Category Archive: 5) Global Macro

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How to win a penalty shootout I The Economist

2018-06-26

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Penalty shootouts provide some of the tensest World Cup moments. We’ve crunched the data and teamed up with one of the world’s top female footballers to examine the secret of taking the perfect spot kick. Click here to subscribe to The Economist on YouTube: https://econ.st/2tGuZ9h Daily Watch: mind-stretching short films throughout the working week. For …

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Emerging Markets: Preview of the Week Ahead

2018-06-26

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2018-06-26

EM FX ended Friday mixed, and capped off a mixed week overall as the dollar’s broad-based rally was sidetracked. EM may start the week on an upbeat after PBOC cut reserve requirements over the weekend. Best EM performers last week were ARS, MXN, and TRY while the worst were THB, IDR, and BRL.

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RMR: Special Guest – Charles Hugh Smith – Of Two Minds (06/25/2018)

2018-06-25

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We are political scientists, editorial engineers, and radio show developers drawn together by a shared vision of bringing Alternative news through digital mediums that evangelize our civil liberties. Please subscribe for the latest shows daily! http://www.roguemoney.net https://www.facebook.com/ROGUEMONEY.NET/ https://twitter.com/theroguemoney

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Emerging Markets: What Changed

2018-06-25

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2018-06-25

Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus was named the new Governor of Malaysia’s central bank. Moody's cut the outlook on Pakistan's B3 rating to negative from stable. National Bank of Hungary tiled more hawkish. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s wife was charged with misusing public funds. MSCI added Saudi Arabia and Argentina to its Emerging Markets index.

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review (VIDEO)

2018-06-24

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2018-06-24

Information and opinions about the economy and markets from Alhambra Investments CEO Joe Calhoun.

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Gresham’s Law and Bitcoin

2018-06-23

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2018-06-23

Bolivar/U.S. Dollar, 2010-2018
Rather suddenly, the state issued fiat currency bolivar lost 99% of its purchasing power. Gresham's law holds that "bad money drives out good money," meaning that given a choice of currencies (broadly speaking, "money" that serves as a store of value and a means of exchange), people use depreciating "bad" to buy goods and services and hoard "good" money that is appreciating or holding its value.

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Bi-Weekly Economic Review

2018-06-22

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2018-06-22

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate 1990-2018
Is the rate hiking cycle almost done? Not the question on everyone’s minds right now so a good time to ask it, I think. A couple of items caught my attention recently that made me at least think about the possibility.  There has been for some time now a large short position held by speculators in the futures market for Treasuries.

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A softer Brexit is a better Brexit | The Economist

2018-06-21

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Enter the Economist #OpenFuture contest: A minute to change the world. See more here: https://goo.gl/FU4YL4 The Brexit vote took place two years ago. But when Britons voted to leave the EU they had no say in what sort of Brexit they wanted. It has become clear that a softer Brexit is better, and Britain need … Continue...

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Global Asset Allocation Update

2018-06-21

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2018-06-21

Global Asset Allocation Update
The risk budget is unchanged this month. For the moderate risk investor the allocation to bonds and risk assets is evenly split. There are changes this month within the asset classes. How far are we from the end of this cycle? When will the next recession arrive and more importantly when will stocks and other markets start to anticipate a slowdown?

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CHARLES HUGH SMITH Printing Money Will Not Save Us From Recession This Time

2018-06-20

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All our reports and Daily Alert News are backed up by source links. We work very hard to bring you the facts and We research everything before presenting the report. Subscribe for Latest on Financial Crisis, Oil Price, Global Economic Collapse, Dollar Collapse, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Global Reset, New World Order, Economic Collapse, Economic News, …

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There Isn’t Supposed To Be The Two Directions of IP

2018-06-20

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2018-06-20

U.S. Industrial Production, SA 1995-2018
US Industrial Production dipped in May 2018. It was the first monthly drop since January. Year-over-year, IP was up just 3.5% from May 2017, down from 3.6% in each of prior three months. The reason for the soft spot was that American industry is being pulled in different directions by the two most important sectors: crude oil and autos.

