Is It Too Late to Buy Bonds?| 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-11-29

(11/29/22) Merriam-Webster’s Word of the Year: "Gaslighting," which is what markets have been doing to investors all year. The Fed, however, has been very clear about its intention to continue to hike interest rates to stem the surging inflation. And yet…and yet, markets have continued to rally on hopes the Fed will "pivot." Markets finally got the message Monday and sold off. With the 20-DMA and the 100-DMA now very close together, there is good support for markets just below current prices. This morning, futures are higher, but markets appear to be remaining within a consolidation range. The January effect will be helpful, but the opposite could also occur, especially if the Fed continues its present course to higher rates. Meanwhile, our MACD Sell Signal is getting close to turning

2022-11-23

(11/23/22) Markets achieved a nice 1% rally Tuesday, with traders taking bets things will improve as 2022 winds-down. Stock buy backs helped support buying activity. The trading range remains very tight as the 20-DMA keeps moving up to support at the 100-DMA. Resistance, however, continues to fall with the 200-DMA moving down to the top of the trading range. Post-Thanksgiving, we’ll be needing to see a stronger rally above the 200-DMA if we’re going to get any kind of a rally leading into 2023. We’re keeping a close eye on the VIX, too, because an uptick in volatility will likely signal a sell-off in the market.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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2022-10-06

(10/6/22) Gasoline prices are back on the rise with OPEC’s production cuts; Joe Biden’s solution: Tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as winter looms, and demand for fuel oil will increase, resulting in greater expenses for an already strapped consumer. Markets are oversold with a drop in negative sentiment; yet no Fed pivot in sight. Will the Fed continue until something breaks? There are now $60-T in derivatives hanging out, all based on historical models that don’t always predict everything. What happens when the models break? The Sub-prime fiasco was derivatives based on derivatives. Oil prices are on the rise, creating more financial pressure for consumers. The US is still a net-importer of oil. What happens when the US bids to replenish the SPR? Financial Stress and the Risk of

2022-09-13

(9/13/22) All eyes are on today’s CPI Report (clocking-in at 8.3% Inflation) and its effects on the economy: What are the numbers within the number, and why does it matter? What will be the Fed’s response, and what will it take for the Fed to ease up on rate hikes? The dichotomy of views among Bears vs Bulls: the problem of timing and duration; after 3 Bull Markets, why are 80% of Americans still broke? The White Multi-millionaire Minority. Dealing with short-term market-cycles, and thinking ahead of the Fed: What’s the best strategy for Recession? Markets FOMO on potential Fed pivot; trade the market for what it is, not what we wish it was. CPI Preview: Too hot not good for stocks: Fed will continue rate hikes. Has the deficit really been reduced as claimed?

3:03 – The Numbers Within