by Lance Roberts
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| $SPX $QQQ Markets pushed to new highs despite elevated valuations, high interest rates, and ongoing war in Iran, driven largely by short-term momentum and increased speculative activity like 0DTE options. This creates a disconnect where price action overrides fundamentals in the near term. While the rally is real and participation has been rewarded, the risk is assuming this is a stable bull trend, but it is not. Furthermore, history suggests midterm years bring volatility into summer, so investors should stay flexible, respect momentum, but continue managing risk and expect choppiness, pullbacks, and volatility spikes. 📺Full episode: Catch Lance Roberts daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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The Dollar’s Plumbing: Conspiracy Vs. Data
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Every few months, a headline appears declaring that the U.S. dollar’s reign as the world’s reserve currency is over. China is dumping Treasuries. Central banks are hoarding gold. The BRICS are building a new monetary order. The sanctions that froze $300 billion of Russia’s reserves in 2022 proved, the argument goes, that dollar-denominated assets are …
Treasury Bond Yields Don’t Lie: But Wars Don’t Drive Them
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This past weekend, Adam Taggart and I discussed what happens to Treasury bond yields when the United States enters a military conflict. The conventional wisdom is reflexive and tidy. A conflict triggers a flight to safety, money floods into U.S. government bonds, and yields fall. It’s a clean narrative. Unfortunately, it is wrong more than …
The Energy Sector Is Outpacing Energy Prices
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Over the last year, energy stocks have traded well despite crude oil prices languishing. For instance, over the last six months, XLE, the energy ETF, has risen 14%, while crude oil prices have fallen by 12%. The two largest components of XLE, Exxon and Chevron, which account for 40% of the ETF, are up 30% …
The Bullish And Bearish Case For 2026
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The year ahead presents both a bullish and bearish case for investors. Will 2026 be another year of above-average returns, or will it be a year of disappointment? The bulls argue that the key ingredients for a sustained rally are in place. A powerful technology cycle, aggressive corporate spending, and supportive policy measures all point …
1-23-26 Why Strong Growth Could Force the Fed to Pause or Even Hike
2026-01-23
Everyone expects strong economic growth, falling inflation, and endless Fed cuts.
In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why that combo is far from guaranteed—and how a pause (or even hike) could hit valuations fast.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-5-25 Why Fed Cuts Could Make the Dollar Stronger, Not Weaker
2025-12-05
Fed rate cuts aren’t inherently bearish for the dollar $DXY. By supporting economic growth and boosting $SPY / $QQQ, they attract foreign capital that strengthens the currency.
In this short video, MIchael Lebowitz and I discuss why easing supports growth, pulls in foreign capital, and ultimately contradicts the constant dollar-debasement narrative.
📺Full episode: -iyGgj0
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-2-25 LIVE Q&A: Ask Us Anything About Markets & Money
2025-12-02
Welcome to our LIVE Q&A session!
Lance Roberts is taking your questions directly from the YouTube live chat—covering markets, investing, retirement planning, inflation, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, portfolio strategy, risk management, and your personal finance questions.
No scripts, no agenda—just real-time answers based on data, history, and risk-focused investing principles.
We’ll break down what’s moving the markets, how to think about pullbacks, what the Fed may do next, how valuations affect future returns, and how to build financial plans that survive full market cycles. Whether you’re a new investor or a seasoned pro, this LIVE Q&A is your chance to get expert insight—right now.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Not Every December is Positive; Retail Sales, Black Friday, & Target
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