Category Archive: 5) Global Macro
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Die “Titanic”-Analogie, die Sie noch nicht gehört haben | Von Charles Hugh Smith
Den vollständigen Tagesdosis-Text (inkl. ggf. Quellenhinweisen und Links) finden Sie hier: https://apolut.net/die-titanic-analogie-die-sie-noch-nicht-gehoert-haben-von-charles-hugh-smith
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Die “Titanic”-Analogie, die Sie noch nicht gehört haben | Von Charles Hugh Smith
Den vollständigen Tagesdosis-Text (inkl. ggf. Quellenhinweisen und Links) finden Sie hier: https://apolut.net/die-titanic-analogie-die-sie-noch-nicht-gehoert-haben-von-charles-hugh-smith
Ein Kommentar von Charles Hugh Smith.
Passive Akzeptanz des Verleugnens
Ob wir uns dessen bewusst sind oder nicht, wir reagieren mit passiver Akzeptanz des Verleugnens.
Sie haben zweifellos gehört, dass die Neuanordnung der Liegestühle auf der Titanic eine...
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The Bubble Economy’s Credit-Asset Death Spiral
Who believed that central banks' financial perpetual motion machine was anything more than trickery designed to generate phantom wealth? Central banks seem to have perfected the ideal financial perpetual motion machine: as credit expands, money pours into risk assets, which shoot higher under the pressure of expanding demand for assets that yield either hefty returns (junk bonds) or hefty capital gains as the soaring assets suck in more capital...
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SMART BOURSE – Marchés à thème(s) : Thomas Costerg (Pictet WM)
Lundi 5 décembre 2022, SMART BOURSE reçoit Thomas Costerg (Économiste senior US, Pictet WM)
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SMART BOURSE – L’invité de la mi-journée : Thomas Costerg (Pictet WM)
Lundi 5 décembre 2022, SMART BOURSE reçoit Thomas Costerg (Économiste senior US, Pictet WM)
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What should Xi do next?
China has been rocked by protests at the country’s zero-covid policy, and Xi Jinping now faces a dilemma: should he relax restrictions and risk hundreds of thousands of deaths, or continue lockdowns at the expense of the economy and, potentially, further social unrest?
00:00 - Protests spread in China
01:13 - What is the zero-covid policy?
01:30 - What is Xi’s dilemma?
02:32 - What should Xi do next?
Sign up to The Economist’s daily newsletter:...
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The cost of health care: how to make it affordable
The cost of health care is unaffordable for many in the developing world. But while universal health care may sound like an impossible dream, it’s more achievable than you might think.
Film supported by @bainandcompanyinsights
00:00 – The argument for universal health coverage is clear
00:57 – Thailand’s path to universal health coverage
03:31 – Universal health care around the world
04:48 – How to finance universal health coverage?
05:30 –...
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This Is of Course Insane
Greed is a powerful motivation to be an ardent believer in the central banking cult. The ideal cult convinces its followers that it isn't a cult, it's simply the natural order of things.In current terms, this normalizes insane behaviors and beliefs. Sacrificing youth to appease the gods isn't a cult; it's simply the natural order of things.
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The "Oil Curse" and Splashy PR Announcements of Oil Production Cuts
It's not just the price of oil that matters: how much disposable income consumers have left to buy more goods and services matters, too. The Oil Curse (a.k.a. The Resource Curse) refers to the compelling ease of those blessed with an abundance of oil/resources to depend on that gift for the majority of state/national revenues.
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Weekly Market Pulse: Currency Illusion
When we think about the challenges facing an investor today, the big problems, the things we worry about that could cause a lot more harm than some interest rate hikes, are mostly outside the United States. China is prominent this weekend because of demonstrations against their zero COVID policies. The Chinese people appear to be pretty well fed up with the endless lockdowns and have finally decided to try and do something about it. Unfortunately,...
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The Uncertainty in China Is Kryptonite to Global Markets
Few seem alive to the potentially consequential financial risks arising from uncertainties evolving in China. One thing we know rather definitively is that markets don't like uncertainty: uncertainty is Kryptonite to markets. Another thing we know is that the events unfolding in China are generating uncertainty on multiple levels.
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How will businesses use the metaverse?
The metaverse could offer multi-trillion-dollar opportunities for businesses in the long term, with the potential to transform many aspects of daily life.
00:00 - How the metaverse could transform our daily lives
01:22 - How filmmakers are using metaverse technology
02:30 - What is the metaverse?
04:09 - An opportunity for creative industries
05:59 - How tech titans are profiting off the metaverse
06:53 - What is Roblox?
09:51 - Gen Z:...
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SMART BOURSE – L’invité de la mi-journée : Thomas Costerg (Pictet WM)
Lundi 21 novembre 2022, SMART BOURSE reçoit Thomas Costerg (Économiste senior US, Pictet WM)
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There’s No Bottom Until Frenzied Speculation Turns to Dust
Only when speculative sizzle attracts no buyers / marks will the bottom be in. There hasn't been a truly organic bottom in stocks in decades. Fifteen years of relentless central bank manipulation since the 2008-09 Global Financial Meltdown has persuaded punters that central banks will always save us should the market turn down because relentless central bank suppression of interest rates and expansion of liquidity (a.k.a. free money for financiers)...
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COP27: does it go far enough?
COP27, the United Nations climate conference, has drawn to a close in Egypt. The Economist’s environment editor, Catherine Brahic, shares her assessment on the talks' breakthroughs, the frantic conclusion of the summit and the limitations of the agreement that emerged.
00:00 - COP27 has drawn to a close
00:17 - The final 24 hours
01:04 - Successes: loss and damage and finance
02:10 - Where COP27 fell short
03:22 - Challenges for COP28
A new UN...
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FTX: The Dominoes of Financial Fraud Have Yet to Fall
Once assets are revealed as worth far less than claimed, insolvency is the inevitable result. If you haven't plowed through dozens of post-collapse commentaries on FTX, I'm saving you the trouble: here's a distillation of what matters going forward. If you're seeking a forensic accounting of FTX, others have done this work already.
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Why is the World Cup important to Qatar?
Qatar is about to host the most expensive World Cup ever, costing as much as $300bn. Why has this small, gas-rich kingdom chosen to host football’s most prestigious event, and how does it fit into its broader plans for economic transformation?
00:00 - Why is Qatar hosting the World Cup?
00:57 - World Cups are expensive competitions
01:56 - Qatar’s human rights violations
02:36 - Qatar’s place in the Gulf
04:43 - Qatar distinguishes itself from...
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The IRS Will Tax Less of an Estate in 2023
In 2012, the American Taxpayer Relief Act (ATRA) established, for the first time, a permanent estate tax and gift tax exemption. The exemption is the amount an individual can pass on at death without paying estate taxes. The legislation set the exemption at $5 million per person, indexed for inflation.
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