Do Technical Measures and Valuations Really Matter?
2024-03-26
Baltimore Harbor is closed following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, hit by an out of control freighter. Weaker Regional Economic Surveys are in contrast to economists ratcheting-up growth expectations: No one is expecting a recession. Liquidity continues to boost bullish mood on Wall Street. The market has steadily climbed for past 5-months, creating record deviations; for now, no fear. Valuations are a measure of market psychology: "If everybody has bought, who is left to buy?" – Sam Stovall. When Technicals & Fundamentals align (the problem for most investors is that they’re too slow). All elements are now present for a reversion to the mean; just need a catalyst. What will turn buyers into sellers? The impact of more, earlier retirees on actuarial tables and Larry
Netflix & the Phenomenal NASDAQ Decade
2024-01-24
(1/24/24) Netflix dominates the streaming space, once again; coming up: more rate increases. At what point do subscribers say, ‘enough,’ and revert to bundling? For Netflix, what is the customer acquisition cost? The Richmond Fed Index disappoints; Commentary on Bonds’ day-to-day moves: It’s just noise. Yields are not over bought. Danny Ratliff relates his home rehab hell and dealing with insurance adjusters (it’s a racket). The "joys" of home ownership. Netflix & the phenomenal NASDAQ decade; is this a "sus" market? HSA expansion plans & triple-tax benefit (if you can get it).Should all healthcare plans be high-deductible? How companies are reducing healthcare expenses. Japan’s just=in-time inventory management vs the US; No concern about supply chain disruptions from shutdowns. This
Why Majority of Americans Are Bummed-out By the Economy
2024-01-23
(1/23/24) Expectations for volatility to pick up, as the risk of earnings warnings rise. Leading economic indicators have been negative for 21-months, yet where’s the Recession? What is the risk to outlook in earnings? The most stupid chart on the planet: All-time highs come in clusters (y’think?) Yep, and we’ll likely get another one today. How can markets be hitting all-time highs, and the majority of the public is quite pessimistic? Axios’ poll: The country is bummed out by the economy. Bitcoin performance, post-EFT? Increased volatility & net drawdowns. Give it a little more time.
2:55 – Earnings Season Marches On: What is the risk to earnings going forward?
14:23 – Event Tease | All-time Highs in a Bifurcated Market
30:07 – The Disconnect Between Markets and Most Americans
44:12 –
Wall St. Doubles Down on Bonds
2024-01-11
(1/15/24) [NOTE: If you’re watching this video, we are dealing with The Great Ice Storm of 2024., and hope to be back in the studio, live, tomorrow. Or the next day…when ever things thaw.]
Lance reviews the conundrum of capital allocations in 2024: Wall St. doubles-down on bonds; will the Magnificent-7 lead again, or will last year’s underperformers? What if interest rates come down but inflation stabilizes at 3%? no push for the Fed to act (not what’s expected). What about the "in-between outcome?"
——–
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——–
Watch the full show from which this excerpt was taken:
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s
——–
Register for our 2024 Economic
What’s It Like to Live Solely on Social Security? (1/10/24)
2024-01-10
(1/10/24) Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Finanical Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
——–
Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator
——–
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Missed It "By That Much"" is here:
-I32Ir1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=81s
——-
Our previous show is here: "Keep An Eye on Bankruptcies"
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s
——–
Articles Mentioned in this Show:
"2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter"
1 ping