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2023-01-06

(1/9/23) The Fed’s trajectory, and the difference between pausing rate hikes and dropping rates. a brief history of rate hikes and rate cuts. How markets can surprise despite headwinds; looking for more market volatility this year. "Prepare for the worst, hope for the best; what happens will be somewhere in between." The 2023 Word of the Year may be, "Audible;" be prepared with multiple play options. (NOTE: This is an edited presentation from a previously broadcast show.)
SEG-1: The Fed’s Trajectory
SEG-2: How Markets Can Surprise Despite Headwinds
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Our new feature, "Before the Bell: Is it Time to Take Profits in Gold?" is here:

2023-01-03

(1/3/23) The watchword for 2023: "Muck." Predictions for the markets: A tough year ahead; making financial resolutions: What can you control in your household? There will be new taxes this year. Where have all the go-getters gone? Act your wage; not finding worth in work. some families can collect six-figure incomes by staying home; waking up early & making your bed; setting up an emergency fund; Secure Act 2-0: Incentivizing savings; RMD Ages increases; expectations for workers to work longer into old age. The Fed is the foe; passive investing will lose its allure; using Secure Act to take advantage of tax law; The most expensive vehicle this year will be the shopping cart; penalties for missing RMD’s; database for lost IRA’s is a retirement fund lost & found; Clothespins, Duct tape, &

2022-12-17

(12/16/22) The origins of Elf on a Shelf; How American’s really feel about the economy, and why we’re spending less this Christmas; tougher times are coming in 2023. Picking Priorities and Pet Financing; No, no, no, Janet Yellen! It’s the government’s fault. Austerity be damned. Opportunities for Fixed Income in 2023.

2022-12-13

(12/27/22) Sam Bankman-Fried arrested in Bahamas; the saga of FTX & future of crypto. Possible sentencing for SBF; who will be the next FTX to fail? Real people lost real money, and it was all they had. A review of SEC charges against SBF; civil liability + Federal criminal liability; a brief history of the SEC and regulation likely to come.

0:00 -The Saga of Sam Brinkman-Fried & FTX
SEG-4: SEC vs SBF & FTX & History of SEC Regulation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the show from which this segment is excerpted on our YouTube channel:
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2022-10-19

(10/19/22) We are well into another “Millennial Earnings Season,” where companies are rewarded for lowering estimates in order to beat earnings estimates; everyone gets a participation trophy! A real tell will be Consumer Retail Sales results as an end-of-year measure of consumer strength. Look for market sloppiness for the next week; the none-stages of a Bear Market.

2022-10-17

(10/17/22) Halloween is the second-biggest retail shopping event of the year; earnings season begins today; markets continue to hold onto bottoms, with lots of volatility. After mid-term elections, watch for negative revisions to economic reports. The Roberts’ House-hunting begins; the Fed’s Third Mandate: Jacking-up asset prices with a litany of actions to boost equities. What happens when stocks outgrow what the economy can generate? Is there such thing as "too much savings?" Why we’re not in a bear market…yet. What the technicals show; Emily the Criminal & student loan debt; the efficacy of college degrees; the motivation of fear; the Four Fears of Life.

0:55 – Earnings Season Begins Today
12:18 – The Roberts’ House-hunting
14:44 – The Fed’s Third Mandate
28:12 – Why We’re Not In

2022-10-13

(10/13/22) CPI did come in hotter-than anticipated; the Fed’s conundrum with QE vs QT; The whole world is over-leveraged; UK pension funds are drowning in it. Collateral calls, when models fail, and banks’ stress tests don’t mean much; the pension funds in the UK will be a social crisis that creates a financial crisis world wide. Boeing’s Dreamlifter nightmare; many financial articles are being written by those who’ve never lived through a bear market; why experience is important in times like these. There is no more FOMO, no more TINA. Why Jerome Powell is fighting 20-years of bad fiscal policy

0:00 – CPI Preview & The Fed’s Continuing Conundrum
[NOTE: This segment is truncated due to technical issues with Wirecast this morning; for a complete AUDIO recording of the segment, please go

2022-10-06

(10/6/22) Gasoline prices are back on the rise with OPEC’s production cuts; Joe Biden’s solution: Tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as winter looms, and demand for fuel oil will increase, resulting in greater expenses for an already strapped consumer. Markets are oversold with a drop in negative sentiment; yet no Fed pivot in sight. Will the Fed continue until something breaks? There are now $60-T in derivatives hanging out, all based on historical models that don’t always predict everything. What happens when the models break? The Sub-prime fiasco was derivatives based on derivatives. Oil prices are on the rise, creating more financial pressure for consumers. The US is still a net-importer of oil. What happens when the US bids to replenish the SPR? Financial Stress and the Risk of