CAR Is Racing Higher
2026-04-22
Our title above about Avis Budget Group (CAR) shares is a gross understatement. Since March 20th, CAR has risen nearly 500%, as we share below. While there are, and were, some favorable tailwinds driving the upward trend, such as rising used-car prices and elevated rental-car usage during the TSA-related problems, the most glaring factor is …
Continue reading »
4-21-26 What Happens After Extreme Bearish Sentiment
2026-04-21
Extreme bearish sentiment and five straight weeks of declines $SPX pushed investors to panic-sell right into the lows, creating deeply oversold conditions.
Historically, that setup leads to strong forward returns as valuations compress and capital rotates back into high-quality growth names.
This latest rally followed the same playbook, with money moving out of defensive stocks like $XLP and into beaten-down tech $IGV.
The edge isn’t about calling the market — it’s about how you act. Most people sell at the bottom and chase at the top, while disciplined investors step in when fear is at its peak.
I
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
3-8-26 Why Passive Investing Isn’t Really Passive & Why It Matters
2026-03-08
Passive investing is often misunderstood. Many investors believe buying ETFs makes them passive, but frequent trading, sector rotation, and performance chasing turn it into active behavior.
Instead of picking individual stocks, investors are actively trading baskets of stocks.
As the late John Bogle warned, the ability to trade ETFs intraday encourages investors to act on emotion and timing decisions.
The result is that many “passive” investors still underperform the market over time.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
Will Oil Prices Unleash A Wave Of Inflation?
2026-03-06
Bloomberg writes: “Iran War Oil ShockThreatens to Unleash Wave of Global Inflation.” To be fair, the article is not as pessimistic as the title suggests. However, the fear that significantly higher, sustained oil prices will unleash a wave of inflation is gaining popularity and merits discussion. We start with math to address the historical relationship …
Continue reading »
3-5-26 Passive Aggressive Market: Bogle’s Warning Came True
2026-03-05
Are passive investors really passive? Not anymore.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how index funds and ETFs — the tools designed for patient, long-term investing — have quietly become weapons of short-term speculation.
#PassiveInvesting #ETFStrategy #IndexFunds #SectorRotation #JohnBogle
1-13-26 The Reflation Trade Explained
2026-01-13
Markets are priced for a perfect reflation outcome after three years of big gains. Everyone expects strong growth, falling inflation, and rate cuts at the same time.
In this Short video, Lance Roberts argues why these expectations may be setting investors up for disappointment.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
1-10-26 How to Rotate Sectors Without Blowing Up Your Portfolio
2026-01-10
Sector rotation isn’t about picking the next winner. It’s about managing risk as conditions change.
In this Short video, Michael Lebowitz & Lance Roberts discuss how to rotate gradually, rebalance winners, and adapt portfolios as market leadership changes.
📺Full episode:
Catch Lance
daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
entadvice/
#Markets #Money #Investment_Advice
11-19-25 Risk-Range Report: We Are Still In a Bull Market
2025-11-19
$SPY / $QQQ pullback is not the start of a bear market.
In this short video, I look at the Risk-Range data confirming the broader bull trend and explain why this dip is an opportunity, not a danger.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
18 pings
Skip to comment form ↓