by Lance Roberts
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| The market $SPX rally looks constructive, with a rising 200-day moving average, improving breadth, and stable earnings, but it remains a fragile setup. We haven’t seen the kind of deterioration that typically leads to new lows, yet key risks remain. If breadth weakens, earnings estimates get cut, or #crudeoil prices stay elevated, the downside could reopen quickly. The Fed is likely stuck, and geopolitical uncertainty adds another layer of risk. History shows rallies like this can fail before a true bottom forms. This is not a confirmed bull market; it’s a risk management environment. Keep that in mind. 📺Full episode: Catch Lance Roberts daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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4-15-26 Why This 10%+ Rally Is a Repeatable Setup
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This sharp 10%+ rally in $SPX $QQQ, which unfolded in just a few days, was driven less by fundamentals and more by a classic, repeatable setup: extreme bearish sentiment, deeply oversold conditions, and aggressive short-covering.
As fear peaked and positioning turned defensive, the market had already priced in the downside, setting the stage for a rapid reversal.
The move was amplified by underexposure to growth stocks, especially mega-cap tech.
This is the key lesson: when sentiment and positioning reach extremes, markets tend to move in the opposite direction.
Check out our weekly newsletter, where we track sentiment and positioning indicators that help identify these exact turning points 🔽
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report/ or
Is The Iran War Good For The Petrodollar?
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Diana Choyleva wrote an excellent editorial for the Wall Street Journal entitled “The Iran War Is A Boon For The Petrodollar.” She pushes back against claims that the Iran conflict is accelerating the death of the petrodollar. Instead, she argues the opposite: between Iran and Venezuela, the U.S. is defending and bolstering dollar dominance in …
4-10-26 What To Do After You Inherit Money
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Receiving an inheritance can be life-changing—but without a clear plan, it can also lead to costly mistakes. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty walk through the critical steps to take after inheriting money, from protecting the assets and understanding tax implications to building a long-term financial strategy.
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2-25-26 Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk About Your Money
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Welcome to Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk on Your Money — a live, unscripted Q&A show pulled directly from our YouTube chatroom. No canned slides. No rehearsed talking points. Just practical, plain-English answers to real-world money questions with Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff.
Lance & Danny tackle topics like retirement planning, Roth vs. traditional decisions, tax-smart withdrawal strategies, Social Security timing, portfolio risk management, diversification, income planning, cash vs. investing, debt payoff frameworks, and how to think through market volatility without wrecking your long-term plan. We also discuss the “why” behind common financial rules of thumb—what holds up, what doesn’t, and how to tailor decisions to your situation.
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1-7-26 Let’s Talk About Venezuela, Oil Prices & Energy Stocks
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Energy stocks $XLE are running ahead of oil fundamentals, and that gap won’t last forever.
In this Short video, Lance Roberts explains how Venezuela, supply risk, and slowing demand could push #crudeoil prices lower and force energy stocks to catch up.
📺Full episode:
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2026 Forecast: Tis The Season For Wild Guesses
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11-13-25 Everyone Thinks AI Is the Bubble — But the Real One Is the Fed
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For over a decade, the Fed’s endless liquidity has fueled moral hazard—pushing investors to buy every dip and keeping valuations inflated.
In this short video, @michaellebowitz and I discuss why the real bubble isn’t AI—it’s the Fed’s never-ending backstop.
📺Full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-YZaHtreohI
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
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