by Lance Roberts
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| HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw (2/8/23) Whose comments yesterday were more impactful for you: Joe Biden's SOTU address or Jerome Powell's post-Fed clarification speech? Markets loved the latter, and on a weekly basis, the bullish trend continues as economic data becomes "less bad." Fair warning, fellas, that Valentine's Day is approaching; prepare accordingly. Which is more effective for investing: Time-IN the markets, or timing the markets? The philosophy of investing, and why we do; Timing the Market defined; the problem with "getting back to even;" Compounding Capital and what happens when you lose; what makes the best client? 3:02 - Jeers a & Cheers for SOTU Address; Jerome Powell's post-Fed speech 14:36 - Valentines & Bullies 19:25 - Time IN the Market vs Timing the Market 30:19 - Why You Never Really Get "Back to Even" 44:23 - Compounding Capital; The Best Clients Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will Market Correction Be a Buying Opportunity?" is here: &list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "So Far No Signs of a Pending Crash" &list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #MarketTiming #CompoundingCapital #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #Markets #Money #Investing |
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Will You Be Jobless in the New Year?
2022-12-14
(12/28/22) Looking ahead at 2023 economy; four things to do if you lose your job; Cash is NOT trash; rolling over your 401k; the Financial Security cushion; where to cut the fat, and why you should delay taking SS as long as possible.
0:00 – The 2023 Economy
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the full show from which this segment was excerpted on our YouTube channel:
&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2685s
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Will Upside Pricing Be Limited?| 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-12-12
(12/12/22) Remember the Big Short Squeeze we predicted way back in September? Negative sentiment and extra off-side positioning by investors was what was needed for the markets, and that has all played out as we thought. However, concern over the level of "overboughteness" in the rally, and proximity of triggering a MACD sell signal, have primed investors for profit-taking and risk reduction. What has been needed in December was sloppy action in the first half of the month holding support, leading to a Santa Claus rally in the second half of the month. We’re seeing signs that upside pricing may be somewhat limited, but some catalysts remain: Tomorrow’s CPI report, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, and Friday’s options expirations could provide a mixed bag of influences and volatility this week.
Is It Too Late to Buy Bonds?| 3:00 on Markets & Money
2022-12-08
(12/8/22) Getting lots of emails inquiring whether now is a good time to buy bonds, and this is not surprising, given bonds’ terrific rally over the past few weeks. Bonds are now more than two standard deviations above their 50-DMA, with an extremely over-bought MACD signal. We believe there is still a little more upside in the Bond ETF, TLT, to about 114. The further the market gets about the 50-DMA, the more difficult it will be for prices to rise and yields to fall. You need a pullback in order to make an addition to your bond holdings. The outlook for bonds for the next year is significant because of the recessionary issues within the economy.
Hosted by RIA Advisors’ Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton
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Get more info & commentary:
All I Want for Christmas is a Gift of Stocks
2022-11-30
(11/30/22) The US beats Iran in World Soccer, and markets gird up for the last Fed speech of the year by Jerome Powell; that will be the big market mover today, in addition to economic releases of Q3 CPI and Home Sales; We looks at the concept of stock gifting for Christmas, along with the tax implications, qualified charitable donations, and end of year IRA contributions; other end-of-year hurdles include Required Minimum Distributions, and the anticipated effect of Baby Boomers’ RMD’s on markets; the onset of December & Mrs. Roberts’ birthday; open enrollment for Medicare plans; Medicare.gov; Donor Advised funds for charitable intent; the benefits of bunching.
3:12 – Adult Kickball & Fed Speak
14:43 – Gifting Stocks for Christmas
30:29 – Clearing the Year-end Hurdles
44:28 – Onset of
The Most-forecast Recession in History
2022-09-27
(9/27/22) Are markets preparing for a big Short-squeeze? Just a month ago we were talking about rampant market bullishness, and now there’s a high level of fear and angst in the markets. The dollar’s strength has created more inflation overseas, at three standard deviations above the 50-DMA; that cannot last.
Could Interest Rates Remain High through 2024?
2022-09-21
(9/1/) The Fed is expected to hike interest rates another 75-basis points today. Meanwhile, the Dot Plot, consisting of the FOMC voting members’ positions on interest rates, suggests rates will be at 4.5% by 03, and remain there into 04. Bonds are extremely cheap relative to stocks. This is debunking the TINA (There Is No Alternative) syndrome. As rates rise, those with pensions must consider whether taking monthly distributions or a lump sum is in their best interest. The fallacy of "deficit reduction;" the unintended consequences of government programs, good intentions, and bad outcomes.
0:00 – FOMC Meeting Preview & Dot Plot Predictions
11:10 – Diet Deprivations & Beyond Meat
11:58 – The Inflation Calculations Behind the Fed’s Rate Hikes
7:10 – Pensions & Lump Sum Options – Why
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