Is Recession the Elephant (already) in the Room? (6/7/23): Market Analysis & Personal Finance com…

2023-06-08

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2023-06-05

(6/5/23) Stock Buyback Blackout: Monetary impact exits market for now; predicted sector rotations fueled markets to three standard deviations above 50-DMA; prepare for pullback! OPEC Production cuts spike oil prices; Headline Employment Report beats expectations…again. What will the Fed do next week? Very large Birth/Death ratio adjustment; BLS vs Household Surveys: Number of self-employed declines. Cannot have recession without higher unemployment (interestingly, almost all jobs created were part-time.) The Fed wants higher unemployment; next meeting next week: Will the Fed Hike or Hold rates? Depending upon tighter bank lending rules to curb spending, slow inflation; markets have begun to price-in another rate hike. The Fed doesn’t need to cut rates. Re-Funding the Treasury General