The Dollar’s Plumbing: Conspiracy Vs. Data
2026-03-20
Every few months, a headline appears declaring that the U.S. dollar’s reign as the world’s reserve currency is over. China is dumping Treasuries. Central banks are hoarding gold. The BRICS are building a new monetary order. The sanctions that froze $300 billion of Russia’s reserves in 2022 proved, the argument goes, that dollar-denominated assets are …
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The Market Cycles Potentially Driving 2026 Returns
2026-02-02
Market cycles are once again at the center of the investment narrative as we head into 2026. The optimism is familiar as earnings held up in 2025, the economy avoided recession, and big tech lifted the indexes. However, those victories are already reflected in the price. As we head into 2026, with valuations extended, the …
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Meta And Microsoft: Great Earnings But Different Results
2026-01-30
On the heels of strong fourth-quarter earnings reports, Microsoft is opening down 8%, while Meta is trading up 10%. Microsoft topped expectations for earnings and revenues. However, there is some concern about its total cloud revenue. They reported cloud revenue of 26% versus expectations of 28-29%. That said, their leading cloud computing product, Azure, grew …
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The Energy Sector Is Outpacing Energy Prices
2026-01-29
Over the last year, energy stocks have traded well despite crude oil prices languishing. For instance, over the last six months, XLE, the energy ETF, has risen 14%, while crude oil prices have fallen by 12%. The two largest components of XLE, Exxon and Chevron, which account for 40% of the ETF, are up 30% …
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12-11-25 The Fed’s Surprising ‘Dovish Cut’ Explained
2025-12-11
➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: The Fed delivered a far more dovish cut than markets expected.
In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and I discuss why Powell’s tone shifted, what he revealed about jobs and inflation, and why this matters for markets now.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
12-9-25 Dealing with Debt & Smart Money Moves
2025-12-09
Debt can reshape a family, fracture relationships, and derail financial goals — especially when fraud or addiction is involved. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn address the importance of protecting your credit and financial future, and share four “good enough” financial moves to simplify money management without sacrificing results…strategies to cut through the noise and help you stay on track with less time, less stress, and fewer decisions.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Fed Day Preview – Fed Grammar Matters
5:10- Market Weakness is No Surprise
9:11 – The Myriad Versions of Credit Scores
11:15 – Check Your Credit Report Regularly
15:11 – Improving Your Credit Score
17:12 – Freezing Your Credit
18:38 – THe Credit Card Trap
24:21 – Mrs. Roberts’ Christmas Decor
26:54 – Reverse Budgeting
30:42 –
12-5-25 Why Fed Cuts Could Make the Dollar Stronger, Not Weaker
2025-12-05
Fed rate cuts aren’t inherently bearish for the dollar $DXY. By supporting economic growth and boosting $SPY / $QQQ, they attract foreign capital that strengthens the currency.
In this short video, MIchael Lebowitz and I discuss why easing supports growth, pulls in foreign capital, and ultimately contradicts the constant dollar-debasement narrative.
📺Full episode: -iyGgj0
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
The Psychology Of Investing In A Zero-Risk Illusion
2025-10-17
Every market cycle eventually changes investor psychology to believe risk has been conquered. The storylines may change, from “this time it’s different” to “the Fed has our back,” but the psychology does not. When markets rise steadily and volatility remains low, investors confuse stability with safety. That’s precisely the illusion forming in markets today. The …
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