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