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CHARLES HUGH SMITH – Printing Money Will Not Save Us From Recession This Time

2018-06-19

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SUBSCRIBE for Latest on FINANCIAL CRISIS / OIL PRICE / PETROL/ GLOBAL ECONOMIC COLLAPSE / DOLLAR COLLAPSE / GOLD / SILVER / BITCOIN / ETHERIUM / CRYPTOCURRENCY / LITECOIN /FINANCIAL CRASH / GLOBAL RESET / NEW WORLD ORDER / ECONOMIC COLLAPSE / DAVOS 2018

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Should we tax the rich more? | The Economist

2018-06-19

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Taxation is necessary in order to provide public services like roads, education and health care. But as the world’s elderly population grows, and the demand for public services increases, countries will need to reassess how they tax. Where should the money come from? Click here to subscribe to The Economist on YouTube: https://econ.st/2tk2YnG Daily Watch: …

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Emerging Markets: Week Ahead Preview

2018-06-19

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2018-06-19

EM FX was mixed on Friday but capped off a largely losing week. MYR, CLP, and CNY were the best performers over the last week, while ARS, TRY, and ZAR were the worst. We expect EM FX to continue weakening, but note that with very few fundamental drivers this week, we may see some consolidation near-term.

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Emerging Markets: What Changed

2018-06-18

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2018-06-18

US-China trade tensions are rising. Pakistan devalued the rupee for a third time since December. Bulgaria will seek to join the eurozone banking union and ERM-2 simultaneously. The National Bank of Hungary appears to have tilted more hawkish. Newly elected Egyptian President El-Sisi shuffled his cabinet. Argentina has a new central bank chief after Federico Sturzenegger resigned.

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Here We Go Again: Our Double-Bubble Economy

2018-06-17

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2018-06-17

S&P/Case-Shiller 2000-2018
The bubbles in assets are supported by the invisible bubble in greed, euphoria and credulity. Well, folks, here we go again: we have a double-bubble economy in housing and stocks, and a third difficult-to-chart bubble in greed, euphoria and credulity.

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Recent Concerning Consumer Credit Trends Carry On Into April

2018-06-16

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2018-06-16

Consumer-Credit Revolving Monthly Change 2012-2018
US consumers continue to recover from their debt splurge at the end of last year. Combined with still weaker income growth, the Federal Reserve estimates that aggregate revolving credit balances grew only marginally for the fourth straight month in April 2018. To put it in perspective, the total for revolving credit (seasonally adjusted) is up a mere $2.2 billion for all four months of this year combined, compared to +$5.2 billion in December 2017...

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Kim Jong won | The Economist

2018-06-15

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Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump could have pulled off the unthinkable—a denuclearised North Korea. But as our cartoonist Kal imagines, things could spin badly out of control for the American President Click here to subscribe to The Economist on YouTube: https://econ.st/2t0Pmye Daily Watch: mind-stretching short films throughout the working week. For more from Economist …

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Chinese Inflation And Money Contributions To EM’s

2018-06-15

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2018-06-15

China CPI PBOC Bank Reserves, May 2007 - 2018
The People’s Bank of China won’t update its balance sheet numbers for May until later this month. Last month, as expected, the Chinese central bank allowed bank reserves to contract for the first time in nearly two years. It is, I believe, all part of the reprioritization of monetary policy goals toward CNY. How well it works in practice remains to be seen. Authorities are not simply contracting one important form of base money in China (bank...

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Who will win the 2018 FIFA World Cup? | The Economist

2018-06-14

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The 2018 FIFA World Cup has begun, but who is likely to win? The Economist has scoured historical data and analysed dozens of factors to try to determine which country’s team will lift the iconic trophy.

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