Will We Get Gridlock? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-11-09
(11/9/22) Midterm elections are behind us, and all that’s left to determine is who will control the House and the Senate, and will we get a gridlocked congress, which tends to be better for markets. Historically, post-midterm election markets tend to rally into the year-end. Meanwhile, the bottoms built in September and October have resulted in a rally, albeit not a strong one. The buy-signal on the MACD has performed as expected. Stocks yesterday got above the 50_DMA; markets will have to hold that today, and the next challenge will be tops set previously, just ahead of the FOMC meeting, where the 100-DMA resides also. Looking ahead, expect a bit of a uptick as Thanksgiving draws ear, and then in the first weeks of December, a bit of a softening should occur as mutual funds make their
What Will Drive Markets Next? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-11-07
(11/7/22) Markets rebounded on Friday, and are set to open higher this morning, ahead of The Big Elections tomorrow. The 20-DMA is now confirmed-support, and markets today will retest resistance at the 50-DMA. Markets are trapped between these two, narrow boundaries. A breakout in one direction of the other will likely dictate the next leg of the markets’ move. The election outcomes and next week’s CPI report, for better or worse, are likely to be the market movers later this week.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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Fed Meeting Today – Another 75-Basis Points? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-11-02
(11/12/22) The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike interest rates again at today’s meeting by 75-basis point. The more important element, however, is what Powell & Co. will have to say about the future pace and scale of rates into 2023. The anticipated goal is a Fed "terminal rate" of 5%, at which point rate increases would cease. For now. Any kind of inclination towards a more doveish outlook should bode well for stocks. Markets yesterday re-tested the 50-DMA, and it’s important to hold at that level today as the Fed meeting commences. All outcomes today are dependent upon the Fed’s stance and statement this afternoon.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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Get more info & commentary:
Can Markets’ Rally Continue in November? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-11-01
(11/1/22) Following the best October in the Dow since 1975, investors are wondering whether markets can replicate last month’s performance. Futures this morning are pointing higher ahead of this week’s Fed meeting in which interest rates are expected to get another 75-bp goosing. The real question, however, is whether the Fed is about to begin tapering the velocity or intensity of its rate hikes. The Fed’s "Terminal Rate" is expected to be reached in 2023 at 5%. What we need to see is inflation coming down and unemployment starting to rise to force the Fed to back off; the Fed may get a little more than expected in the way of results. So, we continue to suggest using any rally to raise cash, trim risk, and prepare for tougher times in 2023.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment
Will a Hold at the 50-DMA Level Continue? | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-08-30
(8/30/22) With markets in an over-sold on multiple levels, a rally was due, and markets did on Monday test the 50-DMA and bounced, almost rallying to break-even, before slipping back to the close. Markets actually posted a "green candle" for the day. Tuesday morning futures are pointing higher, as a prelude to an attempt at a bounce, with the potential to get back up to the 20-DMA. We will likely see a rally that is sold-into. A rally to reverse the over-sold condition is needed if the sell-off is to continue. A hold at the 50-DMA level will continue the upward trend and allow the bulls a little more room in which to work. We’re suggesting using any rally to sell-into and raise some cash, because there is still risk to the downside.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist,
Will Jerome Powell Disappoint Today?
2022-08-27
(8/26/22) Does everything hinge around Jackson Hole? Will Jerome Powell disappoint the hawks? the impact of energy prices on inflation; California’s EV gambit; how the drought will impact food prices & inflation. How the Inflation Reduction Act will cap prescription drug prices–eliminating the Medicare donut hole; Drug Holidays, the Anxiety in Retirement Planning; Medicare Confusion; A Dr Pepper a Day, and putting coke back into Coke; How to not out-live your retirement.
3:21 – Will Jerome Powell Disappoint?
14:43 – The Silver Lining in the Inflation Reduction Act
30:31 – What Women Fear Most About Retirement
44:35 – How Not to Outlive Your Assets in Retirement
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent
Markets Slicing Through Support Levels | 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-08-23
(8/23/22) Friday’s market sell-off is followed by mayhem on Monday, with the worst day of performance since the market found its bottom back in July. Markets sliced clean through levels of support yesterday and this morning are poised for a mild opening; we don’t think it will be able to stick, however, as the 20-DMA is retested. Will Markets follow the trendline established for the past 20-weeks? The 100-DMA of 4080 is likely a more logical level to establish support. Any reflexive rally today might be a good opportunity to take profits and rebalance portfolios against risk. A failure of the 100-DMA will default to the 50-DMA at 3950–a 50% retracement of the rally from the low. We’re watching the MACD indicator closely for signs of the next opportunity to put money to work. If markets
Markets Bullish on a Short Term Basis| 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-08-15
(8/15/22) arkets are very bullish on a short-term basis, and are set to test the 200-DA; that’s hard to believe with all the negative economic data that’s currently about. Think that’s weird? arkets are markets, and they tend to lead the economy, rather than lag. But it’s way too early to determine whether markets are telling us the worst of the economic downdraft is behind us. If markets continue to advance, a pullback to support would then provide an opportunity for more equity exposure short-term. uch will depend upon what the Fed does, and the Jackson Hole meeting later this month may provide a clue. Economic data remains very weak, supporting the bearish case that the Fed’s not done yet. Inflation is not going to come down from the 8% range this year, and the Fed is not reducing its
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