Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

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What the Largest Rally Since 1932 Means for Your Money | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-03-30

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(3/30/22) The current, near-10% rally is largest we've seen in history--assuming we're in a bear market. While technically, we didn't see a correction, the actions of the market belies otherwise. It is only in bear markets that these types of reflexive rallies are observed.

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The Biggest Risk to Markets Now

2022-03-30

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York Peppermint Patties & Coffee Prices, and the market rally continues, courtesy of a feigned pullback by Russia in Ukraine; why rallies like this only occur in bear markets. The Wisdom of Weddings on Birthdates (and other holidays); What happens after this rally?

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Is this a Bear Squeeze or a Return of the Bull? | 3:00 on markets & Money

2022-03-29

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Is the rally of the past few weeks a bonafide return of the Bull Market? Negative sentiment fostered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine set markets up for a reversal when the world didn't come to an end, and rallying mode ensued.

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Markets Stuck in Wash, Repeat, Rinse Cycle

2022-03-29

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(3/29/22) Quarter-end selling continues; how we allow psychology to affect investing decisions; what happens when inflation is artificially imposed. How debt deters economic growth. Why negativity is a contrarian indicator, and why we sold (some) stocks; Markets are in a Wash, Rinse, Repeat Cycle; Why headlines do not affect all stocks equally;

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Quarter End – Is it Time to Rebalance?

2022-03-28

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(3/28/22) Markets' sharp rally heading into the end of the quarter was expected, lifting indexes above the 200- and 50-DMA amidst negative sentiment and light positioning in portfolios. The clearing of overhead resistance sets markets up for a little more rallying up to the levels seen in December last year. Markets are very over bought on multiple levels, and pretty close to triggering a sell-signal. That does not necessarily mean markets are...

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What Happens with No Penalty for Failure

2022-03-28

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(3/28/22) The Oscar Slap heard 'round the world; The Billionaires' Tax explains, and why it won't pass muster; How the Flu was eliminated by COVID, and now...the impact of legislation, and why the Fed uses Quantitative Easing. The moral hazard for investors, and what happens when there's no penalty for excess; the "new" method for dealing with ecession: Don't let them occur. Emergency Assistance and whose at fault when investments for...

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When Your Financial Plan Isn’t Working

2022-03-26

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(3/25/22) How do you adequately plan your financial future with a Fed that is as outdated as a rectal thermometer? Their answer to every problem is sending a check. Gasoline Prices & Animal House; inflation and the "significant passage of time." What happens when your financial plan isn't working? Social Security COLA, tracking inflation's impact on your financial goals; dealing with volatility in distribution-mode. Improving credit...

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The Rate Hike Outlook Episode, Pt-2

2022-03-25

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(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally providing nice relief; bullish appetite for stocks remains, despite Ukraine, Interest rates, and inflation concerns. What happens when the Fed "prints" money; at what point will the Fed have gone too far? Life w The Roberts'; why Recessions aren't a bad thing; gasoline rebates are financial lunacy. Implications and consequences of 3% interest rates; how debt allows excessive lifestyles; Gov't. not allowing...

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Markets to End March Bullishly

2022-03-24

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(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally back above resistance levels sets up for a bullish advance into the end of the month. Markets are over-bought, short-term, so some consolidation at current levels would not be surprising. There is good support as markets sit atop the 50-DMA, and the 20-DMA is starting to turn upwards as another bullish barometer. As the end of the month approaches next week, mutual funds will need to rebalance portfolios, thanks to...

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The Rate Hike Outlook Episode, Pt.-1

2022-03-24

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(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally providing nice relief; bullish appetite for stocks remains, despite Ukraine, Interest rates, and inflation concerns. What happens when the Fed "prints" money; at what point will the Fed have gone too far? Life w The oberts'; why ecessions aren't a bad thing; gasoline rebates are financial lunacy. Implications and consequences of 3% interest rates; how debt allows excessive lifestyles; Gov't. not allowing...

