by Lance Roberts
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| (11/16/23) This will be The Year of the Magnificent Seven--those dominant stocks that have powered the markets, responsible for 112% of this year's gains. Markets are working through earnings season; Target & WalMart: A tale of Two Retailers. Markets are returning to overbought conditions, ripe for a pullback. Best opportunities to add exposure will likely be post-Thanksgiving. The problem with easing financial conditions for the Fed: heighten exuberance leads to more spending & inflation. 20- Fed speakers this week made no mention of this. Recession will occur when employment turns sour. Fed guidance to markets: Not saying anything for a while, positioning to be "right," regardless of outcome. Why would the Fed cut rates? That's the Fed's conundrum. What does the Fed know that they're not telling the rest of us? Comparing 2016-19 to now: The Fed managed rate changes and the lag effect, saving the hedge funds. What happens in an economy dependent upon credit? Higher rates creating stress in the system. 3:00 - The Year of the Magnificent Seven 14:19 - The Fed's Problem w Easing Financial Conditions 30:26 -The Fed's Inflation Conundrum 44:29 - What Does the Fed Know They're not Telling Us? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Not-so-Bad News is Good" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed IS Done Raising Rates" &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=42s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/employment-is-sending-signals-recession-or-normalization/ "Speculator Or Investor? What’s The Difference?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculator-or-investor-whats-the-difference/ "Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FAANGstocks #MagnificentSeven #FederalReserve #CPI #Inflation #EconomicSentiment #Markets #Money #Investing |
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Beware the Risks in Medicare Advantage Plans 2024
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What do the Three Stooges and the Fed’s rate cut plans have in common? Risk appetites are on the rise with the Reddit IPO; what if inflation heats up and the Fed cannot cut rates? We’re living in a government-driven economy. The challenges to withdrawal rates: Goal-harvesting. Goal shifting when retirement guardrails change. The Reddit IPO: Let the euphoria burn away. Risks to Medicare Advantage plans in 2024: Pre-existing clauses. We now have to deal with reinvestment risks as rates begin to fall; alternatives to getting away from high fixed-income earnings.
3:12 – The Three Rate Cut Stooges
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We’re On Spring Break
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We’re taking a little time off to enjoy family and the absence of alarm clocks for the next week.
Our live shows will return on Monday, March 18, 2024.
Please take a moment to subscribe and you’ll be notified when our next show airs!
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Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Lance’s Rant: Don’t Be Phooled by Phishers
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So someone told you they were "Lance" from RIA Advisors, and asked you to move some money? Don’t be fooled…
Sage words of advice from RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts.
➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757
➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel:
www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events:
https://riaadvisors.com/events/
➢ Sign up for the Newsletter:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
➢ RIA SimpleVisor: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More.
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com
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2024 Economic Summit Early Bird
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Don’t miss our special, live 2024 Economic Summit, Saturday, January 27, 2024, featuring Greg Valliere with Adam Taggart, Lance Roberts, & Michael Lebowitz, at the Hotel Sonesta in Houston.
Early Bird ticket pricing is still in effect, so don’t delay in reserving your spot in this intimate, limited-seating venue.
Register today: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator
How Much Will You Spend on Your Pet (and other pet peeves) in 2024?
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(12/15/23) Forget the Santa Claus rally: After this week’s Fed announcement, it’s the Jerome Powell rally. Don’t fight the Fed. Darden Restaurants & Ruth’s Chris Steakhouse; reactions to Fed statement; Does Jerome Powell wear a Santa suit? Has owning a pet become a luxury? Financial Planning for Pets: $2,640 avg. annual expense; making emotional decisions about money. The benefits of pet ownership and caring for pets. Pet Sitters & IRS rules for 1099 reporting personal transactions vs side gigs. What happens when you start taking SS early? Knowing the thresholds: Were The Little Rascals in on a welfare scam?
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The Fed Pivots
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(12/14/23) Throwing caution to the wind, a dovish FOMC takes the bearish stance away from markets; markets are forming a cup-and-handle pattern, suggesting a rally to record-highs; but that does not preclude a 3- to-5% correction. Bond yields are to fall. Out of control tipping; how the Fed trained investors to expect backup; the Fed’s pivot to dovishness: What do they know that we do not? The benefits of lower rates vs risk of more inflation; financial conditions are easing. Look for a huge short-cover rally, and then get ready for correction. But first, more record-highs. Bullish vs bearish commentary; a look at the FRED database; the key phrase is "effective rate." Excess liquidity is leaving the system; where will the Fed turn when it needs more money? THe Fed is still doing QT,
How Theft Creates More Inflation
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12/27/23) Hate those self-checkout registers at the store? Merchants are discovering they might be costing more in "shrinkage" than is being saved by fewer employees working registers. Lance addresses the problem with self-checkout & retail theft; creation of more inflation; Gen-Z’s five-finger discount habit.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the full show from which this segment was excerpted on our YouTube channel:
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Begin Year-End Gyrations" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=4s
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Our previous show is here: "Is the
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