Nutty Predictions for 2023

2022-12-14

(12/14/22) Inflation check-in a little weaker than expected, but CPI is still at 7.1% year over year. Markets sold off in response, but managed to stay positive. Attention today turns to the Fed’s post-meeting presser at which time Chairman Powell will elaborate on future plans for interest rates; no pivot, but maybe a pause? Two weeks of bliss between now and EOY. How Hawkish will the Fed be? Fallout from the FTX scandal: How excess liquidity provided environment ripe for fraud to proliferate; easy money generally leads to fraud. Elon Musk no longer richest man in the world; is the 4% Rule back? Why $1-miilion just doesn’t go as far as it once did; Looking ahead at 2023 economy; four things to do if you lose your job; Cash is NOT trash; the Financial Security cushion; why you should

2022-10-17

(10/17/22) Last week’s roller-coaster market following the latest CPI report, ended the week holding the support line that had been building since the beginning of October. The potential for a rally remains the case: we’re looking for markets to hit 3,900, and that will be the point where we want to sell some equities to reduce risk. Trading could remain sloppy for the next few days, but by the end of the month, two things will provide additional octane: The blackout window for stock buy backs will end on October 28, and that activity will return to the market; that will coincide with about 70% of corporate earnings reporting completed. Those earnings will likely be not-as-bad as expected, lending further buoyancy to stocks.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance

2022-10-13

(10/13/22) Remember the genesis of Quantitative Easing in the 2008 financial crisis? Here we discuss the mechanism of how QT works, the debt issuance that’s required, and why rising interest rates are creating an unsustainable scenario today for the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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2022-10-06

(10/6/22) Gasoline prices are back on the rise with OPEC’s production cuts; Joe Biden’s solution: Tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as winter looms, and demand for fuel oil will increase, resulting in greater expenses for an already strapped consumer. Markets are oversold with a drop in negative sentiment; yet no Fed pivot in sight. Will the Fed continue until something breaks? There are now $60-T in derivatives hanging out, all based on historical models that don’t always predict everything. What happens when the models break? The Sub-prime fiasco was derivatives based on derivatives. Oil prices are on the rise, creating more financial pressure for consumers. The US is still a net-importer of oil. What happens when the US bids to replenish the SPR? Financial Stress and the Risk of

2022-08-03

Inflation touches every aspect of your life. No one can avoid it because we’re living in an Inflation Nation. There’s no magic elixir against inflation…but our nine-step plan can help you blunt inflation’s effects.

Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP.
0:40 – Defining Inflation
2:30 – What Sparked this Inflationary Cycle?
3:40 – The Fed’s "Transitory" Thesis
5:35 – The Future of Inflation
8:30 – RIA’s Inflation Estimate by year’s end
9:36 – The Atlanta Fed’s Sticky Price Index
11:30 – Inflation and Consumer Distress
14:20 – Your Personal CPI
15:11 – Micro budgeting
17:50 – Defer Purchases on Durable Goods
21:05 – Negotiating Credit Card Rates
32:13 – Making Smart Social Security Decisions
26:54 – Stock Investing

2022-08-01

(8/1/22) August begins with The Roberts Family in new digs (who’s idea was it to move during Houston’s hottest summer, ever??) What will the Fed be expected to do in their meeting this month? The Roberts’ kids get their independence; shooting down the new PACT Act Spending Bill; how we got from millions to trillions; What happens when the co-pilot leaves the aircraft early; the market conundrum for bears: dealing with contrarian-indicator clients; the thick of earnings season: Why would markets rally amidst so much negativity? And what happens when things get too negative? Companies are moving from
0:10 – End of July, Start to August
11:17 – The Roberts’ Kids Leave Home
16:53 – How We Got from Millions to Trillions in Spending
27:25 – The Market Conundrum for Bears
41:30 – Consumer