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Is the Bear Market Already Over? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-03-23

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(3/23/22) Negative sentiment tends to be bullish for stocks, and lately everyone's been convinced the world is about to end. The technicals bear this out: We've had several re-tests of market lows since January, which would include the Russian invasion of Ukraine. But look at how markets rallied, breaking about the 50- and 200-DMA's. Markets need to hold above that resistance level, and reach up to touch the upper limits of the Bollinger Bands. In...

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Who’s Afraid of the Yield Curve?

2022-03-23

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(3/23/22) Lance's mystery Peppermint Patty source; investor sentiment remains negative, but there are technically constructive signs providing portfolio relief; concerns over geopolitics, energy, and food shortages are valid, but they're driving emotional responses by investors. Yield Curves and the story Bonds are telling; the impact of higher rates on pensions; you could be working for free; the reality of retirement now; the consequences of poor...

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Is It Time to Buy Bonds Yet? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-03-22

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(3/22/22) Maybe not yet, but we're probably getting close: The Fed this week has said it'll need to raise rates faster than previously thought because of rampant inflation. We might get a 50-basis point hike in May because of persistent inflation they didn't see coming (they also didn't see a war between Russia and Ukraine.)

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Sanctions Stink, but Markets Perform Despite Geopolitics

2022-03-22

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(3/22/22) Markets continue to perform remarkably, despite geopolitical distractions and Fed meddling; there seems to be no demand destruction from high energy prices. Yet. The conundrum is markets' readiness to rally amidst negative sentiment.

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6 percent Market Rally – Markets Over-bought | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-03-21

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(3/21/22) Markets rallied an astounding 6% last week, coming off an over-sold, very negative sentiment scenario--which was the perfect set-up for a counter-trend rally. Our advice was to use such a rally to rebalance risk. Did you? The Fed's 25-basis points rate hike, and Friday's quadruple witching deadline, which spurred activity, gave markets the lift necessary to rise into the 200-DMA, which will be challenging resistance this morning.

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Why Today’s Inflation is Not Like the ’70’s

2022-03-21

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(3/21/22) Markets decided to goose the index 6% while we're on vacation, and the Fed raises rates 25-basis points, as expected. Cash is now trash, thanks to inflation; why this is not like the '70's. The Greatest Generation and American Manufacturing strength; why CNN is wrong about solving inflation; Permanent DST, Congress' stealth pay raise, Bloomberg's $300k inflation threshold; the Fed is expected to continue to raise interest rates.

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Market Perspective Is Important To Avoid Mistakes

2022-03-16

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2022-03-16

Market perspective is essential in avoiding investing mistakes. With CNBC airing “Markets In Turmoil” every time the market dips, it’s no wonder investor sentiment is now the lowest we have seen financial crisis lows.

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Yes, We’re on Vacation This Week!

2022-03-14

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Even a work-a-holic like Lance needs to take a break now and then. Please visit our website at https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/podcasts/ for easy access to all of our media productions. We'll see you back here Monday morning, March 21, at 6:06am CDT. ➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel:...

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How to Include Inflation in Your Retirement Planning

2022-03-12

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(3/11/22) Markets are in a coiled-spring state, like the bear in "The Revenant," waiting to pounce. What the Fed says next week could change everything--one way or the other. Why not solve the Russian-Ukraine War with a cage match between Putin and Zelensky? The money lessons we teach our kids should be taken to heart by adults. The importance of including inflation in retirement planning cannot be under emphasized. How we're handling...

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Outsized Rallies Continue to Fail | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-03-10

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(3/10/22) The NASDAQ chalked up a 3% gain, and he S&P bounded nearly as much in the biggest one-day gain we've seen in a while. But even with this volatile behavior, markets have been in a consistent decline since January. The out-sized rallies have continued to fail--a hallmark of the correctional process. Below the surface of the average, individual companies are recording losses of up to 30- and 40% off their peaks. The S&P is being...

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